WEBVTT

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my good fortune today too, introduced to dr Martha

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Henderson who started her Yes her scientific life with the

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doctrine and Astrophysics University of Minnesota in 1993. You

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can tell your tiny bit more about what happened next

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then something's happened. Uh crossed paths have been remote

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sensing and she after a long stand research scientists moving

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into US agricultural research service and she is currently at

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the hydrology remote sensing lab in Beltsville Maryland. Her

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research interests focus on mapping, water, energy and

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carbon laid surface flux is feel the continental scales using

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and or remote sensing with applications throughout monitoring soil moisture

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estimation. We have been on lands that science team

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together since 2006, known each other a very long

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time before that. And so we're very very pleased

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today to Dr now they came with the lights the

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way they are. Okay, well thank you thanks

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so much for having me here. It's a pleasure

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to speak with you in the seminar. So as

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randy mentioned, I work for the Agricultural Research Service

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which is the research arm of the U. S

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. D. A. And I'm in this hydrology

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remote sensing lab which is located in Beltsville Maryland.

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It's right outside the Washington D. C. Area

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. And I work with a group of people primarily

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trying to develop techniques for routine monitoring of evaporate transpiration

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E. T. For short crop water use if

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we're talking about agricultural lands and drought using multi scale

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satellite remote sensing data. And in particular what we've

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been working on most recently as part of the Lance

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at science team is trying to find ways to fuse

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together information from multiple different satellite platforms to get towards

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the ultimate goal of mapping water use at daily time

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steps and at very fine spatial scales at sub field

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scales to support agricultural applications. So I'll be talking

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to you about these data. Fusion techniques were working

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on today. First of all, why do we

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care about evaporate transpiration? This may be obvious to

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everybody and some groups, it's not so clear.

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There are just a plethora of applications and demands for

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this kind of information, both within the United States

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and globally. We can use these satellite derived heat

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maps to assess our current spatial patterns in water use

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at different spatial scales. And in terms of agriculture

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, we want to know how effectively our agricultural systems

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are using the water that's available to them. This

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can be used globally to pinpoint areas of potential food

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and water insecurity. We can also build up time

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series maps of of water use and study how water

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use is changing spatially and temporally in different areas due

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to different kind of drivers. Great changing climate drivers

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, changing precipitation patterns, changing air temperature patterns,

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changes in land use is we're converting forests into agricultural

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lands in some areas and then agricultural lands into no

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no oh come on. Make changes to your system

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um into urban settings. How is this impacting the

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regional landscape, water use and as populations grow in

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some areas and there's competing demands on water resources in

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areas. We need a way to account that the

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changes in water use due to these factors. E

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. T. Is an important input to a lot

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of other types of modeling systems. It's very important

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to accurately quantify the exchange of water vapor between the

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land and the atmosphere in our new numerical weather prediction

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systems to improve the weather forecast. So satellite remote

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sensing could be an input to improve forecasting systems and

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hydrologic modeling systems to predict early early detection of flooding

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, drought, high runoff events. And finally we're

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also using these et maps as an indicator of vegetation

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health. As the crops become stressed, they shut

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down their stomach to their transpiration flux is our lower

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we can detect those those changes and transpiration from a

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satellite platform, early potential signal of crop stress and

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maybe impacts on yield. The bottom line is we

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really can't hope to uh manage our freshwater resources either

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in the United States or globally if we cannot accurately

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measure how these resources are being used. So this

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is just kind of a schematic outline of the talk

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I'm gonna be giving today. I'll talk about some

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of the modeling tools that we use in this work

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. There's a multi scale E. T. Modeling

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system. We call Alexey Dis Alexey primarily uses remotely

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sensed maps of land surface temperature acquired in the thermal

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infrared wave bands. We also have a thermal image

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sharpener tool, the D. M. S.

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Data mining sharpener tool that we use to improve the

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resolution of our input thermal imagery. And I'll be

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talking about the star FM data fusion algorithm that fuses

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together individual data streams from different satellite sensors. We

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apply these tools to a number of different satellite assets

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. We use the geo stationary satellites that are usually

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used just for for the meteorological Services. For weather

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forecasting provides excellent land surface information as well. Really

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, really good temporal information. We get imagery every

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15 minutes but at pretty coarse spatial resolution. So

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we also want to combine information from other satellite systems

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with finer details. Some of the polar orbiting systems

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like modus and land set. And I'll talk about

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how we're applying these tools in the satellite assets to

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some applications in agriculture, in mapping daily crop water

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use at field scale, also monitoring crop technology at

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the same field scale, combining those two data streams

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to try to predict impact of stress on yields and

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as a drought early warning tools. So this is

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what I'll be covering today now. I'm just gonna

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keep talking randy when I hit my limit. Just

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kind of make some wrap it up signs and it

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will stop wherever I am. So first of all

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multi scale E. T. Retrieval algorithm that we

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use in our work is based on principles of service

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energy balance. There are a lot of different ways

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to map evaporative flux is over landscapes and I'm just

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going to kind of categories them in two general categories

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. The first category is a water balance approach used

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in a lot of land surface modeling systems. A

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lot of hydrologic modeling systems. And in these types

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of models, the key input is precipitation. You

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have to know the precipitation rainfall very accurately over your

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modeling domain and then that precipitation is partitioned into all

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these different flux is and stores using typically a system

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of prognostic physically based equations. Really useful approach for

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a lot of applications because you get a lot of

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information about the hydrologic status of your land surface system

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. But the challenges, it just requires a whole

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lot of surface parameters to get this to run with

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correctly. We need to know a lot about the

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subsurface soil properties, the soil moisture holding capacity in

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the soil hydraulic conductivity to get the infiltration and the

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apple soil evaporation component of VT right. And we

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also have to know a lot about the vegetation.

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We need to know about its roots, dense routing

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distribution in the soil sensitivities of different plant types to

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moisture deficiencies in the root zone. To get the

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transpiration component right and very importantly, you need to

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know your precipitation very accurately. And that's not such

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a challenge here in the United States. We've got

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a lot of re engages in the US, we

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got a lot of Doppler uh radar stations to correct

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our satellite based estimates of precipitation more of a challenge

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in some other parts of the world where that the

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media logical infrastructure isn't so dense. Also you need

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to know ancillary sources of moisture into the system that

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aren't related to precept and I'll talk about that in

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a moment. So in contrast in this energy balance

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approach two et modeling that I'll be talking about,

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we don't need to know quite as much about the

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subsurface properties and we don't need to know as much

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about the plant response. And very importantly, we're

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not using precipitation as an input to our model,

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in this case the primary input our maps of land

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surface temperature. Again, we can derive, we

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can retrieve using satellite platforms equipped with thermal infrared imaging

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systems. We know there's a strong physical connection between

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evaporative cooling and the temperature of an object. So

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in this kind of modeling system, if we know

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how much energy is being put into the land surface

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system into a pixel on the land surface system down

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, welling radiation from the sun from the atmosphere minus

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reflected and emitted radiation, the net radiation at the

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land surface, we can estimate how much evaporative cooling

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must be occurring under that kind of radiation load to

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keep the soil and the temperature at the soil in

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the canopy at the temperatures we observe from the satellite

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platform. And we can answer that question using a

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model based on surface energy balance. So again,

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advantages here, we don't need to know as much

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about the system and were independent of precipitation information.

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We can map surface temperature much more accurately than we

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can map precipitation. But we're really getting only a

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handle on the evaporative component of the hydrologic budget.

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You're getting a lot more information with water balance models

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. So there's really good synergy here. We found

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that there's a lot of value in comparing estimates from

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these two types of modeling systems. We learn a

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lot about the models, we learn about the systems

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that were trying to model. And this is just

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an example of this over the Continental United States were

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comparing E. T. Estimates from a land surface

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model with our satellite based thermal retrievals of ET.

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And what we're finding is we get good agreement over

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a lot of the United States and areas that are

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these are kind of indicating some differences. The white

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regions here models agree fairly well, but there are

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specific areas where the satellite retrieval is consistently predicting higher

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evaporative flexes than the water balance model. And these

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areas can be kind of related to three different factors

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in general areas of high irrigation, we're getting more

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eating out of the satellite retrieval in the central valley

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of California and the Snake River Plain in Idaho along

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the Mississippi River basin. A lot of irrigation going

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on there, growing a lot of rice in the

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Mississippi basin. Um These are areas where there's kind

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of additional water added to the system not necessarily correlated

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with the local precipitation rates. We also find enhanced

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flux is in areas of relatively shallow water table.

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Again, along the Mississippi Basin, in the florida

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, Everglades and some of the coastal areas. These

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are areas where there may be direct extraction of additional

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moisture from the groundwater table by free apathetic vegetation.

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Maybe some direct evaporation. Again difficult to capture in

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a water balance model unless you know a priority what

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the groundwater table distribution is and another source is you

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can see up here all these little peaks, high

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density of subpixel water bodies is another area where we're

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seeing these enhancements. So we've got the prairie pothole

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regions in the Dakotas, the prairie kyoto, the

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Missouri Coteau, a lot of little potholes just holding

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up the moisture, but they're very small pixel skills

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. You've got the land of 10,000 lakes, Minnesota

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, a lot of little lakes, little wetlands contributing

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to the remote sensing et flux. But not captured

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by these water balance models. That doesn't know where

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all these little potholes are are lying on the ground

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. These are all hydrologic features that are of great

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interest to water resource managers. They need to know

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about how irrigation water is being used. They need

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to know about the hydrology of the the florida,

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Everglades. So this is one of the reasons why

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water resource managers have really kind of pinpointed thermal based

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E. T. Retrieval as an important tool for

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their water management decisions. So I'm not going to

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get into a lot of details about the modeling system

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. There's a lot of even thermal based ET models

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. The model we used is based on a two

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source representation of the land surface system. We partition

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surface temperature and flux is between the soil component of

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the scene and the vegetation component of the scene based

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on the local fraction of vegetation cover. And that's

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what's going on here partitioning up the bulk surface temperature

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. We also solve the energy budget for the combined

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system and the soil and the canopy independently. And

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we do this because soil and canopy components, the

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scene are differently coupled with the atmosphere and their their

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contribution to the flux. This is not necessarily in

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proportion to their their component temperatures. So we found

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this kind of system to be much more robust over

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a broad range of vegetation cover conditions more so than

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a very simple single source model. So surface temperature

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is very important in constraining the sensible heat flux off

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the land surface. Has anybody heard of sensible heat

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flux before you've heard of this term before? It's

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just the convection of heat off the um the ground

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that goes into heating the atmosphere. Uh So driven

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by temperature gradients temperature is also important for partitioning the

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net radiation between the soil and the canopy and for

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estimating that component of the energy balance that's conducted into

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the soil that goes into heating the soil profile.

