WEBVTT

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Thank you very much. I don't know where that

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came from, but thanks a lot. Good afternoon

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. My name is Bill Hopkins. Uh I am

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a professor in the department of Fish and Wildlife Conservation

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here at Virginia Tech and I also have the pleasure

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of directing the Global Change Center at the university.

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I'd like to welcome everyone to another installment of our

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Global Change Center distinguished lecture series. Uh, these

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are public events and as you know, I saw

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a lot of familiar faces, which makes me happy

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to see that we have people coming back means we're

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doing something right. I hope uh, these events

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are one of a number of things that we try

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to do to engage the community on issues that we

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find to be of great societal importance. And it's

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wonderful to see such a strong turnout again. Today's

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talk will focus on one of the most important challenges

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facing humanity today. How do we protect dwindling freshwater

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resources so that both society and healthy ecosystems, the

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ecosystems that we depend on for our own survival can

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simultaneously thrive. We're very fortunate to have bryan Richter

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, one of the world's foremost authorities on these complex

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water issues with us here on campus for a couple

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of days as well as this afternoon. Before we

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get started. I want to thank some of our

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key um, folks that made this event possible first

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and foremost, the frail and Life Science Institute frail

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in uh, is our home on campus, their

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academic home and they provide a great deal of our

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funding, the Virginia Tech Graduate School who funds our

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interfaces of global change, uh, interdisciplinary graduate education

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program, which is within the center. Uh,

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both of these frail in as well as the graduate

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school. We couldn't do anything that we do,

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including these sorts of events without their support. And

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our key partner on this specific event today is the

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Virginia Water Resources Research Center. Also known, that's

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what the shout out was for. It wasn't for

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me, it was for the Water Center. The

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Water Center led by dr steven Schoenholtz will introduce in

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just a moment. I also want to thank the

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frail in life sciences uh staff and in particular,

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I want to thank Gloria Schoenholtz for handling all the

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logistics for this event, as well as all as

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well as all of the events that we hold and

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last and last, and certainly not least. And

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we better get a lot of these hoops and hollers

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for this one. I want to thank the Lyric

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Theatre. Uh this has been an amazing partnership.

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Yes. Mhm. Yeah. Mhm. It's been

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an amazing partnership for the last couple of years,

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and I'm really looking forward to continuing this. It's

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a it's a wonderful venue for us to talk about

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these sorts of important issues. Uh, so one

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more time, let's thank the lyric and let's thank

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everybody that's been helping out with these efforts. Yeah

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. And speaking of the lyric and these free public

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events, just a shout out for next Wednesday,

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right here, seven PM will be airing a free

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film. It's a private screening of the film Between

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Earth and Sky. It's a film that's going to

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be airing on PBS. This is a pre screening

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of that, And it's a good one. cinematography

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is fantastic, the contents a little bit dark.

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We're gonna be talking about climate change. Um,

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but I think it's an important film for folks to

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come out for. Uh, and it also deals

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with some of the environmental injustices associated with climate change

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. So try to come out and just as an

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enticement, we're gonna have a lot of free popcorn

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for students when you get here, two quick housekeeping

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items. There will be uh, time for questions

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and answers right at the end, we'll have a

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microphone. This microphone will be down here and I

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asked that you come up one at a time to

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ask questions and for some reason you can't come up

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, flag me down or Stephen down, and we'll

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bring you the microphone. And I ask that you

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just be respectful of people's time, ask one question

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so that we can have other people have an opportunity

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to engage. We'll end promptly at 5 15 steve

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. Uh brian's books are actually for sale out in

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the lobby there also at our bookstore, and he'll

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be sticking around for about 30 minutes for a book

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signing. So please stop by, say hello and

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get your book signed. Okay, so now it's

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my pleasure today to introduce our partner on this event

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, Dr steven schoenholtz and the Water center. Dr

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Schoenholtz, uh, as I mentioned, is the

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director of the water center, which is one of

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50 for water resource programs around the country that were

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established by Congress in the 1960s and are funded to

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the Department of Interior. The Water center is housed

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within the College of Natural Resources and Environment, one

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of the premier natural resource programs in the nation.

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Virginia Tech is extremely fortunate to be the home of

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the Water center for the commonwealth and also to have

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dr schoenholtz at the helm of the center for the

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last 10 years under his leadership. Over the last

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decade, the water center has been instrumental and raising

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the statue of Virginia Tech as an international leader and

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water resource research and education, both at the graduate

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as well as undergraduate levels. Dr schoenholtz has helped

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attract some of the best and brightest water faculty to

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Virginia Tech. He's helped spearhead the nation's first undergraduate

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degree in Water. Yes, you can come to

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Virginia Tech and get a Bachelor's of Science and Water

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, which I just think it's cool. He's been

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very actively engaged in interdisciplinary graduate studies of water across

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campus, as well as with our graduate education program

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and for fostering across campus vision and collegial atmosphere for

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advancing studies of water campus-wide. It is my pleasure

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to introduce my trusted colleague and very dear friend Dr

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steven Schoenholtz. No, thank you Bill. Uh

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those are very kind remarks. Uh it's a pleasure

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to work closely with Bill uh and our colleagues at

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the Global Change Center in bringing together events like this

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and certainly in promoting water education, research and outreach

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here at Virginia Tech. Through many collaborate efforts along

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with this. We do a lot of other collaborative

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collaborative efforts. I'd also like to second bills appreciation

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or expression of appreciation to those who really make these

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events possible. Again, the frail and Life Science

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Institute, the grad school and certainly the lyric Theatre

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who does this for free for us. So that's

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really supportive and very helpful. So in terms of

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the Virginia Water Resources Research Center, uh, it's

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a pleasure to co sponsor events like this. Uh

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, it's certainly a pleasure to have bryan Richter visit

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campus and be this afternoon's distinguished lecture in this series

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. As bill said, the water center was established

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back in 1965 here at Virginia Tech and its mission

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is to facilitate uh outreach engagement and education through programmatic

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efforts to solve water challenges throughout the state, throughout

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the region and throughout the country and also globally.

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So we have a very coherent mission that lines up

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with Virginia tech research, teaching and outreach with regards

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to water. So as part of the mission of

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the water center, uh we coordinated and developed an

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undergraduate degree that Bill mentioned uh an interdisciplinary interdisciplinary degree

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on water resources policy and management. And uh it's

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the first of its kind in the U. S

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. And we already have, it started two years

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ago, we're not even done with our second year

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, we already have 50 students in the program,

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so we're very pleased with how that's starting in developing

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the program several years ago. Uh One of the

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first things we wanted to do was get in touch

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with some of the leading water experts around the country

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and one of the first people eye contact. It

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was brian Richter to take a look at the curriculum

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. Uh invite people like brian to give us some

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feedback on what they thought of the curriculum. And

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uh he was wonderful and wrote a very supportive letter

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and I'd like to share just a few items from

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that letter with you, Which I use frequently when

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I go around the country and talk about this degree

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. These are words from Brian Uh, from 2014

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. The timing of this new program could not be

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better nor more urgent As I write this letter.

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And this was written, I believe in June of

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2014 drought and associated water shortages are wrecking havoc with

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the economies of California Texas and other Western states and

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internationally to offer. But one example, and this

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is really touching right now, severe water shortages in

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Syria, water shortages in Syria drove the farmers from

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rural areas into the cities where social unrest ignited and

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as we all know, is still ignited. These

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calamities, which are certain to become more widespread and

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intense in coming decades, are evidence of the great

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need for higher education programs focused on water. The

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nature of the problems in these water stressed regions further

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suggests that these issues cannot be addressed from a single

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disciplinary perspective. They must be understood from social political

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economic engineering, environmental dimensions. Just to mention a

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few of the dimensions we have to consider. The

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pro proposed Virginia Tech program is designed to provide students

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with the essential interdisciplinary education that will prepare students for

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a challenging water future. I will close by adding

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that I teach a course in water sustainability at the

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University of Virginia. This is brian still speaking,

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and I have long dreamed of my university taking a

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program on such as this one being proposed by Virginia

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Tech for the greater good of the world. I

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am very happy that at least one Virginia University is

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taking steps to tackle what is certain to be the

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number one resource challenge of the 21st century. So

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again, I thank you brian for that very supportive

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letter. So brian Richter Has been a global leader

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in water science and conservation for more than 25 years

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actually and interacting with them over the past two days

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. It's now 30 years as of this summer.

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I believe he's a chief scientist for the global water

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program with the nature Conservancy where he promotes sustainable water

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use and management with governments, corporations and local communities

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. Brian is also the president of sustainable waters and

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NGO and a global water education organization. He's consulted

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on more than 120 water projects worldwide and serves as

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a water advisor to some of the world's largest corporations

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investment banks and also to the United Nations. He's

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a co author with Sandra pastel of rivers for life

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, Managing water for people in nature. One of

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the two books out in the lobby that he will

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happily sign and his most recent book, I believe

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, published in 2014 called Chasing Water A Guide for

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Moving From scarcity to sustainability, has been published in

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six languages already. So brian has also spent much

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of the past two days here on campus, uh

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, meeting with faculty Virginia, Tech, faculty,

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undergraduate students, grad students. He's been very gracious

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with his time over the last two days. In

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fact, he even shared perspectives with my watershed management

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assessment and policy class yesterday afternoon and I could tell

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relative to my being in front of the students,

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they were a little more engaged and lively with some

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great questions. So thank you again brian for all

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your help. So we will now share some of

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his, he will now share some of his perspectives

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with you. Please join me in welcoming brian Richter

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to Virginia tech and to Blacksburg as he shares his

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thoughts on chasing water and a rapidly changing world.

