Gateway or Cul de Sac? Using Big Data to Assess Legal Recreational Marijuana and Changes in the Use of “Hard” Drugs

dc.contributor.authorPerdue, Robert T.en
dc.contributor.authorHawdon, James E.en
dc.date.accessioned2020-10-02T15:05:44Zen
dc.date.available2020-10-02T15:05:44Zen
dc.date.issued2019-09-30en
dc.description.abstractDoes legalizing marijuana result in decreased narcotic use as legalization proponents and some researchers claim? Or, conversely, does legalizing marijuana provide a gateway for experimentation and future “hard” drug use as critics of legalization and proponents of the gateway hypothesis attest? Now that several states in the U.S. have legalized marijuana for recreational use, it is possible to begin assessing the validity of these competing claims. Relying on a novel strategy for tracking trends in illegal drug use, we use Internet search queries, specifically Google Trends, to examine patterns of drug searches in four recreational marijuana states: Alaska, Colorado, Oregon and Washington. We find that search trend patterns for drugs are consistent following legalization, with increased mean searches for marijuana, cocaine and heroin, and decreased mean searches for methamphetamines, Oxycodone, and bath salts. While this finding seems to suggest some validity to the gateway hypothesis, we argue the opposite, for these general trends are also found at the national level. As such, the trends found in these recreational marijuana states generally do not differ from the nation as a whole, implying no significant gateway effect. We conclude that using big data to assess drug-using trends can inform the ongoing marijuana legalization debate.en
dc.identifier.issnISSN 1542-6300en
dc.identifier.issue2en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10919/100142en
dc.identifier.volume18en
dc.language.isoen_USen
dc.publisherThe North Carolina Sociological Associationen
dc.rightsCreative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 Internationalen
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/en
dc.subjectmarijuanaen
dc.subjectbig dataen
dc.subjectGoogle trendsen
dc.subjectlegalizationen
dc.titleGateway or Cul de Sac? Using Big Data to Assess Legal Recreational Marijuana and Changes in the Use of “Hard” Drugsen
dc.title.serialSociationen
dc.typeArticle - Refereeden

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