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We have some different techniques for estimating the canopy component

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, evaporation component, basically the canopy transpiration rate.

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One method is a canopy resistance methodology that also allows

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us to estimate couple of carbon assimilation flux is along

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with the water flexes, and then the soil evaporation

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component is computed as a residual to the overall energy

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balanced model. So we've tested this model regionally in

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the form of it's kind of the land surface representation

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in this atmosphere land exchange inverse model, or Alexey

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. If we want to robust remote sensing retrieval,

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we have to make the model as insensitive to expected

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errors in the remote sensing data as possible. And

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we know we can never map land surface temperature perfectly

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. In an absolute sense, there's always atmospheric corrections

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emissivity corrections that we may not get exactly right.

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So this Alexey model actually uses time changes in surface

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temperature rather than absolute temperature. We can always measure

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time changes in any quantity much more accurately than we

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can measure absolutely quantities. So we run this,

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we run a time change model over the morning hours

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as the boundary layer is developing to do this,

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we need a satellite that gives us surface temperature at

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multiple times during the morning. So we have to

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run this model using geo stationary satellites That are sampling

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the land surface temperature every 15 minutes. But we

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may want to map flux is at higher spatial resolution

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than is supported by the geo stationary satellites. So

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that's why we have this flux desegregation algorithm which we

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just call this Alexey that uses higher temperature or higher

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resolution temperature information from satellites like land set and motives

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to get these finer scale maps and the net.

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I think it is a kind of a multi scale

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water use monitoring or mapping system going from global scales

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all the way down to sub field scales. So

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at the continental scale of the United States, again

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, we're using the geo stationary satellite data. We

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can get hourly flux is 5-10 km resolution. For

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higher resolution applications, we can disaggregate down to the

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modus scale. That's a kilometer resolution in the thermal

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wave bands. And you can see you can start

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to see some hydrologic patterns in the landscape at this

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scale, resuming into a region in central Iowa here

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. But most of our demand for information is at

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this highest spatial resolution resolution that's supported by the land

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set satellite. The field the field level. This

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is the level at which water is being actively managed

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over much of our global land surface. And this

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is where people want the information. Unfortunately the temporal

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support at that highest spatial resolution is not great.

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So with a single active land set satellite we might

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get an image every 16 days. If it's a

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perfectly clear area all the time. With two land

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sets, we'll get an image every eight days.

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If you factor in cloud cover, you might get

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an image every month, every couple months, maybe

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once per year if you're lucky, Very difficult to

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monitor seasonal water use based on one satellite image.

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So this is why we're working towards these data fusion

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algorithms. We're trying to combine information from all these

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different satellite platforms to get at the ultimate goal of

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mapping the daily water use at this finest spatial resolution

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. Yes, this is just a schematic diagram of

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how we apply our data. Fusion too. The

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problem of E. T. Mapping. And we're

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using an algorithm developed by Single, who's now a

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scientist in our lab called the spatial temporal adaptive reflect

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its fusion model. Originally developed this refusing reflect inst

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data but we're applying it now to ET data as

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well and it seems to work fairly well. So

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we can map daily flux is at the continental scale

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. Using the geo stationary satellites using Alexi, we

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can disaggregate down to a kilometer resolution more or less

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once per day with the motor satellites kilometer scale.

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We have to do a little gap filling here due

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to cloud cover but it's not too bad. And

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then periodically whenever we have a clear land SAT scene

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, We further disaggregate down to the 30 m scale

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of land set. So this was back in 2007

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. We had a fully functional lance at five and

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7. So we had an eight day gap in

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this case. And we're trying to fill in the

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flux maps for these days. Star FM compares modus

329
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and land sat image pairs on days when they're both

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available and develop some kind of desegregation statistics based on

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the spatial and spectral similarity between those maps. And

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then applies those statistics to all the most scenes in

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the intervening time period to reconstruct the high resolution flux

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distribution at that land set scale. So we're getting

335
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temporal information from goes and modus. We're getting the

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spatial information from the land sat satellite. We want

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to know how well it looks okay, but we

338
00:20:11.740 --> 00:20:15.599 A:middle L:90%
want to know quantitatively how well this This fusion works

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00:20:15.650 --> 00:20:17.670 A:middle L:90%
. One way to test it is just to use

340
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one pair of images as input to starve them and

341
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let it predict the flux field at the second date

342
00:20:23.910 --> 00:20:27.140 A:middle L:90%
. Lancet date compared to a direct retrieval. Using

343
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landside imagery. We've done this in a limited sense

344
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, we need to do this more thoroughly at more

345
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validation sites, but it seems to retrieve the the

346
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spatial distribution fairly well. But the more direct way

347
00:20:41.630 --> 00:20:47.049 A:middle L:90%
to test these algorithms is in direct comparison with ground

348
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based measurements of surface evaporative flux is and energy balance

349
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flux is and this is some work that was done

350
00:20:53.049 --> 00:20:56.690 A:middle L:90%
by post doc, was in our lab for about

351
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a year and a half from Italy carmelo Camilleri.

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And he really looked at three major field experiments sites

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in the United States conducted over the past decade.

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We picked these sites because we like to have a

355
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lot of flux towers within a single lands that scene

356
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, because we could get the most points for uh

357
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the amount of effort we put into this uh this

358
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enterprise. So we looked at the soil moisture experiment

359
00:21:22.220 --> 00:21:26.470 A:middle L:90%
of 2002, this is ames Iowa bunch of flux

360
00:21:26.470 --> 00:21:29.109 A:middle L:90%
towers during this growing season, in rain fat,

361
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corn and soybean fields. We also looked at the

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Bear XO eight experiment which was conducted in bushland texas

363
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. It's in the texas panhandle, right outside of

364
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Amarillo texas doing a lot of irrigation. They're here

365
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, we're looking at irrigated and rain fed cotton fields

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. These are sitting on the Ogallala aquifer. They

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are depleting the Ogallala aquifer currently at an unsustainable rate

368
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, mostly in support of irrigated agriculture. So there's

369
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a lot of interest in, in water use efficiency

370
00:22:00.829 --> 00:22:04.769 A:middle L:90%
in this area. And as a contrasting state.

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Looking at the meat amara flux site, outside of

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Lincoln Nebraska where they have corn and corn soybean rotations

373
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growing growing under irrigated management and rain fed management.

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If we look at the model results at these three

375
00:22:23.349 --> 00:22:26.589 A:middle L:90%
sites on land, sad dates. When we actually

376
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have land set thermal uh imagery, we can see

377
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the model does a pretty good job at partitioning the

378
00:22:33.329 --> 00:22:36.930 A:middle L:90%
surface energy balance at these three different very different kind

379
00:22:36.930 --> 00:22:41.240 A:middle L:90%
of climatic regimes with different crops. So the red

380
00:22:41.240 --> 00:22:45.039 A:middle L:90%
is the net radiation, the blue are the evaporative

381
00:22:45.049 --> 00:22:47.950 A:middle L:90%
flux is the latent heat. If you're talking about

382
00:22:47.950 --> 00:22:49.480 A:middle L:90%
energy energy terms E. T. If you're talking

383
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about mass flux and sensible heat flux. So we're

384
00:22:55.680 --> 00:22:56.980 A:middle L:90%
getting errors in our et flux is on the order

385
00:22:56.980 --> 00:23:00.309 A:middle L:90%
of 10 on a daily time step. Which is

386
00:23:00.309 --> 00:23:03.359 A:middle L:90%
pretty good for any kind of satellite based retrieval.

387
00:23:03.140 --> 00:23:07.250 A:middle L:90%
But the question is how well can we estimate what

388
00:23:07.250 --> 00:23:08.960 A:middle L:90%
the evaporative flux is? Our between these labs land

389
00:23:08.960 --> 00:23:15.799 A:middle L:90%
set dates using our data fusion algorithm. And this

390
00:23:15.799 --> 00:23:18.109 A:middle L:90%
is just an example over one rain fed soybean field

391
00:23:18.119 --> 00:23:22.029 A:middle L:90%
. From this Mexico to experiment in Central Iowa to

392
00:23:22.039 --> 00:23:26.549 A:middle L:90%
demonstrate how we do this. In this case the

393
00:23:26.549 --> 00:23:30.490 A:middle L:90%
red squares are E. T. Retrievals on land

394
00:23:30.490 --> 00:23:33.849 A:middle L:90%
set dates. The from the dis Alexey model,

395
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the blue circles are observed. Daily flux is the

396
00:23:38.609 --> 00:23:42.680 A:middle L:90%
gray line. Is the reference ET. That we

397
00:23:42.680 --> 00:23:47.289 A:middle L:90%
can compute on a daily basis using local just meteorological

398
00:23:47.289 --> 00:23:49.490 A:middle L:90%
data. So the potential the maximum ET we would

399
00:23:49.490 --> 00:23:53.210 A:middle L:90%
expect on a given date if we were going to

400
00:23:53.210 --> 00:23:56.930 A:middle L:90%
try to estimate daily et on the basis of land

401
00:23:56.930 --> 00:23:59.400 A:middle L:90%
sad alone. And we do try to do this

402
00:23:59.410 --> 00:24:02.390 A:middle L:90%
even with the Spar city of sampling, what we

403
00:24:02.390 --> 00:24:04.009 A:middle L:90%
would do is compute the ratio of actual to reference

404
00:24:04.009 --> 00:24:07.710 A:middle L:90%
ET On each of these lands that dates. So

405
00:24:07.710 --> 00:24:14.130 A:middle L:90%
it's a normalized et like 0-1. Yeah. One

406
00:24:14.130 --> 00:24:17.049 A:middle L:90%
being maximally T. And assume that that's kind of

407
00:24:17.049 --> 00:24:19.109 A:middle L:90%
an indicator of the surface moisture status, something that's

408
00:24:19.109 --> 00:24:25.299 A:middle L:90%
relatively conserved in time. We would interpolate those ratios

409
00:24:25.309 --> 00:24:29.740 A:middle L:90%
between the land set dates and retrieve the actually t

410
00:24:29.740 --> 00:24:32.500 A:middle L:90%
from the reference et on non land set dates.