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Welcome. Mm hmm. Thank you steve. Yeah

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. Mhm. Well, thank you so much.

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Stephen into bill into Gloria also for being some of

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the warmest hosts I've ever experienced anywhere I've gone in

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the world. So thank you very much. It's

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a real pleasure to be here. And thanks to

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all of you for coming out on a cold blustery

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april afternoon. Um, and thanks in particular to

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the students here, I gotta admit that when I

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was your age on a friday afternoon at four o'clock

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, I wouldn't have been in a lecture hall.

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Um I would have been uh in search of a

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keg or something like that. So um so thank

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you and I hope that I can make your hour

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with me worthwhile. And interesting. I'm gonna start

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with a little bit of a historical perspective on this

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problem that I'm talking about today. So as you

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all know for most of human history, we behaved

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as hunters and gatherers. And the hunting and gathering

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was not just about in search of food, but

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it was also for many, for many tribes and

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many clans around the world, it was in search

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of water as well. And particularly if you lived

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in some of the dryer landscapes in places like Australia

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, developing a mental map in developing an intergenerational story

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about where these places were that you could find food

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and water was a very, very important part of

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your survival. And so not surprisingly, a lot

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of these cultures developed with art and music and painting

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um uh in calendars that were shaped by the seasonality

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that had to do with what foods were available at

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what times of the year. And also as evidenced

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by the painting that continues to be done today in

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the aboriginal communities of Australia, really revere ng um

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and recording the locations of where they could find reliable

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water, wetlands and springs and and floodplain, oxbow

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lakes and things like that. So that was much

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of our history. Um and that was the way

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that our relationship with with water was for literally tens

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of thousands of years, But then about 10-12,000 years

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ago, in different pockets around the planet, our

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relationship with water began to fundamentally change, and what

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I mean by that is instead of going out in

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search of water chasing water, if you will,

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we decided to become sedentary, we've decided to settle

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down, We learned how to, how to produce

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crops, how to cultivate crops. And that changed

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our relationship because then we became dependent upon the water

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coming to us that we were settled in place and

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that we were then become reliant upon that place,

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what that place had to offer with respect to water

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and all the vagaries in variability that comes with water

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availability from month to month, season, the season

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and year to year, and so a very,

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very pivotal time in human history and changing our relationship

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to water. At that point. Of course,

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over time we advanced technologically, we learned a lot

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of new engineering skills and we figured out how to

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bolster that water that was available to us locally by

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learning how to store it. And so we started

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building reservoirs and the reservoirs got bigger and bigger.

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And we finally built in the 1930s, this one

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Hoover Dam that formed Lake Mead on the Colorado River

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, built in 1930s, as I said, um

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and it was really quite a remarkable engineering feat by

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far and away. The biggest dam that had ever

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been built on the planet up to that point,

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but really really important to what we could do as

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a civilization, what we could do as a people

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, what we could do in terms of settlement of

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the Western United States, because of course, the

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Western United States um is much drier than this part

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of the world and being able to store water that

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comes to you if you will, something of a

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surplus of water that comes during the winter season,

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in the case of of this part of the world

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, snowpack that falls on the Rocky Mountains and the

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snow melted thin comes and being able to capture that

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water and store it and to be able to use

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it during the drier times a year when there's not

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so much, water was a really, really key

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to our survival and enabled us to do pretty remarkable

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things and literally grow lettuce in the desert. So

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this is Imperial Valley, Those of you who happen

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to eat lettuce at this time of the year,

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about 90% of all of american lettuce in the wintertime

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comes out of this one irrigation district in southern California

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called the Imperial Irrigation district and the Imperial irrigation district

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would not exist were it not for hoover dam?

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Um The water supply, most of the water supply

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that's applied out here on these farm fields and it

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literally year round. Um you know, literally four

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growing seasons out here, that water comes out of

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the Colorado River, captured and held in Hoover dam

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and then transported out to all these farm fields.

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So really enabled not only the expansion of water use

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, but of course the food production associated with that

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um as well as the other cities that grew up

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in that part of the world. And of course

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we also discovered that we could we could dig underground

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and encounter water as well. And this is really

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, really important parts of the world where you didn't

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have much water on the surface, you didn't have

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flowing streams, you didn't have lakes that you can

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go and get water from. And so being able

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to dig a well and get to it. And

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of course we now have taken that to the extreme

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, particularly with industrialized pumps, it became available after

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World War Two. We were able to reach deeper

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and deeper down into the earth, hundreds and even

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thousands of feet to be able to get to ancient

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water that's, that was deposited there back in the

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last ice Age. Um and be able to to

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have enough electricity and to have that technology of those

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pumps to be able to bring that water up from

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those great depths enable things to happen like the irrigated

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agriculture that's taking place in the Ogallala aquifer in the

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midwestern United States. That's where these crop circles come

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00:18:06.309 --> 00:18:10.289 A:middle L:90%
from. These are center pivot sprinklers that are irrigating

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00:18:10.289 --> 00:18:11.339 A:middle L:90%
move in a circular, the sprinklers move in a

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circular fashion and create those crop circles. So over

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time the expansion, the accumulation of water use,

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particularly for irrigated agriculture, but also for urban use

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and industrial use, um grew gradually over time,

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particularly over the last century. And I'm showing you

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two graphs here, and I could show you 1000

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grafts that tell this very much this exact same story

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. What I'm showing here of course, is,

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over the course of time over the last century,

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the two blue graph lines here represent the lighter blue

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, is the water available um particularly think about that

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, is the water flowing down the Colorado River,

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The water flowing down what's called the Murray darling basin

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in southeastern Australia. That's up on the upper graph

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here and so from year to year, the water

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is variable. Um, but uh, but at

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the same time the water use the extraction of water

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00:19:11.750 --> 00:19:14.589 A:middle L:90%
out of these water bodies and putting it on farms

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and in cities and industries grew continuously and grew and

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grew almost without restriction, almost without regulation. Um

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, there was issuance of water rights, water entitlements

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, legal documents that said how much water you could

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use, but nobody was slowing down the process of

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just handing those entitlements and those water rights to anybody

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who asked for them. And so over time the

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water use grew and as you can see then all

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of a sudden those two lines of water available and

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water consumed began to intersect In the Colorado. We

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00:19:45.920 --> 00:19:48.730 A:middle L:90%
were getting close to that even back in the 1950s

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took, which is on the bottom here in the

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Murray Darling basin. It took a little bit longer

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00:19:52.339 --> 00:19:55.740 A:middle L:90%
to get up against the limits of the available water

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, but both of these places and again in thousands

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of places around the world. I'll show you a

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map in just a moment. Um this intersection between

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water use hitting the absolute ceiling of the water available

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. Now you see on the, on the bottom

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00:20:10.599 --> 00:20:11.759 A:middle L:90%
graph here, the Colorado River, that there are

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00:20:11.759 --> 00:20:15.630 A:middle L:90%
many moments, many years when the use of water

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was actually greater than the water that was coming down

382
00:20:18.460 --> 00:20:21.180 A:middle L:90%
the Colorado River. The only reason that could happen

383
00:20:21.180 --> 00:20:23.059 A:middle L:90%
is because of those large reservoirs, because of Hoover

384
00:20:23.059 --> 00:20:26.549 A:middle L:90%
Dam, because of Lake Powell and Glen Canyon Dam

385
00:20:26.700 --> 00:20:30.500 A:middle L:90%
, which could store enormous volumes of water five times

386
00:20:30.539 --> 00:20:33.700 A:middle L:90%
or five years of the total flow of the Colorado

387
00:20:33.700 --> 00:20:36.720 A:middle L:90%
River can be captured and held by those two reservoirs

388
00:20:36.720 --> 00:20:40.109 A:middle L:90%
alone. That's immensely helpful, not only in getting

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00:20:40.109 --> 00:20:41.269 A:middle L:90%
you through dry seasons, but getting you through dry

390
00:20:41.269 --> 00:20:45.559 A:middle L:90%
years, a series of dry years. Um but

391
00:20:45.539 --> 00:20:49.000 A:middle L:90%
even in these places, now that we're up against

392
00:20:49.000 --> 00:20:52.279 A:middle L:90%
the limits of the total water that's available and now

393
00:20:52.279 --> 00:20:55.390 A:middle L:90%
we've gone into a period in the Colorado River system

394
00:20:55.390 --> 00:21:00.089 A:middle L:90%
where We're having below average water coming down the Colorado

395
00:21:00.089 --> 00:21:02.170 A:middle L:90%
River. In fact, we're now in a span

396
00:21:02.170 --> 00:21:03.240 A:middle L:90%
of the last 15 years, has now been estimated

397
00:21:03.240 --> 00:21:07.119 A:middle L:90%
to be the driest 15 years in the last 1400

398
00:21:07.119 --> 00:21:12.059 A:middle L:90%
years. Um They're having some pretty dire consequences and

399
00:21:12.059 --> 00:21:15.359 A:middle L:90%
a lot of concern in the Colorado River system.

400
00:21:15.359 --> 00:21:18.329 A:middle L:90%
Out in the western United States. You notice around

401
00:21:18.329 --> 00:21:19.690 A:middle L:90%
the perimeter of the reservoir, that white band,

402
00:21:19.690 --> 00:21:22.789 A:middle L:90%
what we call the bathtub ring, that's an indication

403
00:21:22.789 --> 00:21:26.140 A:middle L:90%
of when this lake is full. When Lake mead

404
00:21:26.140 --> 00:21:27.549 A:middle L:90%
is full, you don't see that white band around

405
00:21:27.549 --> 00:21:32.569 A:middle L:90%
the lake. So the lake levels have dropped um

406
00:21:32.579 --> 00:21:34.970 A:middle L:90%
50 60 70 80 ft over the course of the

407
00:21:34.970 --> 00:21:37.390 A:middle L:90%
last 10 years, over the course of the last

408
00:21:37.390 --> 00:21:41.599 A:middle L:90%
decade. And there's great concerns about this because even

409
00:21:41.599 --> 00:21:45.470 A:middle L:90%
though this year, the Western US has been blessed

410
00:21:45.470 --> 00:21:49.339 A:middle L:90%
with really high rainfalls and really big snowpacks and that

411
00:21:49.339 --> 00:21:52.799 A:middle L:90%
lake level is going to come up modestly as a

412
00:21:52.799 --> 00:21:56.579 A:middle L:90%
result of that. There's there's nobody that knows anything

413
00:21:56.579 --> 00:22:02.579 A:middle L:90%
about water management or anything about climate and about water

414
00:22:02.579 --> 00:22:04.359 A:middle L:90%
use in the Western United States. That expects this

415
00:22:04.359 --> 00:22:08.240 A:middle L:90%
trend not to continue. So what that means is

416
00:22:08.240 --> 00:22:11.230 A:middle L:90%
that the lake level in Lake Mead is expected to

417
00:22:11.230 --> 00:22:14.650 A:middle L:90%
continue in the bureau reclamation will tell you this as

418
00:22:14.650 --> 00:22:18.880 A:middle L:90%
well, is expected to decline gradually over time.

419
00:22:18.890 --> 00:22:22.559 A:middle L:90%
It could actually accelerate because the climate scientists are telling

420
00:22:22.559 --> 00:22:25.410 A:middle L:90%
us that the water available, the water coming down

421
00:22:25.410 --> 00:22:30.319 A:middle L:90%
the Colorado River is expected to decrease By 20-30 in

422
00:22:30.319 --> 00:22:33.619 A:middle L:90%
the next few decades. So I showed you that

423
00:22:33.619 --> 00:22:34.579 A:middle L:90%
long term, 100 years of graph of how much

424
00:22:34.579 --> 00:22:37.450 A:middle L:90%
water is available and how much we're using. We're

425
00:22:37.450 --> 00:22:38.690 A:middle L:90%
already up against the limits. Now, think about

426
00:22:38.690 --> 00:22:42.839 A:middle L:90%
taking 20-30 of that water availability graph down. And

427
00:22:42.839 --> 00:22:45.509 A:middle L:90%
you can imagine what's going on. What's going to

428
00:22:45.509 --> 00:22:48.759 A:middle L:90%
happen is that each of the states that are dependent

429
00:22:48.759 --> 00:22:51.670 A:middle L:90%
upon the Colorado River will start to get cut off

430
00:22:52.339 --> 00:22:55.359 A:middle L:90%
. We came very close to hitting that water level

431
00:22:55.359 --> 00:22:57.680 A:middle L:90%
, at which Arizona gets cut off during the past

432
00:22:57.680 --> 00:23:00.720 A:middle L:90%
couple of years. Again, they're gonna get a

433
00:23:00.720 --> 00:23:02.880 A:middle L:90%
little bit of a respite here with the heavy snow

434
00:23:02.880 --> 00:23:03.650 A:middle L:90%
pack in the, in the heavy rain falls this

435
00:23:03.650 --> 00:23:07.450 A:middle L:90%
year. But we're looking at some pretty serious consequences

436
00:23:07.539 --> 00:23:10.170 A:middle L:90%
. And by the way, this damn not only

437
00:23:10.170 --> 00:23:11.470 A:middle L:90%
provides water supply, but it also generates a lot

438
00:23:11.470 --> 00:23:15.339 A:middle L:90%
of hydro power, a lot of electricity. And

439
00:23:15.339 --> 00:23:17.599 A:middle L:90%
when the lake levels get down to a certain point

440
00:23:17.829 --> 00:23:21.029 A:middle L:90%
, the turbines aren't able to operate as efficiently and

441
00:23:21.029 --> 00:23:22.970 A:middle L:90%
you can't generate as much electricity. And eventually the

442
00:23:22.970 --> 00:23:25.980 A:middle L:90%
lake will get to a point where you cannot generate

443
00:23:25.980 --> 00:23:30.170 A:middle L:90%
electricity at all using the hydro electric turbines. And

444
00:23:30.339 --> 00:23:33.809 A:middle L:90%
that has ramifications that will run throughout the Southwestern energy

445
00:23:33.809 --> 00:23:37.950 A:middle L:90%
grids. Um and uh these are things that get

446
00:23:37.950 --> 00:23:40.849 A:middle L:90%
talked about behind closed doors and and you know,

447
00:23:40.859 --> 00:23:42.599 A:middle L:90%
nervously over a beer among water experts working out in

448
00:23:42.599 --> 00:23:45.150 A:middle L:90%
the West. But they aren't things that the general

449
00:23:45.150 --> 00:23:49.220 A:middle L:90%
public is very well tuned into just yet. So

450
00:23:49.230 --> 00:23:51.839 A:middle L:90%
let me give you now a bit more of an

451
00:23:51.839 --> 00:23:53.809 A:middle L:90%
expanded view of what's going on around the world.

452
00:23:53.819 --> 00:23:57.779 A:middle L:90%
So This is an animation. It goes over time

453
00:23:57.779 --> 00:24:00.740 A:middle L:90%
as you can see it started 1900 and goes up

454
00:24:00.740 --> 00:24:03.079 A:middle L:90%
to pretty close to the president. This is based

455
00:24:03.079 --> 00:24:07.640 A:middle L:90%
on a global global water model, a global water

456
00:24:07.640 --> 00:24:11.680 A:middle L:90%
computer model. There are a number of research institutes

457
00:24:11.680 --> 00:24:15.849 A:middle L:90%
around the world that are trying to that have built

458
00:24:15.849 --> 00:24:18.019 A:middle L:90%
similar models. This one happens to come from the

459
00:24:18.019 --> 00:24:22.049 A:middle L:90%
University of Kassel in Germany and it's called Water gap

460
00:24:22.440 --> 00:24:25.000 A:middle L:90%
and Water gap. Basically what these models are trying

461
00:24:25.000 --> 00:24:27.420 A:middle L:90%
to do is to simulate how much water was available

462
00:24:27.420 --> 00:24:30.839 A:middle L:90%
and how much water got used for farming, for

463
00:24:30.839 --> 00:24:33.809 A:middle L:90%
urban use, for industrial use, for manufacturing.

464
00:24:33.809 --> 00:24:36.900 A:middle L:90%
They're keeping track of all of those water uses and

465
00:24:36.900 --> 00:24:41.099 A:middle L:90%
water availability year after year. Um and they're telling

466
00:24:41.099 --> 00:24:44.460 A:middle L:90%
us what the water accounts, what the water budgets

467
00:24:44.460 --> 00:24:47.049 A:middle L:90%
look like in the case of water gap in 100

468
00:24:47.049 --> 00:24:49.549 A:middle L:90%
and 50,000 different water basins around the world. So

469
00:24:49.559 --> 00:24:55.440 A:middle L:90%
very, very fine scaled spatial um information and modeling

470
00:24:55.440 --> 00:25:00.430 A:middle L:90%
this literally on a daily basis um and uh particularly

471
00:25:00.430 --> 00:25:02.950 A:middle L:90%
for irrigated agriculture. Now, the other thing you

472
00:25:02.950 --> 00:25:04.980 A:middle L:90%
see about this map about this animation from the label

473
00:25:04.980 --> 00:25:08.160 A:middle L:90%
down here is this isn't all water use, this

474
00:25:08.160 --> 00:25:11.789 A:middle L:90%
is only irrigated agriculture. And the reason for that

475
00:25:11.789 --> 00:25:15.519 A:middle L:90%
is because when you look at the places around the

476
00:25:15.519 --> 00:25:17.869 A:middle L:90%
planet that are running out of water that are up

477
00:25:17.869 --> 00:25:19.200 A:middle L:90%
against the limits like the Colorado and the Murray Darling

478
00:25:19.200 --> 00:25:22.279 A:middle L:90%
. And thousands of other basins that are in the

479
00:25:22.279 --> 00:25:23.519 A:middle L:90%
warm colors on this map. By the way,

480
00:25:23.519 --> 00:25:30.230 A:middle L:90%
the warm colors represent places where they're beyond 70 utilization

481
00:25:30.230 --> 00:25:32.819 A:middle L:90%
of the renewable water supply. So they're getting up

482
00:25:32.819 --> 00:25:34.799 A:middle L:90%
near the ceiling. Okay. Some of them are

483
00:25:34.799 --> 00:25:37.039 A:middle L:90%
hitting the ceiling on a continual basis, some of

484
00:25:37.039 --> 00:25:40.009 A:middle L:90%
them only hit it during certain months of the year

485
00:25:40.009 --> 00:25:41.089 A:middle L:90%
. Some of them only hit it during drier or