411
00:24:32.500 --> 00:24:33.880 A:middle L:90%
And if we do that, this is what we

412
00:24:33.880 --> 00:24:37.940 A:middle L:90%
get an estimate of daily ET just based on land

413
00:24:37.940 --> 00:24:40.769 A:middle L:90%
sad. And it's not it's not too bad.

414
00:24:41.539 --> 00:24:42.160 A:middle L:90%
It does pretty well. You know, at the

415
00:24:42.160 --> 00:24:45.730 A:middle L:90%
beginning of the season, doesn't do too poorly at

416
00:24:45.730 --> 00:24:48.250 A:middle L:90%
the end of the season. But you can see

417
00:24:48.250 --> 00:24:52.359 A:middle L:90%
we're really underestimating the water use in the mid part

418
00:24:52.359 --> 00:24:55.109 A:middle L:90%
of the season right here. So what happened There

419
00:24:55.109 --> 00:24:56.630 A:middle L:90%
was a rainfall event that occurred close to the 4th

420
00:24:56.630 --> 00:25:00.410 A:middle L:90%
of July during sex. So to so it kind

421
00:25:00.410 --> 00:25:03.980 A:middle L:90%
of makes sense this land said image didn't know about

422
00:25:03.990 --> 00:25:07.289 A:middle L:90%
the moisture enhancements associated with this rainfall event and its

423
00:25:07.299 --> 00:25:11.349 A:middle L:90%
effects that kind of worn off by the time of

424
00:25:11.349 --> 00:25:15.710 A:middle L:90%
this second lands at date. we really can't hope

425
00:25:15.710 --> 00:25:18.740 A:middle L:90%
to recover that using Lance at alone and this is

426
00:25:18.740 --> 00:25:21.619 A:middle L:90%
the time period where the data fusion has added the

427
00:25:21.619 --> 00:25:26.210 A:middle L:90%
most value in this particular case. This is the

428
00:25:26.220 --> 00:25:27.329 A:middle L:90%
fuse time series. And you can see it's done

429
00:25:27.329 --> 00:25:30.130 A:middle L:90%
a much better job at capturing those enhanced flux is

430
00:25:30.130 --> 00:25:33.890 A:middle L:90%
due to that rainfall event. So what's going on

431
00:25:33.890 --> 00:25:36.579 A:middle L:90%
here, motus? It's kilometer resolution, it's pretty

432
00:25:36.579 --> 00:25:38.079 A:middle L:90%
coast of course, but it is giving us some

433
00:25:38.079 --> 00:25:41.779 A:middle L:90%
temporal information about this kind of larger scale rainfall system

434
00:25:41.779 --> 00:25:45.359 A:middle L:90%
that moved through the the system, the area,

435
00:25:47.039 --> 00:25:49.000 A:middle L:90%
giving us some indication that the moisture was a little

436
00:25:49.000 --> 00:25:53.849 A:middle L:90%
higher during this time period we saw. Excuse me

437
00:25:55.539 --> 00:25:59.569 A:middle L:90%
, this is the cumulative water use curve that we

438
00:25:59.569 --> 00:26:02.509 A:middle L:90%
retrieve. The dotted line is a land set only

439
00:26:02.509 --> 00:26:07.190 A:middle L:90%
retrieval the red line is the lancet motus Fused results

440
00:26:07.190 --> 00:26:11.569 A:middle L:90%
and it agrees pretty well with the observed water use

441
00:26:11.569 --> 00:26:14.269 A:middle L:90%
curve much better than land said. Only. We

442
00:26:14.269 --> 00:26:15.859 A:middle L:90%
saw that kind of value added at most of the

443
00:26:15.859 --> 00:26:22.289 A:middle L:90%
soybean sites in this soil moisture experiment of 2002 and

444
00:26:22.289 --> 00:26:25.960 A:middle L:90%
that kind of a sickly cornfield site. We saw

445
00:26:25.970 --> 00:26:27.779 A:middle L:90%
improvements due to the fusion. We saw less improvement

446
00:26:27.789 --> 00:26:32.220 A:middle L:90%
due to fusion at the the healthy corn sites because

447
00:26:32.220 --> 00:26:34.710 A:middle L:90%
these sites had already kind of Fully emerged by four

448
00:26:34.720 --> 00:26:40.759 A:middle L:90%
July um and they weren't quite as responsive as a

449
00:26:40.759 --> 00:26:42.759 A:middle L:90%
system to this rainfall event as the soybean fields.

450
00:26:42.940 --> 00:26:47.509 A:middle L:90%
But overall, the improvement in the seasonal cumulative water

451
00:26:47.509 --> 00:26:52.210 A:middle L:90%
use Went from about seven relative error using land said

452
00:26:52.210 --> 00:26:56.170 A:middle L:90%
only to about four relative error with very little bias

453
00:26:56.940 --> 00:26:59.869 A:middle L:90%
at the seasonal time steps. So that's that's useful

454
00:26:59.869 --> 00:27:03.509 A:middle L:90%
information. And just a summary of the results of

455
00:27:03.509 --> 00:27:07.059 A:middle L:90%
the other two sites barracks mead. So here we're

456
00:27:07.059 --> 00:27:10.750 A:middle L:90%
looking at a new irrigated cotton water use irrigated cotton

457
00:27:10.750 --> 00:27:14.799 A:middle L:90%
water use the green are observed. The black line

458
00:27:14.799 --> 00:27:18.740 A:middle L:90%
is the fused model estimates and then here are the

459
00:27:18.740 --> 00:27:22.619 A:middle L:90%
cumulative water use curves for the rain fed and irrigated

460
00:27:22.619 --> 00:27:26.150 A:middle L:90%
cotton, both modelled and measured and at the more

461
00:27:26.150 --> 00:27:27.869 A:middle L:90%
humid need site, we're looking at an irrigated irrigated

462
00:27:27.869 --> 00:27:32.849 A:middle L:90%
corn and the water cumulative water use curves at those

463
00:27:32.849 --> 00:27:33.339 A:middle L:90%
two sites. The model is doing a pretty good

464
00:27:33.339 --> 00:27:37.619 A:middle L:90%
job. It's maybe not capturing every little irrigation event

465
00:27:37.619 --> 00:27:41.130 A:middle L:90%
in these cotton fields, which is kind of reasonable

466
00:27:41.130 --> 00:27:44.329 A:middle L:90%
. The fields are fairly small scale, but we're

467
00:27:44.329 --> 00:27:48.440 A:middle L:90%
recovering the seasonal water use fairly well. It's interesting

468
00:27:48.440 --> 00:27:51.039 A:middle L:90%
to note the difference in the water use in these

469
00:27:51.039 --> 00:27:53.529 A:middle L:90%
two climatic systems. So, Barracks, that's in

470
00:27:53.529 --> 00:27:56.930 A:middle L:90%
the texas panhandle, very hot, dry site,

471
00:27:56.930 --> 00:28:02.099 A:middle L:90%
lot of dryer infection can really drive some strong evaporative

472
00:28:02.099 --> 00:28:04.509 A:middle L:90%
losses on these very windy hot days. So you

473
00:28:04.509 --> 00:28:07.829 A:middle L:90%
can see the water use between these two management is

474
00:28:07.829 --> 00:28:10.940 A:middle L:90%
peeling peeling off pretty early in the system. Whereas

475
00:28:11.299 --> 00:28:15.190 A:middle L:90%
in this more humid Nebraska site, the water use

476
00:28:15.190 --> 00:28:18.079 A:middle L:90%
between irrigated and non irrigated corn is pretty similar until

477
00:28:18.079 --> 00:28:21.140 A:middle L:90%
the very end of the season. This kind of

478
00:28:21.140 --> 00:28:25.579 A:middle L:90%
water use information, spatially detailed, temporal detailed is

479
00:28:25.589 --> 00:28:27.319 A:middle L:90%
just gold for water resource managers. If we can

480
00:28:27.319 --> 00:28:30.299 A:middle L:90%
do this accurately over large areas, they need to

481
00:28:30.299 --> 00:28:33.599 A:middle L:90%
know how to allocate water in advance between different competing

482
00:28:33.599 --> 00:28:40.359 A:middle L:90%
uses between irrigation demands, ecosystem services, urban uses

483
00:28:40.369 --> 00:28:42.390 A:middle L:90%
, if they can do this reliably using satellite data

484
00:28:42.390 --> 00:28:45.230 A:middle L:90%
at this spatial and temporal scale, it's gonna be

485
00:28:45.230 --> 00:28:51.519 A:middle L:90%
it's gonna be a a great asset. So this

486
00:28:51.519 --> 00:28:53.539 A:middle L:90%
is just a picture of one of our experimental sites

487
00:28:53.549 --> 00:28:56.200 A:middle L:90%
. Because give you an idea of how we run

488
00:28:56.200 --> 00:28:59.450 A:middle L:90%
these experiments. This is at the barracks site.

489
00:29:00.039 --> 00:29:02.039 A:middle L:90%
So here we have the irrigated cotton field in the

490
00:29:02.039 --> 00:29:03.880 A:middle L:90%
background and this is the in irrigated cotton field.