486
00:25:41.089 --> 00:25:44.180 A:middle L:90%
drought years. But if it's showing up is yellow

487
00:25:44.180 --> 00:25:45.809 A:middle L:90%
, orange or red on here, they're hitting the

488
00:25:45.809 --> 00:25:48.609 A:middle L:90%
limits and they're hitting it pretty regularly and pretty frequently

489
00:25:48.640 --> 00:25:51.460 A:middle L:90%
. And so the reason that this show is irrigated

490
00:25:51.460 --> 00:25:52.680 A:middle L:90%
agriculture only is that when we look at all of

491
00:25:52.680 --> 00:25:56.559 A:middle L:90%
these places around the world are in those warm colors

492
00:25:56.240 --> 00:26:00.420 A:middle L:90%
. On average, 90 of all the water being

493
00:26:00.420 --> 00:26:03.779 A:middle L:90%
consumed is going to growing food. It's going to

494
00:26:03.779 --> 00:26:07.799 A:middle L:90%
irrigated agriculture, About five goes to cities and about

495
00:26:07.799 --> 00:26:11.829 A:middle L:90%
five goes to industries and power generation. So when

496
00:26:11.829 --> 00:26:14.599 A:middle L:90%
we talk about water scarcity and this isn't true in

497
00:26:14.609 --> 00:26:17.700 A:middle L:90%
every single one of those, you know, those

498
00:26:17.700 --> 00:26:21.150 A:middle L:90%
red water basins up there, but the vast majority

499
00:26:21.150 --> 00:26:22.470 A:middle L:90%
of them, if you're to really understand what's going

500
00:26:22.470 --> 00:26:25.980 A:middle L:90%
on with water scarcity is you have to understand what's

501
00:26:25.980 --> 00:26:27.960 A:middle L:90%
going on with the use of irrigation to grow our

502
00:26:27.960 --> 00:26:30.460 A:middle L:90%
food and other crops that we depend upon. Okay

503
00:26:33.740 --> 00:26:34.509 A:middle L:90%
, so this is the full map. If you

504
00:26:34.509 --> 00:26:37.400 A:middle L:90%
put in all of the different water uses, the

505
00:26:37.400 --> 00:26:40.509 A:middle L:90%
map gets a little bit more colored. Um and

506
00:26:40.509 --> 00:26:41.869 A:middle L:90%
again, showing you that, you know, the

507
00:26:41.869 --> 00:26:45.779 A:middle L:90%
different degrees of going over the 75 line, there's

508
00:26:45.779 --> 00:26:48.349 A:middle L:90%
no magic. There's something that, that 75 is

509
00:26:48.349 --> 00:26:52.160 A:middle L:90%
so much subjective, but clearly anybody can feel and

510
00:26:52.160 --> 00:26:55.440 A:middle L:90%
know intuitively that if you're beyond using up three quarters

511
00:26:55.440 --> 00:26:56.700 A:middle L:90%
of the water of the renewable water supply, you're

512
00:26:56.700 --> 00:27:00.250 A:middle L:90%
probably getting pretty close to trouble. Right? So

513
00:27:00.250 --> 00:27:03.390 A:middle L:90%
these are the places in the world and these are

514
00:27:03.390 --> 00:27:04.130 A:middle L:90%
some of the statistics. This is from a paper

515
00:27:04.130 --> 00:27:07.710 A:middle L:90%
we put out actually published last year. Um,

516
00:27:07.720 --> 00:27:11.920 A:middle L:90%
So water shortages associated with this heavy utilization, heavy

517
00:27:11.920 --> 00:27:15.960 A:middle L:90%
dependence upon the available water supplies. Water shortages are

518
00:27:15.960 --> 00:27:17.490 A:middle L:90%
now happening at about a third of all of the

519
00:27:17.490 --> 00:27:18.650 A:middle L:90%
water basins in the world. Half of the world's

520
00:27:18.650 --> 00:27:22.970 A:middle L:90%
population is directly dependent upon those basins. And even

521
00:27:22.970 --> 00:27:26.980 A:middle L:90%
more frightening. Three quarters of all the irrigated agriculture

522
00:27:26.980 --> 00:27:30.609 A:middle L:90%
on the planet is dependent upon these basins. That

523
00:27:30.609 --> 00:27:33.230 A:middle L:90%
means that 30 of your food is being grown in

524
00:27:33.230 --> 00:27:36.390 A:middle L:90%
places that are up against the limits of the available

525
00:27:36.390 --> 00:27:41.960 A:middle L:90%
water supply. That's because about 40 of all the

526
00:27:41.960 --> 00:27:45.630 A:middle L:90%
food produced on the planet is produced using supplemental water

527
00:27:45.630 --> 00:27:49.420 A:middle L:90%
, irrigation water. The other 60 depends entirely Unrein

528
00:27:49.430 --> 00:27:52.720 A:middle L:90%
, they are able to grow crops just on rain

529
00:27:52.140 --> 00:27:53.970 A:middle L:90%
. And so if three quarters of all the irrigated

530
00:27:53.970 --> 00:27:56.069 A:middle L:90%
acreage is being is now in trouble, that means

531
00:27:56.069 --> 00:28:02.099 A:middle L:90%
about 30 of all of your food. um zooming

532
00:28:02.099 --> 00:28:03.549 A:middle L:90%
in a little bit closer and just giving you a

533
00:28:03.549 --> 00:28:06.460 A:middle L:90%
picture of the United States now. Um this is

534
00:28:06.460 --> 00:28:07.839 A:middle L:90%
a different model, but it's representing the same thing

535
00:28:07.839 --> 00:28:11.480 A:middle L:90%
. You can see the percentages of depletion over here

536
00:28:11.490 --> 00:28:12.190 A:middle L:90%
. If you're in the warm tones, you're up

537
00:28:12.190 --> 00:28:15.680 A:middle L:90%
against the limits of your available water supply. In

538
00:28:15.680 --> 00:28:17.319 A:middle L:90%
this case, the map is only for the summer

539
00:28:17.319 --> 00:28:19.539 A:middle L:90%
months, which are mostly the dry months across the

540
00:28:19.539 --> 00:28:23.329 A:middle L:90%
United States for the most part, but you can

541
00:28:23.329 --> 00:28:26.690 A:middle L:90%
see how red it is in the western part of

542
00:28:26.690 --> 00:28:30.309 A:middle L:90%
the country and particularly in California, But many other

543
00:28:30.319 --> 00:28:33.119 A:middle L:90%
the other states in the West. When you tell

544
00:28:33.119 --> 00:28:33.819 A:middle L:90%
you this up, this is actually when we did

545
00:28:33.819 --> 00:28:37.230 A:middle L:90%
this math a few years ago, I was quite

546
00:28:37.230 --> 00:28:40.680 A:middle L:90%
stunned by this. So half of all the western

547
00:28:40.680 --> 00:28:44.369 A:middle L:90%
rivers have lost more than half of their water during

548
00:28:44.369 --> 00:28:47.369 A:middle L:90%
the summertime, and a quarter of them have lost

549
00:28:47.369 --> 00:28:49.779 A:middle L:90%
three quarters of their water because of being extracted,

550
00:28:49.779 --> 00:28:52.789 A:middle L:90%
not being returned back to the rivers. Now,

551
00:28:52.789 --> 00:28:56.960 A:middle L:90%
what that means in places that have experienced that heavy

552
00:28:56.960 --> 00:29:00.960 A:middle L:90%
degree of depletion of the available water flow is that

553
00:29:00.960 --> 00:29:03.319 A:middle L:90%
these are fundamentally different ecosystems. Now, I want

554
00:29:03.319 --> 00:29:06.089 A:middle L:90%
you to understand that those of you that are in

555
00:29:06.099 --> 00:29:11.710 A:middle L:90%
studying environmental sciences, um environmental policy, uh you

556
00:29:11.710 --> 00:29:12.390 A:middle L:90%
know, we live, you know, in our

557
00:29:12.390 --> 00:29:15.000 A:middle L:90%
generation and we see rivers as they are today.