491
00:29:03.890 --> 00:29:06.589 A:middle L:90%
You can really see why they have to irrigate in

492
00:29:06.589 --> 00:29:08.460 A:middle L:90%
this area. Because this this cotton field did nothing

493
00:29:10.140 --> 00:29:12.250 A:middle L:90%
produce nothing during this growing season. This is an

494
00:29:12.259 --> 00:29:17.410 A:middle L:90%
eddy co variant system that's measuring the turbulent flux is

495
00:29:17.410 --> 00:29:19.069 A:middle L:90%
off the land surface, The sensible heat, the

496
00:29:19.069 --> 00:29:22.759 A:middle L:90%
latent heat Off a patch that's maybe 100 m in

497
00:29:22.759 --> 00:29:26.789 A:middle L:90%
dimension up wind of that sensor. We have a

498
00:29:26.789 --> 00:29:27.849 A:middle L:90%
rain gauge. We have some radiation sensors. We

499
00:29:27.849 --> 00:29:32.529 A:middle L:90%
also collected some high resolution aircraft data to help bridge

500
00:29:32.529 --> 00:29:36.079 A:middle L:90%
the gap between the observation scale and the satellite pixel

501
00:29:36.079 --> 00:29:38.089 A:middle L:90%
scale. And then this is a fused map of

502
00:29:38.089 --> 00:29:41.430 A:middle L:90%
ET over the whole experimental area. We can make

503
00:29:41.430 --> 00:29:44.859 A:middle L:90%
those maps for every day during the growing season and

504
00:29:44.859 --> 00:29:47.980 A:middle L:90%
kind of make an animation or a movie of changing

505
00:29:47.980 --> 00:29:52.529 A:middle L:90%
water. Use using this this fusion technique. And

506
00:29:52.529 --> 00:29:57.119 A:middle L:90%
let's see if this movie plays here. Okay,

507
00:29:57.119 --> 00:30:00.690 A:middle L:90%
so early in the season you can see some pulsing

508
00:30:00.690 --> 00:30:03.849 A:middle L:90%
between some more muted tones. Those are cloudy days

509
00:30:03.849 --> 00:30:04.950 A:middle L:90%
where there's not a lot of ev apple transpiration.

510
00:30:06.339 --> 00:30:10.109 A:middle L:90%
The dark green indicates high eV apple transpiration on clear

511
00:30:10.109 --> 00:30:11.789 A:middle L:90%
sky days. You can see some changes in the

512
00:30:11.789 --> 00:30:15.710 A:middle L:90%
water management going on. So the southern part of

513
00:30:15.710 --> 00:30:18.450 A:middle L:90%
this big pivot is turning on. We're going to

514
00:30:18.450 --> 00:30:19.740 A:middle L:90%
see the southern part of this pivot turning on a

515
00:30:19.740 --> 00:30:22.529 A:middle L:90%
little later in the season. This is the irrigated

516
00:30:22.529 --> 00:30:26.160 A:middle L:90%
cotton field next to the un irrigated cotton field.

517
00:30:26.809 --> 00:30:29.269 A:middle L:90%
This is our reference et site. Little grass plot

518
00:30:29.269 --> 00:30:33.329 A:middle L:90%
. Well watered. This is a concentrated animal feeding

519
00:30:33.329 --> 00:30:36.839 A:middle L:90%
operation. Big manure lagoons in the center of the

520
00:30:36.839 --> 00:30:40.329 A:middle L:90%
operation evaporating a lot of water. And over here

521
00:30:40.329 --> 00:30:41.460 A:middle L:90%
is the city of bushland texas. A lot of

522
00:30:41.460 --> 00:30:45.309 A:middle L:90%
residential land, probably irrigating their lawns using a lot

523
00:30:45.309 --> 00:30:49.150 A:middle L:90%
of water. You can see some strange experimental plots

524
00:30:49.150 --> 00:30:52.119 A:middle L:90%
here. This this is why I love land stats

525
00:30:52.119 --> 00:30:55.859 A:middle L:90%
so much. I can look at this map and

526
00:30:55.869 --> 00:30:57.970 A:middle L:90%
figure out what's going on. I can make connections

527
00:30:57.970 --> 00:31:02.190 A:middle L:90%
to what humans are doing on the landscape to cause

528
00:31:02.190 --> 00:31:03.369 A:middle L:90%
these moisture patterns. I can't do that with motive

529
00:31:03.369 --> 00:31:07.269 A:middle L:90%
scale data at a kilometer resolution. So this is

530
00:31:07.269 --> 00:31:10.890 A:middle L:90%
why why Lance has become such a, such a

531
00:31:10.890 --> 00:31:15.690 A:middle L:90%
big deal for water resource management. Now I'm coming

532
00:31:15.690 --> 00:31:17.859 A:middle L:90%
to the Forestry department so I thought I'd better put

533
00:31:17.859 --> 00:31:19.349 A:middle L:90%
a forest slide in here as well as some corn

534
00:31:19.349 --> 00:31:25.289 A:middle L:90%
and soybean sides. What's it? It is also

535
00:31:25.299 --> 00:31:29.160 A:middle L:90%
Okay. Okay. Forrest. Okay. But I

536
00:31:29.160 --> 00:31:30.839 A:middle L:90%
wanted to have at least something over a forest system

537
00:31:30.849 --> 00:31:33.420 A:middle L:90%
and this is some early work I did with dr

538
00:31:33.420 --> 00:31:37.359 A:middle L:90%
win and trying to validate some of these models over

539
00:31:37.359 --> 00:31:41.930 A:middle L:90%
forested. Manager's managed forested plots. And this is

540
00:31:41.930 --> 00:31:45.279 A:middle L:90%
using our carbon enabled version of the model. So

541
00:31:45.279 --> 00:31:48.990 A:middle L:90%
we're uh huh. Kind of evaluating carbon assimilation patterns

542
00:31:48.990 --> 00:31:52.980 A:middle L:90%
, latent heat flux in correlation with L. A

543
00:31:52.980 --> 00:31:56.329 A:middle L:90%
. And we were just talking about how to reinvigorate

544
00:31:56.329 --> 00:32:01.579 A:middle L:90%
this this particular course of research and create some dense

545
00:32:01.579 --> 00:32:07.589 A:middle L:90%
time series over some sites in north Carolina. This

546
00:32:07.589 --> 00:32:09.130 A:middle L:90%
is an example of this data mining sharpener that I

547
00:32:09.130 --> 00:32:13.289 A:middle L:90%
mentioned. It's a very nice tool, thermal imagery

548
00:32:13.289 --> 00:32:16.119 A:middle L:90%
is typically collected at course or resolution than shortwave bands

549
00:32:16.119 --> 00:32:21.240 A:middle L:90%
on the same satellite platform just because of the wavelength

550
00:32:21.240 --> 00:32:23.640 A:middle L:90%
effect on the sensors. So we thermal people were

551
00:32:23.640 --> 00:32:27.069 A:middle L:90%
always stuck with kind of crappy looking images like this

552
00:32:27.069 --> 00:32:30.549 A:middle L:90%
. Whereas the shortwave guys uh like these nice crisp

553
00:32:30.549 --> 00:32:31.579 A:middle L:90%
images and we get jealous. So we want to

554
00:32:31.579 --> 00:32:35.579 A:middle L:90%
find a way to improve the resolution of this to

555
00:32:35.579 --> 00:32:37.819 A:middle L:90%
match that of the shortwave bands. Doctor go in

556
00:32:37.819 --> 00:32:39.970 A:middle L:90%
. Our lab has has come up with this regression

557
00:32:39.970 --> 00:32:43.640 A:middle L:90%
tree approach where you throw all the band data into

558
00:32:43.640 --> 00:32:46.109 A:middle L:90%
a regression tree uses the short wave data to sharpen

559
00:32:46.109 --> 00:32:50.130 A:middle L:90%
up the The thermal image. So we're doing everything

560
00:32:50.130 --> 00:32:52.460 A:middle L:90%
at 30 m resolution. And we've tested over a

561
00:32:52.460 --> 00:32:54.660 A:middle L:90%
number of sites. We talked earlier about testing this

562
00:32:54.660 --> 00:32:59.440 A:middle L:90%
over some urban sites today but it does a good

563
00:32:59.440 --> 00:33:02.470 A:middle L:90%
job at recovering shadows and field boundaries. So that's

564
00:33:02.470 --> 00:33:06.119 A:middle L:90%
that's just kind of a data enhancement tool. So

565
00:33:06.119 --> 00:33:08.880 A:middle L:90%
what I've talked about so far is applying these different

566
00:33:08.880 --> 00:33:12.640 A:middle L:90%
modeling tools, the data fusion, the sharpening tool

567
00:33:12.740 --> 00:33:14.980 A:middle L:90%
, the et modeling to a number of different satellite

568
00:33:14.980 --> 00:33:19.630 A:middle L:90%
as assets To make these maps of water use at

569
00:33:19.640 --> 00:33:23.609 A:middle L:90%
30 m resolution. We're also doing work and this

570
00:33:23.609 --> 00:33:27.029 A:middle L:90%
is more work done by Fungal in my lab on

571
00:33:27.029 --> 00:33:31.059 A:middle L:90%
mapping crop technology at this same spatial resolution crowd phrenology

572
00:33:31.059 --> 00:33:34.880 A:middle L:90%
is a really useful way to interpret some of the

573
00:33:34.890 --> 00:33:36.960 A:middle L:90%
water use curves. We're seeing, we want to

574
00:33:36.960 --> 00:33:39.319 A:middle L:90%
see the water use turn on as the crops uh

575
00:33:39.329 --> 00:33:42.250 A:middle L:90%
emerge. And we want to know when the most

576
00:33:42.250 --> 00:33:45.900 A:middle L:90%
sensitive stage of crop growth is to moisture deficiencies.

577
00:33:45.910 --> 00:33:47.109 A:middle L:90%
If we want to do good yield estimates. So

578
00:33:47.109 --> 00:33:50.750 A:middle L:90%
I'm just gonna go through this quickly. We use

579
00:33:50.750 --> 00:33:53.089 A:middle L:90%
the same star FM algorithm but applied to the shortwave

580
00:33:53.089 --> 00:33:57.000 A:middle L:90%
reflect INce's and get time series of some kind of

581
00:33:57.000 --> 00:34:00.059 A:middle L:90%
vegetation index to which we can kind of fit uh

582
00:34:00.440 --> 00:34:04.579 A:middle L:90%
a curve. And in our case we're using a

583
00:34:04.589 --> 00:34:07.050 A:middle L:90%
time set algorithm. So here's star FM. Applied

584
00:34:07.050 --> 00:34:12.030 A:middle L:90%
to reflect ince's same thing, we use modus lands

585
00:34:12.030 --> 00:34:15.010 A:middle L:90%
that image pairs then apply star FM two Modis imagery

586
00:34:15.010 --> 00:34:19.050 A:middle L:90%
. When we don't have Lance at data to predict

587
00:34:19.050 --> 00:34:22.320 A:middle L:90%
the full time series Of the reflect ince's at 30

588
00:34:22.320 --> 00:34:27.280 A:middle L:90%
m resolution. So this is just a time series

589
00:34:27.280 --> 00:34:30.010 A:middle L:90%
of tv. Using landscape modus fusion over this area

590
00:34:30.010 --> 00:34:34.650 A:middle L:90%
. In central Iowa, we can pick out some

591
00:34:34.650 --> 00:34:37.150 A:middle L:90%
different land use classes and look at the difference in

592
00:34:37.150 --> 00:34:40.750 A:middle L:90%
the phonological evolution in these different classes, comparing.

593
00:34:40.760 --> 00:34:44.969 A:middle L:90%
So these little these are land set and these little

594
00:34:44.980 --> 00:34:47.420 A:middle L:90%
stars are lancet modest fusion to really kind of fill

595
00:34:47.420 --> 00:34:51.690 A:middle L:90%
out the the time series, fit our curve for

596
00:34:51.690 --> 00:34:55.090 A:middle L:90%
the different classes and pick out these Fiona logical metrics

597
00:34:57.940 --> 00:35:00.000 A:middle L:90%
that will be useful for other analyses. If we

598
00:35:00.000 --> 00:35:05.329 A:middle L:90%
do that spatially over central Iowa, we can see

599
00:35:05.329 --> 00:35:07.900 A:middle L:90%
the forests are emerging first. They're usually occurring in

600
00:35:07.900 --> 00:35:13.039 A:middle L:90%
right period areas along the river systems in this landscape

601
00:35:13.050 --> 00:35:15.400 A:middle L:90%
, corn is planted, first emerges first, soybean

602
00:35:15.400 --> 00:35:17.530 A:middle L:90%
emerges a little bit later and we can map out

603
00:35:17.539 --> 00:35:22.420 A:middle L:90%
for example, start of season. The next,

604
00:35:22.429 --> 00:35:24.690 A:middle L:90%
the next part of this talk is how do we

605
00:35:24.690 --> 00:35:30.690 A:middle L:90%
combine this water use information with this phrenology information two

606
00:35:30.699 --> 00:35:37.989 A:middle L:90%
for agricultural applications including yield estimation. Oh that's what

607
00:35:37.989 --> 00:35:40.789 A:middle L:90%
this slide is showing. We're combining these two to

608
00:35:40.789 --> 00:35:45.570 A:middle L:90%
eat data streams. Um to look at the stress

609
00:35:45.570 --> 00:35:50.710 A:middle L:90%
on yield. Now this is a drought index that

610
00:35:50.710 --> 00:35:53.409 A:middle L:90%
we've created in our lab. It's called the evaporative

611
00:35:53.409 --> 00:35:58.829 A:middle L:90%
stress index. Or see and there are drought in

612
00:35:58.829 --> 00:36:00.829 A:middle L:90%
this. I don't know how many different drought indices

613
00:36:00.829 --> 00:36:02.650 A:middle L:90%
. There are hundreds of different drought indices there for

614
00:36:02.650 --> 00:36:06.530 A:middle L:90%
you to choose from associated with every component of the

615
00:36:06.530 --> 00:36:09.099 A:middle L:90%
hydrologic budget you can think of. There are precipitation

616
00:36:09.099 --> 00:36:13.150 A:middle L:90%
anomalies, the standardized precipitation in disease. Those are

617
00:36:13.150 --> 00:36:15.550 A:middle L:90%
the most commonly used. There are anomalies and soil

618
00:36:15.550 --> 00:36:21.250 A:middle L:90%
moisture anomalies in stream flow anomalies and groundwater table.

619
00:36:22.130 --> 00:36:24.550 A:middle L:90%
This is based on anomalies in E. T.

620
00:36:25.030 --> 00:36:28.079 A:middle L:90%
And we think that this is a pretty good indicator

621
00:36:28.079 --> 00:36:31.070 A:middle L:90%
of vegetation health because it's really directly sampling changes in

622
00:36:31.070 --> 00:36:37.019 A:middle L:90%
the transpiration flux uh from this year to prior years

623
00:36:37.030 --> 00:36:39.349 A:middle L:90%
, a really good indicator of physiological functioning of the

624
00:36:39.360 --> 00:36:44.670 A:middle L:90%
vegetative canopy, even more directly related than anomalies in

625
00:36:44.670 --> 00:36:47.969 A:middle L:90%
the precipitation inputs itself. So here we're looking at

626
00:36:47.969 --> 00:36:53.420 A:middle L:90%
anomalies in this normalized et ratio et over pt the

627
00:36:53.420 --> 00:36:58.699 A:middle L:90%
red indicates areas where it was anomalous li lo in

628
00:36:58.699 --> 00:37:00.219 A:middle L:90%
this case for a three month period ending in july

629
00:37:00.219 --> 00:37:04.989 A:middle L:90%
of uh huh 2012. And this was in fact

630
00:37:05.000 --> 00:37:07.960 A:middle L:90%
the heart Of the area in the corn belt that

631
00:37:07.960 --> 00:37:12.369 A:middle L:90%
was affected by a flash drought in 2012. So

632
00:37:12.380 --> 00:37:15.579 A:middle L:90%
significant depletion of the soil moisture reserves in this area

633
00:37:15.579 --> 00:37:16.929 A:middle L:90%
. And this drought came on very very rapidly.

634
00:37:16.940 --> 00:37:21.699 A:middle L:90%
So they call it a flash drought event. And

635
00:37:21.699 --> 00:37:23.449 A:middle L:90%
this is happening more and more frequently in different parts

636
00:37:23.449 --> 00:37:25.949 A:middle L:90%
of the world. So people really want advanced notice

637
00:37:25.949 --> 00:37:29.579 A:middle L:90%
of these flash drought events as early as possible.

638
00:37:29.579 --> 00:37:31.539 A:middle L:90%
So you can adjust your decision making process. So

639
00:37:31.539 --> 00:37:34.400 A:middle L:90%
this is how it played out in 2012. This

640
00:37:34.400 --> 00:37:36.250 A:middle L:90%
is the U. S. Drought monitor. I'm

641
00:37:36.250 --> 00:37:37.590 A:middle L:90%
sure you've all seen the U. S. Drought

642
00:37:37.590 --> 00:37:42.050 A:middle L:90%
monitor maps. Its well publicized their updated every seven

643
00:37:42.050 --> 00:37:46.329 A:middle L:90%
days. It's kind of a subjective uh combination of

644
00:37:46.329 --> 00:37:51.849 A:middle L:90%
a number of different drought indicators indicating drought severity.

645
00:37:52.630 --> 00:37:54.840 A:middle L:90%
This is our C. E. Based anomaly map

646
00:37:55.329 --> 00:37:58.820 A:middle L:90%
and this is veg dry. This is a drought

647
00:37:58.820 --> 00:38:01.630 A:middle L:90%
index that's widely used. It's based mostly on anomalies

648
00:38:01.630 --> 00:38:06.969 A:middle L:90%
and ndvi I so it's tracking anomalies in the green

649
00:38:06.969 --> 00:38:09.550 A:middle L:90%
vegetation cover amount. So we're going through 2012.

650
00:38:09.550 --> 00:38:13.500 A:middle L:90%
We saw something going on in in the Central US

651
00:38:13.510 --> 00:38:15.130 A:middle L:90%
back in May and R. E. S.

652
00:38:15.130 --> 00:38:16.550 A:middle L:90%
I. That wasn't really being reported in other drought

653
00:38:16.550 --> 00:38:19.730 A:middle L:90%
and disease. As little concern that we had an

654
00:38:19.730 --> 00:38:23.949 A:middle L:90%
algorithm problem in our our model but as time evolved

655
00:38:24.320 --> 00:38:28.510 A:middle L:90%
we saw that same area just getting stronger and stronger

656
00:38:28.860 --> 00:38:32.139 A:middle L:90%
and finally in july and in august the other indicators

657
00:38:32.139 --> 00:38:35.809 A:middle L:90%
kind of caught up. This is a drought that

658
00:38:35.809 --> 00:38:37.500 A:middle L:90%
was driven not only by lower than normal precept but

659
00:38:37.500 --> 00:38:44.670 A:middle L:90%
also a lingering heat waves, very hot temperatures baking

660
00:38:44.670 --> 00:38:46.539 A:middle L:90%
the moisture out of the soil more rapidly than usual

661
00:38:46.920 --> 00:38:51.559 A:middle L:90%
. And some kind of windy periods also exacerbating the

662
00:38:51.559 --> 00:38:54.409 A:middle L:90%
evaporative losses. So we were sensitive that sensitive to

663
00:38:54.409 --> 00:38:57.329 A:middle L:90%
that fairly early on in this E. T.

664
00:38:57.329 --> 00:39:01.500 A:middle L:90%
Based index. Um So the theory here is you

665
00:39:01.500 --> 00:39:06.449 A:middle L:90%
may see a signal of impending crop stress first in

666
00:39:06.449 --> 00:39:09.360 A:middle L:90%
one of these thermal based retrievals. The canopy temperatures

667
00:39:09.360 --> 00:39:12.929 A:middle L:90%
are elevating. You're seeing the stress and thermal ban

668
00:39:12.940 --> 00:39:17.110 A:middle L:90%
before you see physical degradation of the green canopy that

669
00:39:17.110 --> 00:39:21.809 A:middle L:90%
might be conveyed by NdVI I So we're thinking there

670
00:39:21.809 --> 00:39:24.170 A:middle L:90%
may be some early warning potential associated with its index

671
00:39:24.480 --> 00:39:28.300 A:middle L:90%
. These are observations that were collected by observers on

672
00:39:28.300 --> 00:39:31.860 A:middle L:90%
the ground in every county, qualitatively assessing what the

673
00:39:31.860 --> 00:39:35.460 A:middle L:90%
moisture status was in every county. And and those

674
00:39:35.460 --> 00:39:37.130 A:middle L:90%
observers were seeing something going on in May, but

675
00:39:37.130 --> 00:39:39.739 A:middle L:90%
it wasn't being reflected in the precept or the vegetation

676
00:39:39.739 --> 00:39:43.889 A:middle L:90%
index. And that's exactly where the hit. The

677
00:39:43.889 --> 00:39:45.619 A:middle L:90%
biggest hits in the corn yields occurred that year.