558
00:29:15.000 --> 00:29:18.289 A:middle L:90%
And, and it's it's hard to understand in these

559
00:29:18.289 --> 00:29:21.450 A:middle L:90%
rivers that have been so heavily depleted that we're looking

560
00:29:21.450 --> 00:29:25.019 A:middle L:90%
at a different river. I wrote recently. You

561
00:29:25.019 --> 00:29:26.450 A:middle L:90%
know, we think, I think about these as

562
00:29:26.450 --> 00:29:30.289 A:middle L:90%
being ghost rivers. Um, they're nothing like they

563
00:29:30.289 --> 00:29:32.039 A:middle L:90%
used to be, they don't harbor, they don't

564
00:29:32.039 --> 00:29:33.869 A:middle L:90%
support the same species, They don't function the way

565
00:29:33.869 --> 00:29:37.029 A:middle L:90%
that they used to. Um, and uh,

566
00:29:37.039 --> 00:29:38.660 A:middle L:90%
and that's, you know, that's part of part

567
00:29:38.660 --> 00:29:41.119 A:middle L:90%
of the issues that we're gonna, that we're having

568
00:29:41.119 --> 00:29:44.349 A:middle L:90%
to deal with now in the 21st century. Um

569
00:29:45.339 --> 00:29:45.970 A:middle L:90%
, one of the things that we did just last

570
00:29:45.970 --> 00:29:48.750 A:middle L:90%
year at the end of last year was we,

571
00:29:48.759 --> 00:29:51.880 A:middle L:90%
and we have never seen this done before. It

572
00:29:51.880 --> 00:29:56.240 A:middle L:90%
just seems like somebody would have tried to relate the

573
00:29:56.240 --> 00:29:59.579 A:middle L:90%
degree of utilization of the water resource. Too,

574
00:29:59.589 --> 00:30:02.390 A:middle L:90%
Bad things happening. So what I mean by bad

575
00:30:02.390 --> 00:30:07.589 A:middle L:90%
things happening is with a harness the, the intellectual

576
00:30:07.589 --> 00:30:10.809 A:middle L:90%
capacity of my students at UVA and over the last

577
00:30:10.809 --> 00:30:15.619 A:middle L:90%
couple, 23 years and they collected dot well documented

578
00:30:15.619 --> 00:30:19.259 A:middle L:90%
stories, well documented evidence of where something bad had

579
00:30:19.259 --> 00:30:22.950 A:middle L:90%
happened because they ran out of water. They didn't

580
00:30:22.950 --> 00:30:26.460 A:middle L:90%
have enough water to provide drinking water supply in Sao

581
00:30:26.460 --> 00:30:30.279 A:middle L:90%
Paulo brazil in rio de janeiro. Um they didn't

582
00:30:30.279 --> 00:30:33.809 A:middle L:90%
have enough water to grow crops in 2011 in Texas

583
00:30:33.809 --> 00:30:36.279 A:middle L:90%
. That's the picture from Texas in 2011. So

584
00:30:36.279 --> 00:30:38.059 A:middle L:90%
many of the crops didn't make it through the summer

585
00:30:38.059 --> 00:30:41.380 A:middle L:90%
growing season. Um, We had fish, we

586
00:30:41.380 --> 00:30:44.279 A:middle L:90%
have fish kills all around the world. We have

587
00:30:44.279 --> 00:30:47.450 A:middle L:90%
power plants that have to shut down because there's not

588
00:30:47.450 --> 00:30:49.099 A:middle L:90%
enough water in the river of the lake to be

589
00:30:49.099 --> 00:30:52.180 A:middle L:90%
able to, to run enough water through the power

590
00:30:52.180 --> 00:30:53.509 A:middle L:90%
plant to keep it cool enough and otherwise they would

591
00:30:53.509 --> 00:30:56.849 A:middle L:90%
literally have a meltdown. So these are the kinds

592
00:30:56.849 --> 00:30:59.940 A:middle L:90%
of bad things, these bad events, these water

593
00:30:59.940 --> 00:31:02.609 A:middle L:90%
shortage events that we were paying attention to and documenting

594
00:31:02.640 --> 00:31:04.470 A:middle L:90%
. And then we did, did some statistical relationships

595
00:31:04.470 --> 00:31:07.950 A:middle L:90%
to those places on the map where people are running

596
00:31:07.950 --> 00:31:10.539 A:middle L:90%
out of water. Not surprisingly, if you're living

597
00:31:10.539 --> 00:31:11.690 A:middle L:90%
on the edge, if you've pushed your water use

598
00:31:11.690 --> 00:31:14.750 A:middle L:90%
all the way up to the limits of the renewable

599
00:31:14.750 --> 00:31:18.450 A:middle L:90%
water supply, your likelihood of experiencing water shortage impacts

600
00:31:18.450 --> 00:31:19.900 A:middle L:90%
goes way up and it goes up very very quickly

601
00:31:21.339 --> 00:31:22.630 A:middle L:90%
. That's true. Also for the ecological systems for

602
00:31:22.630 --> 00:31:25.319 A:middle L:90%
the species of the planet, the ones that live

603
00:31:25.319 --> 00:31:29.470 A:middle L:90%
in these freshwater bodies very, very strong evidence that

604
00:31:29.480 --> 00:31:32.279 A:middle L:90%
you don't have to deplete a water body very far

605
00:31:32.289 --> 00:31:33.789 A:middle L:90%
. Going back to my story, about half the

606
00:31:33.789 --> 00:31:34.700 A:middle L:90%
water in the western rivers, in half of the

607
00:31:34.700 --> 00:31:38.759 A:middle L:90%
western rivers is now gone. That's why we're seeing

608
00:31:40.339 --> 00:31:42.390 A:middle L:90%
so many freshwater animals, plants and animals being becoming

609
00:31:42.390 --> 00:31:47.920 A:middle L:90%
very severely imperiled. One statistic here that still is

610
00:31:47.920 --> 00:31:52.140 A:middle L:90%
just almost hard to believe is, um, World

611
00:31:52.140 --> 00:31:56.349 A:middle L:90%
Wildlife Fund has been tracking thousands of populations of freshwater

612
00:31:56.349 --> 00:31:57.609 A:middle L:90%
plants and animals, well, all kinds of plants

613
00:31:57.609 --> 00:32:00.970 A:middle L:90%
and animals, marine animals, terrestrial animals, things

614
00:32:00.970 --> 00:32:06.559 A:middle L:90%
that live in the freshwater systems. And very frighteningly

615
00:32:06.559 --> 00:32:10.450 A:middle L:90%
they have seen an average decline in oceanic marine species

616
00:32:10.450 --> 00:32:15.559 A:middle L:90%
populations and in terrestrial species populations of about 40 declines

617
00:32:15.740 --> 00:32:21.289 A:middle L:90%
since 1970. It's over 80 for freshwater plants and

618
00:32:21.289 --> 00:32:23.799 A:middle L:90%
animals. And much of it is being driven by

619
00:32:23.799 --> 00:32:25.900 A:middle L:90%
the fact that we have, we have so heavily

620
00:32:25.910 --> 00:32:30.569 A:middle L:90%
utilized these water resources, so what we see in

621
00:32:30.569 --> 00:32:31.599 A:middle L:90%
different parts of the world. So in writing the

622
00:32:31.599 --> 00:32:34.759 A:middle L:90%
book chasing water, I had a chance to really

623
00:32:34.759 --> 00:32:37.569 A:middle L:90%
study how people were responding to water shortages. I

624
00:32:37.569 --> 00:32:39.559 A:middle L:90%
was of course looking for good stories. I will

625
00:32:39.559 --> 00:32:42.190 A:middle L:90%
share a couple of them with you here in just

626
00:32:42.190 --> 00:32:45.769 A:middle L:90%
a moment. But I really wanted to document and

627
00:32:45.769 --> 00:32:49.980 A:middle L:90%
understand how communities, how farmers had tried to deal

628
00:32:49.980 --> 00:32:51.910 A:middle L:90%
with running out of water over time. And what

629
00:32:51.910 --> 00:32:54.880 A:middle L:90%
happens is after you exhaust your local water supply,

630
00:32:54.890 --> 00:32:59.269 A:middle L:90%
you've dried up your river, you've pumped your groundwater

631
00:32:59.269 --> 00:33:01.220 A:middle L:90%
system down to where you can no longer economically reach

632
00:33:01.230 --> 00:33:04.059 A:middle L:90%
the water and pump it out of the ground.

633
00:33:05.240 --> 00:33:07.660 A:middle L:90%
One of the most common things that's happened is that

634
00:33:07.670 --> 00:33:09.859 A:middle L:90%
you then go looking for some more water in another

635
00:33:09.859 --> 00:33:14.859 A:middle L:90%
place. You build what's called water importation pipelines and

636
00:33:14.859 --> 00:33:17.569 A:middle L:90%
canals. This is one of the most ambitious and

637
00:33:17.569 --> 00:33:21.210 A:middle L:90%
gargantuan projects of that nature anywhere in the world.

638
00:33:21.210 --> 00:33:23.970 A:middle L:90%
This is called the South North Water diversion project.

639
00:33:24.420 --> 00:33:29.230 A:middle L:90%
It's in china and it takes water pulls water out

640
00:33:29.230 --> 00:33:30.450 A:middle L:90%
of the Yangtze River, positioned in the southern part

641
00:33:30.450 --> 00:33:35.400 A:middle L:90%
of the country and it runs it over 1000 kilometers

642
00:33:35.400 --> 00:33:37.920 A:middle L:90%
to the north, up to Beijing and other cities

643
00:33:37.920 --> 00:33:39.509 A:middle L:90%
, but also up to the north china plain,

644
00:33:39.509 --> 00:33:42.799 A:middle L:90%
which is china's breadbasket. It's the equivalent of the

645
00:33:42.799 --> 00:33:45.839 A:middle L:90%
midwestern United States for china. The new york times

646
00:33:45.839 --> 00:33:49.339 A:middle L:90%
ran a story about this diversion project and this is

647
00:33:49.339 --> 00:33:52.190 A:middle L:90%
the way that they helped to relate what's going on

648
00:33:52.190 --> 00:33:53.299 A:middle L:90%
here. This is like taking water out of the

649
00:33:53.299 --> 00:33:58.660 A:middle L:90%
Missouri River and to supply the water supply needs of

650
00:33:58.670 --> 00:34:00.670 A:middle L:90%
Washington, D. C, new york and boston

651
00:34:01.140 --> 00:34:04.269 A:middle L:90%
, That kind of distance in that kind of volume

652
00:34:04.269 --> 00:34:06.720 A:middle L:90%
of water and being done at great cost, about

653
00:34:06.730 --> 00:34:08.750 A:middle L:90%
$80 billion dollars on this. And this is only