678
00:39:45.619 --> 00:39:49.909 A:middle L:90%
So we've been working with Dave johnson, he's another

679
00:39:49.920 --> 00:39:51.869 A:middle L:90%
member of the science team, Lance, that science

680
00:39:51.869 --> 00:39:54.800 A:middle L:90%
team works with the National Egg Statistics Service. He

681
00:39:54.800 --> 00:39:59.440 A:middle L:90%
has to put out estimates of corn yield starting in

682
00:39:59.440 --> 00:40:01.699 A:middle L:90%
august every year. And then he updates that every

683
00:40:01.699 --> 00:40:07.929 A:middle L:90%
couple uh weeks as as more information comes in,

684
00:40:07.969 --> 00:40:09.909 A:middle L:90%
we're thinking we may have some early warning potential of

685
00:40:09.909 --> 00:40:13.599 A:middle L:90%
yield hits in this thermal based ET index. So

686
00:40:13.599 --> 00:40:15.559 A:middle L:90%
we're looking at correlations for different corn growing states in

687
00:40:15.559 --> 00:40:21.780 A:middle L:90%
this case with c distributions in day 105 for example

688
00:40:21.780 --> 00:40:24.820 A:middle L:90%
. And how that correlated with at harvest yield anomalies

689
00:40:25.309 --> 00:40:28.380 A:middle L:90%
and for all the different corn growing states. And

690
00:40:28.380 --> 00:40:31.159 A:middle L:90%
we find that the maximum correlations are occurring about when

691
00:40:31.159 --> 00:40:34.340 A:middle L:90%
he needs to put his first yield estimates out.

692
00:40:34.349 --> 00:40:36.179 A:middle L:90%
So that's a good thing. There are some states

693
00:40:36.179 --> 00:40:39.300 A:middle L:90%
that don't behave nicely North Dakota Minnesota. Well those

694
00:40:39.300 --> 00:40:42.110 A:middle L:90%
were some of those states where we have all these

695
00:40:42.110 --> 00:40:46.139 A:middle L:90%
little wetlands sitting around corrupting our course resolution stress signal

696
00:40:46.610 --> 00:40:49.739 A:middle L:90%
. So this was all done with a 10 km

697
00:40:49.739 --> 00:40:52.599 A:middle L:90%
map. We're hoping once we can get this data

698
00:40:52.599 --> 00:40:54.619 A:middle L:90%
fusion algorithm running more operationally, we can use it

699
00:40:54.630 --> 00:40:59.489 A:middle L:90%
to spatially desegregate these core stress signals down to the

700
00:40:59.489 --> 00:41:04.000 A:middle L:90%
field scale where we can really isolate corn and soybeans

701
00:41:04.010 --> 00:41:07.260 A:middle L:90%
from, from these water bodies are forest uh sites

702
00:41:08.409 --> 00:41:13.010 A:middle L:90%
. And make these okay, make these maps at

703
00:41:13.010 --> 00:41:15.960 A:middle L:90%
much finer spatial resolution. So this is where we're

704
00:41:15.960 --> 00:41:16.960 A:middle L:90%
going with this right now. I'll just skip over

705
00:41:16.960 --> 00:41:22.010 A:middle L:90%
this. So this map is being put out operationally

706
00:41:22.019 --> 00:41:28.420 A:middle L:90%
over the Continental United States at our website right now

707
00:41:28.429 --> 00:41:30.769 A:middle L:90%
. I just turned it on for this season last

708
00:41:30.769 --> 00:41:34.630 A:middle L:90%
week but we're trying to add additional tabs onto this

709
00:41:34.630 --> 00:41:37.840 A:middle L:90%
website covering some different geographic locations. And I'll just

710
00:41:37.840 --> 00:41:39.550 A:middle L:90%
briefly talk about some of the areas other areas we're

711
00:41:39.550 --> 00:41:44.440 A:middle L:90%
working on. So this is the coverage of goes

712
00:41:44.440 --> 00:41:47.429 A:middle L:90%
east and goes west, our noah satellites, weather

713
00:41:47.429 --> 00:41:52.340 A:middle L:90%
satellites. So we're stitching together east and west over

714
00:41:52.650 --> 00:41:55.090 A:middle L:90%
Coronas. We're also expanding to north America. We

715
00:41:55.090 --> 00:41:59.369 A:middle L:90%
hope to turn on that tab this season. And

716
00:41:59.369 --> 00:42:00.230 A:middle L:90%
also we got a very, very nice view of

717
00:42:00.230 --> 00:42:02.710 A:middle L:90%
south America with goes east. So these were some

718
00:42:02.710 --> 00:42:06.369 A:middle L:90%
of our first areas. So that's an example of

719
00:42:06.369 --> 00:42:08.849 A:middle L:90%
the product will be putting out over north America because

720
00:42:08.849 --> 00:42:12.679 A:middle L:90%
droughts don't end at the border, they continue into

721
00:42:12.690 --> 00:42:17.849 A:middle L:90%
Canada into Mexico. And this is an example of

722
00:42:17.849 --> 00:42:21.360 A:middle L:90%
a first E. T. Map. This is

723
00:42:21.360 --> 00:42:24.099 A:middle L:90%
clear sky et over south America generated at 10 kilometers

724
00:42:24.099 --> 00:42:28.199 A:middle L:90%
resolution. I had a scientist visiting our lab for

725
00:42:28.199 --> 00:42:31.920 A:middle L:90%
a year from Embrapa, the Brazilian agricultural research System

726
00:42:31.920 --> 00:42:35.800 A:middle L:90%
and he's been helping me kind of evaluate these maps

727
00:42:35.800 --> 00:42:38.469 A:middle L:90%
over brazil and South America. We can make the

728
00:42:38.469 --> 00:42:42.820 A:middle L:90%
same time series of maps here and look and see

729
00:42:42.820 --> 00:42:44.489 A:middle L:90%
if we see some of the there was a major

730
00:42:44.489 --> 00:42:47.920 A:middle L:90%
drought in the amazon In the western Amazon in 2005

731
00:42:49.400 --> 00:42:53.960 A:middle L:90%
That's showing up here even bigger one in 2010 and

732
00:42:53.969 --> 00:42:58.619 A:middle L:90%
a very lingering drought in northeast brazil that was really

733
00:42:58.619 --> 00:43:00.409 A:middle L:90%
impacting the local communities. They had to bring in

734
00:43:00.409 --> 00:43:02.909 A:middle L:90%
some water trucks to supply the water needs. It

735
00:43:02.909 --> 00:43:05.880 A:middle L:90%
lasted for a long time. There's another one turning

736
00:43:05.880 --> 00:43:08.130 A:middle L:90%
on down here in Southeast brazil right now. We

737
00:43:08.130 --> 00:43:12.639 A:middle L:90%
also see some flooding impacts, big floods in the

738
00:43:12.639 --> 00:43:15.760 A:middle L:90%
Amazon in 2009 And one in 2012. So we're

739
00:43:15.760 --> 00:43:21.190 A:middle L:90%
writing some papers an evaluation of this Brazilian, uh

740
00:43:21.190 --> 00:43:23.420 A:middle L:90%
huh drought map. We've done some yield estimation,

741
00:43:23.420 --> 00:43:27.940 A:middle L:90%
correlation studies and some of the the crop growing states

742
00:43:27.949 --> 00:43:30.300 A:middle L:90%
in brazil, we have to be very careful of

743
00:43:30.309 --> 00:43:34.400 A:middle L:90%
trying to mask out forested lands. I'm sorry,

744
00:43:34.400 --> 00:43:36.130 A:middle L:90%
but we got to get rid of those forest pixels

745
00:43:36.130 --> 00:43:37.989 A:middle L:90%
in this particular application because especially in the amazon,

746
00:43:38.170 --> 00:43:42.079 A:middle L:90%
those trees are really deep rooted and they're very resilient

747
00:43:42.090 --> 00:43:45.989 A:middle L:90%
to drought impacts compared to the shorter rooted agricultural crops

748
00:43:46.050 --> 00:43:49.070 A:middle L:90%
. So it's going to just ruin our signal.

749
00:43:49.070 --> 00:43:50.829 A:middle L:90%
If we have all those forested pixels in there,

750
00:43:50.829 --> 00:43:52.239 A:middle L:90%
we've done the best we can. We need to

751
00:43:52.250 --> 00:43:55.449 A:middle L:90%
do better job at doing this mask and we need

752
00:43:55.449 --> 00:43:59.500 A:middle L:90%
to do this at high spatial resolution as well because

753
00:43:59.510 --> 00:44:01.679 A:middle L:90%
our initial results, are there okay. Work in

754
00:44:01.679 --> 00:44:04.730 A:middle L:90%
some states, not so well in other states were

755
00:44:04.730 --> 00:44:07.179 A:middle L:90%
tracking down what the causes of this. This problem

756
00:44:07.179 --> 00:44:09.670 A:middle L:90%
is, but I think land use masking and going

757
00:44:09.670 --> 00:44:12.869 A:middle L:90%
to higher spatial resolution is going to be the key

758
00:44:12.869 --> 00:44:15.230 A:middle L:90%
here. So soybean, clearly a big export from

759
00:44:15.230 --> 00:44:17.500 A:middle L:90%
brazil. We looked at some other crops as well

760
00:44:20.590 --> 00:44:22.750 A:middle L:90%
, other parts of the world. So these are

761
00:44:22.750 --> 00:44:25.119 A:middle L:90%
geo stationary satellites operated by the european Union called the

762
00:44:25.119 --> 00:44:29.690 A:middle L:90%
Media's satellites. And with the operational satellite, we

763
00:44:29.690 --> 00:44:31.429 A:middle L:90%
get a really good view of the full African continent

764
00:44:31.440 --> 00:44:35.599 A:middle L:90%
and we get a more oblique view of europe.

765
00:44:35.610 --> 00:44:37.900 A:middle L:90%
We've been looking at both these areas. This is

766
00:44:37.900 --> 00:44:42.639 A:middle L:90%
a three kilometer resolution maps supported by mediaset over North

767
00:44:42.639 --> 00:44:46.920 A:middle L:90%
africa. Lots of nice spatial detail in this map

768
00:44:47.489 --> 00:44:51.010 A:middle L:90%
. We've done a lot of research over the Nile

769
00:44:51.010 --> 00:44:54.090 A:middle L:90%
River basin. I don't know if this is going

770
00:44:54.090 --> 00:44:57.489 A:middle L:90%
to work. So this is kind of a promo

771
00:44:57.489 --> 00:45:00.050 A:middle L:90%
video that Nasa put together for this project comparing a

772
00:45:00.050 --> 00:45:05.630 A:middle L:90%
lot of different data sources, trim precipitation distribution over

773
00:45:05.630 --> 00:45:12.550 A:middle L:90%
the Nile basin. So satellite dr precipitation maps over

774
00:45:12.550 --> 00:45:15.250 A:middle L:90%
the course of a year and you can see the

775
00:45:15.250 --> 00:45:19.500 A:middle L:90%
pulsing of the the rains during the dry season.

776
00:45:19.500 --> 00:45:22.360 A:middle L:90%
So this is Alexey. Drived evaporate transpiration over the

777
00:45:22.360 --> 00:45:24.340 A:middle L:90%
same time period. You can see the greening moving

778
00:45:24.340 --> 00:45:30.090 A:middle L:90%
through the Ethiopian Highlands and then receding southward. This

779
00:45:30.090 --> 00:45:31.980 A:middle L:90%
is a retrieve soil moisture. This is from a

780
00:45:31.980 --> 00:45:35.250 A:middle L:90%
hydrologic model. You can see some of the problems

781
00:45:35.250 --> 00:45:37.349 A:middle L:90%
in their inputs. This is a different soil type

782
00:45:37.349 --> 00:45:40.519 A:middle L:90%
down here which is putting this weird discontinuity and V

783
00:45:40.670 --> 00:45:43.809 A:middle L:90%
. C. The green up in this map.

784
00:45:45.889 --> 00:45:49.579 A:middle L:90%
And there may be one other thing. So this

785
00:45:49.579 --> 00:45:52.000 A:middle L:90%
is the grace. This is groundwater storage retrieved from

786
00:45:52.000 --> 00:45:57.030 A:middle L:90%
a satellite that measures gravitational anomalies. We're trying to

787
00:45:57.030 --> 00:46:00.690 A:middle L:90%
piece all these different satellite based indicators together to see

788
00:46:00.690 --> 00:46:02.610 A:middle L:90%
if we can do what water balance just using satellite

789
00:46:02.619 --> 00:46:07.139 A:middle L:90%
data. So this is the focus area of of

790
00:46:07.139 --> 00:46:09.570 A:middle L:90%
the Nile study. This is the comparison. That's

791
00:46:09.570 --> 00:46:14.179 A:middle L:90%
another place where we've compared energy balance versus water balance

792
00:46:14.179 --> 00:46:15.849 A:middle L:90%
estimates. So on the left is an energy balance

793
00:46:15.849 --> 00:46:19.690 A:middle L:90%
model on the right as the water balance model.

794
00:46:19.690 --> 00:46:22.260 A:middle L:90%
And if you look from a distance, the broad

795
00:46:22.260 --> 00:46:24.900 A:middle L:90%
patterns are very similar. But there are some very

796
00:46:24.900 --> 00:46:30.010 A:middle L:90%
important differences were capturing the intense irrigation in the Nile

797
00:46:30.010 --> 00:46:32.340 A:middle L:90%
river delta that is not captured in this water balance

798
00:46:32.340 --> 00:46:35.869 A:middle L:90%
. That doesn't really know where the irrigation is occurring

799
00:46:35.880 --> 00:46:37.639 A:middle L:90%
. And this is another irrigation scheme in Sudan.

800
00:46:37.670 --> 00:46:40.300 A:middle L:90%
The Gezira scheme that we're seeing enhanced flux is missed

801
00:46:40.300 --> 00:46:45.260 A:middle L:90%
here. This is the sued wetland in which is

802
00:46:45.260 --> 00:46:47.849 A:middle L:90%
a really major sink of water along the white Nile

803
00:46:47.860 --> 00:46:52.769 A:middle L:90%
before it reaches up with the blue Nile. Really

804
00:46:52.769 --> 00:46:55.369 A:middle L:90%
important to quantify on a basin scale. All these

805
00:46:55.369 --> 00:47:00.219 A:middle L:90%
different extractions and water use, very limited information available

806
00:47:00.219 --> 00:47:02.320 A:middle L:90%
about this on the ground. We can get kind

807
00:47:02.320 --> 00:47:06.480 A:middle L:90%
of an objective use of this water use situation using

808
00:47:06.480 --> 00:47:07.400 A:middle L:90%
the satellite data, but we really have to be

809
00:47:07.469 --> 00:47:13.500 A:middle L:90%
sensitive to some of these non standard moisture sources and

810
00:47:13.500 --> 00:47:16.849 A:middle L:90%
sinks that are difficult to capture a priority. A

811
00:47:16.849 --> 00:47:22.000 A:middle L:90%
map of the famine, drought impacted area in the

812
00:47:22.000 --> 00:47:27.179 A:middle L:90%
Horn of Africa in 2011 shows up in the fetal

813
00:47:27.179 --> 00:47:30.489 A:middle L:90%
anomalies and I just gave this presentation in the Czech

814
00:47:30.500 --> 00:47:32.239 A:middle L:90%
Republic. So I had to throw in some stuff

815
00:47:32.239 --> 00:47:34.960 A:middle L:90%
about europe. I'm not going to show you this

816
00:47:34.969 --> 00:47:38.739 A:middle L:90%
this uh movie. So I was in the Czech

817
00:47:38.739 --> 00:47:43.960 A:middle L:90%
Republic. This is a really interesting example of why

818
00:47:43.960 --> 00:47:46.840 A:middle L:90%
we need land set in some, some kinds of

819
00:47:46.840 --> 00:47:51.289 A:middle L:90%
landscapes. So this is the Czech Austrian border here

820
00:47:52.480 --> 00:47:53.920 A:middle L:90%
and this is a glance at pixel size and this

821
00:47:53.920 --> 00:47:57.869 A:middle L:90%
is the modus pixel size. So you can see

822
00:47:57.869 --> 00:48:01.590 A:middle L:90%
that there's a big kind of change in land use

823
00:48:01.590 --> 00:48:06.170 A:middle L:90%
patterns right at that border. Well this, the

824
00:48:06.179 --> 00:48:07.690 A:middle L:90%
Czech Republic was under a kind of a socialized farming

825
00:48:08.070 --> 00:48:10.849 A:middle L:90%
regime For a number of years, the field sizes

826
00:48:10.849 --> 00:48:15.469 A:middle L:90%
have been consolidated into bigger fields, whereas in Austria

827
00:48:15.469 --> 00:48:16.789 A:middle L:90%
, the fields are just progressively chopped into smaller and

828
00:48:16.789 --> 00:48:22.159 A:middle L:90%
smaller parts through inheritance. So we certainly need land

829
00:48:22.159 --> 00:48:24.909 A:middle L:90%
set down in Austria. We may get away with

830
00:48:24.909 --> 00:48:32.010 A:middle L:90%
motive scale evaluations in in the Czech Republic. And

831
00:48:32.010 --> 00:48:36.010 A:middle L:90%
this is just a demonstration of our first drought maps

832
00:48:36.010 --> 00:48:37.489 A:middle L:90%
that we just produced about a month ago over europe

833
00:48:37.489 --> 00:48:42.210 A:middle L:90%
using the media set satellites. The next step of

834
00:48:42.210 --> 00:48:44.360 A:middle L:90%
course, we've got to got to tackle the whole

835
00:48:44.360 --> 00:48:47.389 A:middle L:90%
globe. We're doing this with a modus satellite.

836
00:48:47.869 --> 00:48:51.429 A:middle L:90%
We're using modus in a geo stationary mode. In

837
00:48:51.429 --> 00:48:53.340 A:middle L:90%
this case modus gives a stay night temperature differences.

838
00:48:53.340 --> 00:48:57.679 A:middle L:90%
Were using kind of a time differential temperature measurement from

839
00:48:57.679 --> 00:49:00.679 A:middle L:90%
a single satellite in this case to map the evaporative

840
00:49:00.679 --> 00:49:02.480 A:middle L:90%
flux is over the whole globe. And we want

841
00:49:02.480 --> 00:49:06.789 A:middle L:90%
to put out these drought indices at the global scale

842
00:49:06.789 --> 00:49:08.630 A:middle L:90%
as well, which we can compare back to geo

843
00:49:08.630 --> 00:49:12.739 A:middle L:90%
stationary satellites. So I just have time sequences of

844
00:49:12.750 --> 00:49:19.730 A:middle L:90%
these two different satellite retrievals and randy. I'm I'm

845
00:49:19.739 --> 00:49:22.570 A:middle L:90%
going to wrap up with these closing thoughts about the

846
00:49:22.570 --> 00:49:29.079 A:middle L:90%
utility of satellite based E. T. Retrievals and

847
00:49:29.079 --> 00:49:32.039 A:middle L:90%
the importance of land surface temperature in in making these

848
00:49:32.039 --> 00:49:36.699 A:middle L:90%
estimations over certain types of landscapes and for certain types

849
00:49:36.699 --> 00:49:39.079 A:middle L:90%
of applications. So thank you for for listening so

850
00:49:39.079 --> 00:49:45.699 A:middle L:90%
well and staying away and I appreciate that. Mhm

851
00:49:47.070 --> 00:49:50.320 A:middle L:90%
. We don't have time for but we'll take a

852
00:49:50.489 --> 00:49:55.820 A:middle L:90%
question yes about story friend who is not working as

853
00:49:55.820 --> 00:50:00.030 A:middle L:90%
a host of Mhm martin. And I remember that

854
00:50:00.039 --> 00:50:04.519 A:middle L:90%
this a family physical methods that fuses now if we're

855
00:50:04.519 --> 00:50:07.309 A:middle L:90%
talking and which is pretty regular for talking about the

856
00:50:07.630 --> 00:50:08.980 A:middle L:90%
fact that we're talking about irrigation, which we don't

857
00:50:09.760 --> 00:50:13.579 A:middle L:90%
you to say cloud doesn't that mean? For example

858
00:50:13.960 --> 00:50:16.110 A:middle L:90%
you'll also be seeing it down the process of reducing

859
00:50:16.289 --> 00:50:21.199 A:middle L:90%
administration because of the house. We can't do a

860
00:50:21.199 --> 00:50:23.849 A:middle L:90%
direct retrieval using under cloud covered areas. So we're

861
00:50:23.849 --> 00:50:30.099 A:middle L:90%
only using estimates of the clear sky evaporative flux is

862
00:50:31.760 --> 00:50:34.840 A:middle L:90%
so we need to do more testing of this under

863
00:50:34.840 --> 00:50:37.329 A:middle L:90%
kind of mixed sky uh conditions. But where we're

864
00:50:37.329 --> 00:50:40.400 A:middle L:90%
getting the actual Lance that data and the actual motive

865
00:50:40.409 --> 00:50:44.099 A:middle L:90%
retrieval is under clear sky conditions. And then we

866
00:50:44.099 --> 00:50:45.670 A:middle L:90%
have kind of a cloudy sky gap filling algorithm that

867
00:50:45.670 --> 00:50:52.280 A:middle L:90%
we have to superimpose on this. So great.