654
00:34:08.750 --> 00:34:13.559 A:middle L:90%
the first phase of a three phase water diversion project

655
00:34:14.039 --> 00:34:17.719 A:middle L:90%
. Now, Another interesting fact, if you look

656
00:34:17.719 --> 00:34:20.389 A:middle L:90%
at all the major cities of the world, about

657
00:34:20.400 --> 00:34:22.920 A:middle L:90%
40 of their water supply comes from this kind of

658
00:34:22.920 --> 00:34:24.639 A:middle L:90%
a project, they exhausted their local water supply and

659
00:34:24.639 --> 00:34:27.199 A:middle L:90%
they ended up having to go to other places to

660
00:34:27.199 --> 00:34:30.260 A:middle L:90%
get it. The problem now in the 21st century

661
00:34:30.269 --> 00:34:34.039 A:middle L:90%
is that they're in many parts of the world and

662
00:34:34.039 --> 00:34:36.420 A:middle L:90%
particularly water scarce regions, there is no more surplus

663
00:34:36.420 --> 00:34:40.510 A:middle L:90%
water and communities are getting more and more protective about

664
00:34:40.510 --> 00:34:44.989 A:middle L:90%
having some other water users coming in and building a

665
00:34:44.989 --> 00:34:46.809 A:middle L:90%
pipe and taking their water away. They're concerned about

666
00:34:46.809 --> 00:34:50.929 A:middle L:90%
their water security, their water futures. And so

667
00:34:50.929 --> 00:34:53.369 A:middle L:90%
this is not going to be a viable proposition for

668
00:34:53.369 --> 00:34:55.469 A:middle L:90%
very much longer in most areas of the planet.

669
00:34:57.519 --> 00:35:00.420 A:middle L:90%
The other thing about water importation is that it's tremendously

670
00:35:00.420 --> 00:35:04.900 A:middle L:90%
energy intensive. It takes a tremendous amount of energy

671
00:35:04.900 --> 00:35:06.969 A:middle L:90%
to be able to move water. You can almost

672
00:35:06.969 --> 00:35:08.730 A:middle L:90%
never run it downhill, you know, with gravity

673
00:35:08.730 --> 00:35:10.880 A:middle L:90%
the entire way, so you've got to pump and

674
00:35:10.880 --> 00:35:14.599 A:middle L:90%
water is heavy and if you're pumping enormous volumes of

675
00:35:14.599 --> 00:35:16.489 A:middle L:90%
water, it's really, really energy. It requires

676
00:35:16.489 --> 00:35:20.469 A:middle L:90%
a great deal of electricity, which makes these water

677
00:35:20.469 --> 00:35:24.980 A:middle L:90%
transportation pipelines, some of the biggest electricity users on

678
00:35:24.980 --> 00:35:30.190 A:middle L:90%
the planet. And so California, the single biggest

679
00:35:30.199 --> 00:35:35.190 A:middle L:90%
electricity user in California, is the state water project

680
00:35:35.199 --> 00:35:37.010 A:middle L:90%
that moves water from northern California. Southern California,

681
00:35:37.019 --> 00:35:39.840 A:middle L:90%
the biggest electricity user in the state of Arizona is

682
00:35:39.840 --> 00:35:43.949 A:middle L:90%
a central Arizona project canal that pulls water out of

683
00:35:43.949 --> 00:35:45.329 A:middle L:90%
the Colorado River runs at the phoenix and then all

684
00:35:45.329 --> 00:35:47.070 A:middle L:90%
the way down across the state, down, down

685
00:35:47.070 --> 00:35:51.280 A:middle L:90%
to Tucson. So this is not, I don't

686
00:35:51.280 --> 00:35:52.250 A:middle L:90%
think this is a very hopeful part of our future

687
00:35:53.340 --> 00:35:55.059 A:middle L:90%
. Um everywhere I go, I get asked about

688
00:35:55.059 --> 00:35:59.969 A:middle L:90%
desalination those of you that aren't familiar with that term

689
00:35:59.969 --> 00:36:02.230 A:middle L:90%
, It's basically taking the salts out of salty water

690
00:36:02.230 --> 00:36:05.960 A:middle L:90%
and turning it into freshwater is represented by this cartoon

691
00:36:06.630 --> 00:36:08.929 A:middle L:90%
, mostly practiced pulling water out of the ocean and

692
00:36:08.929 --> 00:36:15.260 A:middle L:90%
so mostly used around coastal areas and mostly used by

693
00:36:15.260 --> 00:36:19.460 A:middle L:90%
cities. The reason being that it's extremely expensive because

694
00:36:19.460 --> 00:36:20.949 A:middle L:90%
it takes a log in, it takes a lot

695
00:36:20.949 --> 00:36:23.739 A:middle L:90%
of electricity to what they do with the desalination plant

696
00:36:23.739 --> 00:36:27.409 A:middle L:90%
. Pretty much as they push water through a permeable

697
00:36:27.409 --> 00:36:31.150 A:middle L:90%
membrane in a big factory plant. And an outcome

698
00:36:31.150 --> 00:36:35.250 A:middle L:90%
. So that membrane captures the salts and then the

699
00:36:35.250 --> 00:36:37.360 A:middle L:90%
fresh water comes through for every gallon of ocean water

700
00:36:37.360 --> 00:36:42.010 A:middle L:90%
that you run through a desalination desalination plant. You

701
00:36:42.010 --> 00:36:44.570 A:middle L:90%
get a half a gallon of fresh water and a

702
00:36:44.570 --> 00:36:50.079 A:middle L:90%
half a gallon of really super saline salty water called

703
00:36:50.090 --> 00:36:52.570 A:middle L:90%
brine. And you have to figure out how to

704
00:36:52.570 --> 00:36:54.269 A:middle L:90%
dispose of that brian safely as well. But anyway

705
00:36:54.280 --> 00:36:58.010 A:middle L:90%
, very energy intensive. And that makes this water

706
00:36:58.010 --> 00:37:00.000 A:middle L:90%
very, very expensive. And that makes it limited

707
00:37:00.010 --> 00:37:02.349 A:middle L:90%
only the places that can afford to pay this water

708
00:37:02.349 --> 00:37:05.710 A:middle L:90%
. It's about 10 times what it cost to pull

709
00:37:05.710 --> 00:37:07.840 A:middle L:90%
water out of your local aquifer, your local river

710
00:37:08.230 --> 00:37:12.099 A:middle L:90%
or to build a storage reservoir. And so this

711
00:37:12.099 --> 00:37:14.809 A:middle L:90%
is going to have very limited applications, about two

712
00:37:14.809 --> 00:37:15.150 A:middle L:90%
of the water supply. And the plan is being

713
00:37:15.150 --> 00:37:19.110 A:middle L:90%
served by desalination. I do have hope and I

714
00:37:19.110 --> 00:37:21.929 A:middle L:90%
do think this is an appropriate technology in the right

715
00:37:21.929 --> 00:37:23.460 A:middle L:90%
place under the right circumstances. Don't get me wrong

716
00:37:23.630 --> 00:37:25.679 A:middle L:90%
. I think there is a place for this and

717
00:37:25.679 --> 00:37:30.369 A:middle L:90%
the use of desalinization is increasing very, very rapidly

718
00:37:30.380 --> 00:37:31.960 A:middle L:90%
and it's going to be important part of the solution

719
00:37:32.030 --> 00:37:34.670 A:middle L:90%
in a lot of different places. But this is

720
00:37:34.670 --> 00:37:36.500 A:middle L:90%
not going to solve the water scarcity problems of the

721
00:37:36.500 --> 00:37:39.369 A:middle L:90%
world. There's also a lot of talk about reusing

722
00:37:39.369 --> 00:37:45.019 A:middle L:90%
water recycling water and it's a fantastic idea, particularly

723
00:37:45.019 --> 00:37:45.780 A:middle L:90%
in cities. If you can take the water that's

724
00:37:45.780 --> 00:37:50.119 A:middle L:90%
used in the city, 90 of it, 95

725
00:37:50.119 --> 00:37:52.230 A:middle L:90%
of it goes down your drain. Think about taking

726
00:37:52.230 --> 00:37:53.989 A:middle L:90%
a shower very little of that. Water ends up

727
00:37:54.000 --> 00:37:55.860 A:middle L:90%
not going down your drain, some of it ends

728
00:37:55.860 --> 00:37:58.840 A:middle L:90%
up in the steam coming out of the shower,

729
00:37:58.840 --> 00:38:00.730 A:middle L:90%
some of it ends up on your towel, but

730
00:38:00.730 --> 00:38:01.989 A:middle L:90%
most of it, 95 of it goes down the

731
00:38:01.989 --> 00:38:06.269 A:middle L:90%
drain similarly with your toilet, similarly with your dishwashers

732
00:38:06.269 --> 00:38:08.719 A:middle L:90%
, etc. So what a wonderful idea than to

733
00:38:08.719 --> 00:38:12.139 A:middle L:90%
take that water, clean it up again and reuse

734
00:38:12.139 --> 00:38:14.230 A:middle L:90%
it, recycle it. There's even places in the

735
00:38:14.230 --> 00:38:17.360 A:middle L:90%
world that actually drink that water afterwards, and we're

736
00:38:17.360 --> 00:38:20.059 A:middle L:90%
gonna see a lot more of that in the future

737
00:38:20.789 --> 00:38:22.750 A:middle L:90%
. The limitations on that idea. So from a

738
00:38:23.719 --> 00:38:27.130 A:middle L:90%
, you know, most of us think about that

739
00:38:27.130 --> 00:38:29.500 A:middle L:90%
as being, you know, that's that's the this

740
00:38:29.500 --> 00:38:32.260 A:middle L:90%
is a classic sustainable strategy, right? Sustainable water

741
00:38:32.260 --> 00:38:36.250 A:middle L:90%
use strategy. It's green, it's environmentally friendly.

742
00:38:36.820 --> 00:38:40.010 A:middle L:90%
Um the problem is that again, the process of

743
00:38:40.010 --> 00:38:44.460 A:middle L:90%
having to retreat the water after you after you've used

744
00:38:44.460 --> 00:38:47.079 A:middle L:90%
it requires a lot of energy and energy is expensive

745
00:38:47.079 --> 00:38:52.059 A:middle L:90%
. So again, unfortunately, reuse and recycling continues

746
00:38:52.059 --> 00:38:53.510 A:middle L:90%
to be a very, very expensive option for trying

747
00:38:53.510 --> 00:38:59.119 A:middle L:90%
to bolster your water supply. Um And another,

748
00:38:59.130 --> 00:39:01.110 A:middle L:90%
another area that I think is hopeful in this respect

749
00:39:01.119 --> 00:39:06.199 A:middle L:90%
is most of the places that reuse water that recycled

750
00:39:06.199 --> 00:39:09.130 A:middle L:90%
water are treating that water to drinking water quality before

751
00:39:09.130 --> 00:39:10.630 A:middle L:90%
they re use it well. If you're putting it

752
00:39:10.630 --> 00:39:13.579 A:middle L:90%
out on an agricultural field or using it on a

753
00:39:13.579 --> 00:39:15.780 A:middle L:90%
golf course, you certainly don't need to be treating

754
00:39:15.780 --> 00:39:16.940 A:middle L:90%
it to that high level of quality. And so

755
00:39:16.940 --> 00:39:20.800 A:middle L:90%
we could perhaps save some of the cost of the

756
00:39:20.800 --> 00:39:22.989 A:middle L:90%
treatment if we can lower how, how hard we're

757
00:39:22.989 --> 00:39:27.800 A:middle L:90%
trying to treat it. So this gets down to

758
00:39:27.809 --> 00:39:30.699 A:middle L:90%
the issues of of water options, right? So

759
00:39:30.730 --> 00:39:34.489 A:middle L:90%
in our toolbox and our water toolboxes, I refer

760
00:39:34.489 --> 00:39:36.869 A:middle L:90%
to it in chasing water. I talk about all

761
00:39:36.869 --> 00:39:38.610 A:middle L:90%
these different ways that you can balance your water budget

762
00:39:38.769 --> 00:39:42.329 A:middle L:90%
if you're running out of water. Most places in

763
00:39:42.329 --> 00:39:45.010 A:middle L:90%
the world have gone to have tried, have looked

764
00:39:45.010 --> 00:39:47.150 A:middle L:90%
at that challenges being how do I get more water

765
00:39:47.519 --> 00:39:50.440 A:middle L:90%
? How do I increase the supply side of the

766
00:39:50.440 --> 00:39:54.440 A:middle L:90%
equation? And as I've been saying, the pretty

767
00:39:54.440 --> 00:39:57.960 A:middle L:90%
much all of these options are on the top are

768
00:39:57.960 --> 00:40:00.679 A:middle L:90%
supply side options. You see the expense of desalination

769
00:40:00.679 --> 00:40:04.119 A:middle L:90%
, water, recycling, importing water. This is

770
00:40:04.119 --> 00:40:07.050 A:middle L:90%
only for one case, but this is these these

771
00:40:07.050 --> 00:40:08.989 A:middle L:90%
trends and these relative costs are the same in most

772
00:40:08.989 --> 00:40:13.159 A:middle L:90%
places in the world, groundwater and surface water that's

773
00:40:13.159 --> 00:40:15.579 A:middle L:90%
using your local water supplies. Um But I want

774
00:40:15.579 --> 00:40:17.420 A:middle L:90%
to draw your attention. I'm gonna spend the rest

775
00:40:17.420 --> 00:40:23.070 A:middle L:90%
of the talk talking about this. It's it's trying

776
00:40:23.070 --> 00:40:25.119 A:middle L:90%
to deal with this problem of water scarcity of water

777
00:40:25.119 --> 00:40:29.340 A:middle L:90%
shortages, not so much by trying to increase your

778
00:40:29.340 --> 00:40:30.969 A:middle L:90%
supplies. Because I'm arguing that those options are going

779
00:40:30.969 --> 00:40:34.079 A:middle L:90%
to become more and more limited and very, very

780
00:40:34.079 --> 00:40:36.230 A:middle L:90%
expensive. And there's not a lot of people going

781
00:40:36.230 --> 00:40:38.340 A:middle L:90%
to want to give you their water anymore, and

782
00:40:38.340 --> 00:40:40.900 A:middle L:90%
we really need to start focusing on the demand side

783
00:40:40.909 --> 00:40:45.210 A:middle L:90%
on how we can use less water um in order

784
00:40:45.210 --> 00:40:46.949 A:middle L:90%
to solve this problem. So again in the book

785
00:40:46.960 --> 00:40:51.780 A:middle L:90%
, I talk about this at considerable length and basically

786
00:40:51.780 --> 00:40:53.059 A:middle L:90%
, I think about this as creating water, but

787
00:40:53.059 --> 00:40:55.900 A:middle L:90%
this isn't creating water by turning ocean water into fresh

788
00:40:55.900 --> 00:41:00.300 A:middle L:90%
water instead. The idea here is that each gallon

789
00:41:00.300 --> 00:41:01.639 A:middle L:90%
of water that we don't consume is a gallon of

790
00:41:01.639 --> 00:41:05.519 A:middle L:90%
water that's available for other users or for nature.

791
00:41:06.010 --> 00:41:07.219 A:middle L:90%
And so I really like the idea of thinking about

792
00:41:07.219 --> 00:41:12.889 A:middle L:90%
water conservation or improved efficiencies as creating water because it's

793
00:41:12.889 --> 00:41:14.389 A:middle L:90%
the water that you don't have to use and is

794
00:41:14.400 --> 00:41:16.679 A:middle L:90%
being made available for other purposes. So let me

795
00:41:16.679 --> 00:41:21.920 A:middle L:90%
just talk about a couple of big use categories of

796
00:41:21.920 --> 00:41:25.380 A:middle L:90%
water. Talk about cities first, um there have

797
00:41:25.380 --> 00:41:30.679 A:middle L:90%
been some really, really interesting progress being made discussions

798
00:41:30.679 --> 00:41:34.480 A:middle L:90%
, dialogue taking place within the urban areas about sustainable

799
00:41:34.480 --> 00:41:37.860 A:middle L:90%
water use. And I've been part of this of

800
00:41:37.860 --> 00:41:39.940 A:middle L:90%
a group that's been trying to develop a model ordinance

801
00:41:39.940 --> 00:41:44.170 A:middle L:90%
for cities that in essence would commit the city to

802
00:41:44.170 --> 00:41:47.630 A:middle L:90%
not increasing their water use going forward to flat line

803
00:41:47.630 --> 00:41:50.570 A:middle L:90%
their water use. Now this is very, very

804
00:41:50.570 --> 00:41:52.769 A:middle L:90%
realistic and very possible. And I'll note for you

805
00:41:52.769 --> 00:41:57.900 A:middle L:90%
that within the United States overall, We have flattened

806
00:41:57.900 --> 00:42:00.550 A:middle L:90%
our water use since 1975. We've added 80-100 million

807
00:42:00.550 --> 00:42:02.730 A:middle L:90%
people in the United States. And we're not using

808
00:42:02.730 --> 00:42:06.730 A:middle L:90%
any more water than we did in 1975. So

809
00:42:06.730 --> 00:42:08.099 A:middle L:90%
this is not a pipe dream. This isn't being

810
00:42:08.099 --> 00:42:10.559 A:middle L:90%
, you know, being unrealistic about the potential,

811
00:42:10.559 --> 00:42:13.510 A:middle L:90%
there is great potential to be able to do this

812
00:42:13.599 --> 00:42:15.750 A:middle L:90%
. And but I think it's a really important first

813
00:42:15.750 --> 00:42:17.510 A:middle L:90%
step for cities to commit to this, to take

814
00:42:17.510 --> 00:42:21.449 A:middle L:90%
this seriously and say, look, we understand that

815
00:42:21.449 --> 00:42:23.090 A:middle L:90%
we can continue to grow if we use water better

816
00:42:23.699 --> 00:42:25.849 A:middle L:90%
, it doesn't have to limit our population growth.