868
00:50:52.659 --> 00:50:54.320 A:middle L:90%
Well, yes, it would it would the gap

869
00:50:54.320 --> 00:50:58.650 A:middle L:90%
filling algorithm. We have to estimate evaporate transpiration under

870
00:50:58.650 --> 00:51:01.389 A:middle L:90%
cloudy conditions. So we would we would we know

871
00:51:01.389 --> 00:51:05.389 A:middle L:90%
that the reduced we know we can quantify the reduced

872
00:51:05.389 --> 00:51:07.820 A:middle L:90%
radiation load in those cases. So we can we

873
00:51:07.820 --> 00:51:13.900 A:middle L:90%
can retrieve that. And the center pivot irrigation here

874
00:51:16.159 --> 00:51:22.969 A:middle L:90%
. You got moisture. Oh, it can it

875
00:51:22.969 --> 00:51:25.860 A:middle L:90%
can affect your potential et estimates. So if you're

876
00:51:25.860 --> 00:51:30.849 A:middle L:90%
trying to estimate the potentially t over center irrigated pivot

877
00:51:30.860 --> 00:51:32.349 A:middle L:90%
with meteorological data, that's not inside the pivot,

878
00:51:32.360 --> 00:51:37.239 A:middle L:90%
it's going to estimate uh drier conditions in a larger

879
00:51:37.239 --> 00:51:40.960 A:middle L:90%
pt than you actually realize in that field because of

880
00:51:40.960 --> 00:51:45.809 A:middle L:90%
this uh self humidifier thing situation. So that is

881
00:51:45.820 --> 00:51:50.179 A:middle L:90%
that is something that we have to take into account

882
00:51:50.179 --> 00:51:53.579 A:middle L:90%
if we have extended irrigation areas irrigated areas. If

883
00:51:53.579 --> 00:51:57.119 A:middle L:90%
we have little isolated pivots here or there, it's

884
00:51:57.119 --> 00:51:58.550 A:middle L:90%
not going to make such a big difference. But

885
00:51:58.550 --> 00:52:00.019 A:middle L:90%
if you have a whole huge irrigation district, then

886
00:52:00.019 --> 00:52:02.150 A:middle L:90%
you have to modify your P. T. Estimates

887
00:52:02.150 --> 00:52:05.960 A:middle L:90%
over those areas. But it won't affect the direct

888
00:52:05.960 --> 00:52:09.329 A:middle L:90%
retrieval of the evaporative flux which is obtained through energy

889
00:52:09.329 --> 00:52:15.880 A:middle L:90%
balance rather than atmospheric kind of moisture exchange principles.

890
00:52:16.449 --> 00:52:22.480 A:middle L:90%
Yes. About water sources. There's never come.

891
00:52:22.050 --> 00:52:27.340 A:middle L:90%
Who is using? Okay. I will comment on

892
00:52:27.340 --> 00:52:30.000 A:middle L:90%
who's using. Not my model estimates, but somebody

893
00:52:30.000 --> 00:52:32.929 A:middle L:90%
else's model estimates who's who's working in Idaho. And

894
00:52:32.929 --> 00:52:36.420 A:middle L:90%
it's uh one big use in the United States is

895
00:52:36.420 --> 00:52:39.699 A:middle L:90%
water rights management. So in the Western U.

896
00:52:39.699 --> 00:52:43.360 A:middle L:90%
S. You have your water rights, you can

897
00:52:43.369 --> 00:52:45.530 A:middle L:90%
pump up into those water rights, you can't exceed

898
00:52:45.530 --> 00:52:47.659 A:middle L:90%
the water rights and you have to pump a certain

899
00:52:47.659 --> 00:52:50.829 A:middle L:90%
amount of water every year. Otherwise you forfeit your

900
00:52:50.829 --> 00:52:54.059 A:middle L:90%
right. So there's just a huge pressure to monitor

901
00:52:54.650 --> 00:52:57.909 A:middle L:90%
water use at scales of individual fields. And they

902
00:52:57.909 --> 00:53:00.869 A:middle L:90%
used to do this based on electrical records, the

903
00:53:00.869 --> 00:53:02.769 A:middle L:90%
pump electricity. And they would empirically relate that to

904
00:53:02.769 --> 00:53:06.659 A:middle L:90%
water pumps. Now they're doing it with satellite E

905
00:53:06.659 --> 00:53:10.449 A:middle L:90%
. T. So you can identify users who are

906
00:53:10.449 --> 00:53:15.710 A:middle L:90%
pumping more than their allocated allotment and go after those

907
00:53:15.710 --> 00:53:21.469 A:middle L:90%
people. And you can also use this information to

908
00:53:21.469 --> 00:53:25.960 A:middle L:90%
negotiate water rights, trades and transfers interstate water compacts

909
00:53:25.969 --> 00:53:29.869 A:middle L:90%
. It's being used. Satellite T retrieval is being

910
00:53:29.869 --> 00:53:32.289 A:middle L:90%
used in the courts right now to negotiate interstate water

911
00:53:32.300 --> 00:53:37.389 A:middle L:90%
compacts and some disputes about water uses. Or if

912
00:53:37.389 --> 00:53:42.460 A:middle L:90%
you need to establish a curtailment of irrigation in Syria

913
00:53:42.469 --> 00:53:45.219 A:middle L:90%
. So if it's in a drought time, you

914
00:53:45.230 --> 00:53:47.469 A:middle L:90%
need to supply the senior water rights, the junior

915
00:53:47.469 --> 00:53:51.590 A:middle L:90%
water rights holders may be curtailed and they use this

916
00:53:51.590 --> 00:53:53.739 A:middle L:90%
information to make those decisions as well. So those

917
00:53:53.739 --> 00:53:58.219 A:middle L:90%
are some kind of legalistic applications. Were using it

918
00:53:58.219 --> 00:54:02.449 A:middle L:90%
more in terms of crop stress identification and yield yield

919
00:54:02.449 --> 00:54:09.570 A:middle L:90%
estimations, drought monitoring notice in in Arkansas, there

920
00:54:09.570 --> 00:54:12.920 A:middle L:90%
was some difference in terms of agreement. You mentioned

921
00:54:12.920 --> 00:54:15.559 A:middle L:90%
Minnesota and some of these areas of career. Yeah

922
00:54:15.940 --> 00:54:17.599 A:middle L:90%
. How does that take positive model? Deal with

923
00:54:17.610 --> 00:54:20.550 A:middle L:90%
the underlying substrate? Say if you have a shallow

924
00:54:20.559 --> 00:54:27.500 A:middle L:90%
parcel quick. Yeah, in Arkansas is a special

925
00:54:27.500 --> 00:54:29.880 A:middle L:90%
case because Arkansas, most the corn is grown under

926
00:54:29.880 --> 00:54:31.539 A:middle L:90%
irrigation. And so we're not just, we're just

927
00:54:31.539 --> 00:54:35.420 A:middle L:90%
not seeing a lot of variability in Arkansas and it's

928
00:54:35.420 --> 00:54:37.369 A:middle L:90%
not really related to the climate. So I think

929
00:54:37.369 --> 00:54:42.170 A:middle L:90%
that's what's going in Arkansas, but hopefully this isn't

930
00:54:42.170 --> 00:54:44.920 A:middle L:90%
, this is another area where these techniques might be

931
00:54:44.920 --> 00:54:47.409 A:middle L:90%
useful if there is some hidden moisture source that we

932
00:54:47.409 --> 00:54:50.969 A:middle L:90%
don't know about a priority. The land surface temperature

933
00:54:50.969 --> 00:54:53.000 A:middle L:90%
should be giving us a clue that that moisture is

934
00:54:53.000 --> 00:54:55.559 A:middle L:90%
available. So I think I think we should be

935
00:54:55.559 --> 00:54:59.039 A:middle L:90%
able to pick this up. Now. My my

936
00:54:59.050 --> 00:55:01.429 A:middle L:90%
husband is a forest hydrologist for the Forest Service.

937
00:55:01.429 --> 00:55:05.880 A:middle L:90%
He's working on groundwater impacts on forestry. He's really

938
00:55:05.889 --> 00:55:09.380 A:middle L:90%
interested in identifying forest patches that are being influenced by

939
00:55:09.389 --> 00:55:14.429 A:middle L:90%
by groundwater systems. So I think we want to

940
00:55:14.429 --> 00:55:16.659 A:middle L:90%
look spatially and see here's a strangely behaving patch of

941
00:55:16.659 --> 00:55:21.719 A:middle L:90%
forest or something sitting over a cursed substrate, it's

942
00:55:21.719 --> 00:55:23.579 A:middle L:90%
wetter than we expect. And, and uh,

943
00:55:23.590 --> 00:55:27.230 A:middle L:90%
and see if we can explain why that is.

944
00:55:27.230 --> 00:55:29.659 A:middle L:90%
And that's why I think doing these comparisons is so

945
00:55:29.670 --> 00:55:32.170 A:middle L:90%
, so useful because these strange areas just pop out

946
00:55:34.239 --> 00:55:37.630 A:middle L:90%
regionally. Thanks for together. Thank you. Thank

947
00:55:37.630 --> 00:55:40.659 A:middle L:90%
you all