817
00:42:25.849 --> 00:42:29.489 A:middle L:90%
It doesn't have to limit our economy, our economic

818
00:42:29.489 --> 00:42:31.920 A:middle L:90%
production. We can actually get by using less water

819
00:42:32.400 --> 00:42:35.619 A:middle L:90%
. And one of the really important ways that cities

820
00:42:35.619 --> 00:42:37.510 A:middle L:90%
are going to be able to do this is by

821
00:42:37.510 --> 00:42:40.429 A:middle L:90%
paying attention to how they use water outdoors. Um

822
00:42:42.099 --> 00:42:44.050 A:middle L:90%
We don't have to worry about that so much here

823
00:42:44.050 --> 00:42:45.750 A:middle L:90%
in Virginia. You know, I have a I

824
00:42:45.750 --> 00:42:46.349 A:middle L:90%
have a green grass lawn, I never thought I'd

825
00:42:46.349 --> 00:42:47.889 A:middle L:90%
have a green grass lawn, but I don't have

826
00:42:47.889 --> 00:42:52.760 A:middle L:90%
to irrigate it. It's entirely uh supported by by

827
00:42:52.760 --> 00:42:54.530 A:middle L:90%
rainfall. And so that's really nice. That's a

828
00:42:54.530 --> 00:42:57.769 A:middle L:90%
real luxury, you know in some ways for people

829
00:42:57.769 --> 00:42:59.440 A:middle L:90%
who live in the parts of the country, particularly

830
00:42:59.440 --> 00:43:01.320 A:middle L:90%
northeastern United States and the upper midwest that you can

831
00:43:01.320 --> 00:43:04.429 A:middle L:90%
do that. But the rest of the country,

832
00:43:04.480 --> 00:43:06.489 A:middle L:90%
if you want that kind of outdoor landscaping, you're

833
00:43:06.489 --> 00:43:07.230 A:middle L:90%
gonna have to put water on it. And it

834
00:43:07.230 --> 00:43:10.179 A:middle L:90%
turns out that in most of the most U.

835
00:43:10.179 --> 00:43:15.139 A:middle L:90%
S. Cities half of the water use 30 to

836
00:43:15.139 --> 00:43:19.179 A:middle L:90%
50 is going to doing this to watering things outside

837
00:43:19.190 --> 00:43:23.420 A:middle L:90%
to creating landscapes that need supplemental water. And so

838
00:43:23.800 --> 00:43:27.050 A:middle L:90%
there was some really great piece of research that was

839
00:43:27.050 --> 00:43:29.329 A:middle L:90%
done out at U. C. Davis University of

840
00:43:29.329 --> 00:43:32.239 A:middle L:90%
California Davis where they did a comparison of cities across

841
00:43:32.239 --> 00:43:35.969 A:middle L:90%
Australia and compared them to cities in the western United

842
00:43:35.969 --> 00:43:38.469 A:middle L:90%
States. And they documented the Australians are using half

843
00:43:38.480 --> 00:43:40.710 A:middle L:90%
the amount of water that western U. S.

844
00:43:40.710 --> 00:43:45.960 A:middle L:90%
Cities are using. And it's because entirely 90 of

845
00:43:45.960 --> 00:43:47.230 A:middle L:90%
the of the reason of the explanation is because the

846
00:43:47.230 --> 00:43:52.639 A:middle L:90%
way that they use water outdoors they're using landscape plants

847
00:43:52.019 --> 00:43:57.230 A:middle L:90%
that do perfectly well on the available water supply falling

848
00:43:57.230 --> 00:44:00.050 A:middle L:90%
out of the sky on rainfall. That's the big

849
00:44:00.050 --> 00:44:00.809 A:middle L:90%
difference. A little bit of the difference between the

850
00:44:00.809 --> 00:44:05.539 A:middle L:90%
cities has to do with toilets and other water efficient

851
00:44:05.550 --> 00:44:09.360 A:middle L:90%
appliances inside. But I want to turn now to

852
00:44:09.369 --> 00:44:13.349 A:middle L:90%
the opportunities out on farms. Um, for the

853
00:44:13.349 --> 00:44:16.099 A:middle L:90%
obvious reason I told you that 90 of the water

854
00:44:16.099 --> 00:44:19.610 A:middle L:90%
being consumed in water scarce series being used on farms

855
00:44:19.619 --> 00:44:21.329 A:middle L:90%
. So we have to look at farms and in

856
00:44:21.329 --> 00:44:22.280 A:middle L:90%
fact, there are very, very few places in

857
00:44:22.280 --> 00:44:23.989 A:middle L:90%
the world where we're gonna be able to resolve water

858
00:44:23.989 --> 00:44:28.940 A:middle L:90%
scarcity by not doubling tripling down on, trying to

859
00:44:28.940 --> 00:44:30.809 A:middle L:90%
figure out how to use less water on farms.

860
00:44:31.070 --> 00:44:32.440 A:middle L:90%
Now, something I want to say. So,

861
00:44:32.440 --> 00:44:35.170 A:middle L:90%
the thing is coming into a lot of your minds

862
00:44:35.170 --> 00:44:37.719 A:middle L:90%
, I'm sure, is how in the world are

863
00:44:37.719 --> 00:44:38.849 A:middle L:90%
we going to use less water on farms? Because

864
00:44:38.849 --> 00:44:42.030 A:middle L:90%
we're gonna be producing a lot less food. Our

865
00:44:42.030 --> 00:44:44.280 A:middle L:90%
population is growing here in the United States and around

866
00:44:44.280 --> 00:44:47.179 A:middle L:90%
the world. The United States is responsible for feeding

867
00:44:47.190 --> 00:44:50.039 A:middle L:90%
a number of other places in the world. We

868
00:44:50.039 --> 00:44:52.630 A:middle L:90%
export a great deal of food. Um, We

869
00:44:52.630 --> 00:44:55.530 A:middle L:90%
are the largest exporter of virtual water by the way

870
00:44:55.539 --> 00:44:59.539 A:middle L:90%
, because we use a lot of our water supply

871
00:44:59.550 --> 00:45:01.440 A:middle L:90%
to grow crops that are water intensive, that aren't

872
00:45:01.440 --> 00:45:02.869 A:middle L:90%
able to be grown, at least in the volume

873
00:45:02.869 --> 00:45:06.000 A:middle L:90%
that's required in a lot of other countries. So

874
00:45:06.000 --> 00:45:08.920 A:middle L:90%
we are the biggest exporter of water intensive crops on

875
00:45:08.920 --> 00:45:13.900 A:middle L:90%
the planet. So what I'm talking about here is

876
00:45:13.900 --> 00:45:16.550 A:middle L:90%
not reducing agricultural production, and I'm not talking about

877
00:45:16.550 --> 00:45:21.010 A:middle L:90%
reducing the revenue revenue generation that farmers can earn.

878
00:45:21.489 --> 00:45:23.679 A:middle L:90%
Um, it is very realistic to be able to

879
00:45:23.679 --> 00:45:29.070 A:middle L:90%
produce the same or even slightly greater volume of food

880
00:45:29.070 --> 00:45:32.369 A:middle L:90%
and other crops by using substantially less water. Um

881
00:45:32.380 --> 00:45:35.789 A:middle L:90%
, again, I harnessed the intellectual capacity of a

882
00:45:35.789 --> 00:45:37.809 A:middle L:90%
group of my students, student researchers over the course

883
00:45:37.809 --> 00:45:42.219 A:middle L:90%
of the last year, and we looked around the

884
00:45:42.219 --> 00:45:45.329 A:middle L:90%
world, we scoured the literature, um and we

885
00:45:45.329 --> 00:45:49.019 A:middle L:90%
looked with great scrutiny at places. It had credible

886
00:45:49.019 --> 00:45:52.730 A:middle L:90%
defensible evidence of being able to use less water on

887
00:45:52.730 --> 00:45:55.889 A:middle L:90%
irrigated farms, um using a wide variety of strategies

888
00:45:55.900 --> 00:45:59.980 A:middle L:90%
. But we held ourselves to the standard of they

889
00:45:59.989 --> 00:46:01.710 A:middle L:90%
couldn't have shown any reduction in the agricultural production,

890
00:46:02.079 --> 00:46:05.239 A:middle L:90%
so they had to save water but keep the production

891
00:46:05.239 --> 00:46:07.230 A:middle L:90%
the same. And we built a very, very

892
00:46:07.230 --> 00:46:08.739 A:middle L:90%
large database of examples from around the world and published

893
00:46:08.739 --> 00:46:10.820 A:middle L:90%
in the paper that will show up in the journal

894
00:46:10.820 --> 00:46:14.530 A:middle L:90%
Water Policy, which is available online. It should

895
00:46:14.530 --> 00:46:16.000 A:middle L:90%
show up any day. Um this particular paper,

896
00:46:16.869 --> 00:46:20.219 A:middle L:90%
but here's some of the things that we found is

897
00:46:20.679 --> 00:46:22.000 A:middle L:90%
just in the way that you apply the water to

898
00:46:22.000 --> 00:46:25.090 A:middle L:90%
the crop field can actually make a big difference in

899
00:46:25.090 --> 00:46:30.489 A:middle L:90%
terms of how much water you're using up. Um

900
00:46:30.880 --> 00:46:31.309 A:middle L:90%
And by the way, let me back up because

901
00:46:31.309 --> 00:46:32.889 A:middle L:90%
I'm going to use a term of art real quick

902
00:46:32.889 --> 00:46:34.840 A:middle L:90%
here and I want to, I want to be

903
00:46:34.840 --> 00:46:37.900 A:middle L:90%
clear for those of you that have some familiarity with

904
00:46:37.550 --> 00:46:40.539 A:middle L:90%
irrigation science, agricultural crop science and that sort of

905
00:46:40.539 --> 00:46:44.719 A:middle L:90%
thing. Most people, when they talk about most

906
00:46:44.730 --> 00:46:49.079 A:middle L:90%
people in the world and manufacturers of efficient irrigation equipment

907
00:46:49.090 --> 00:46:51.940 A:middle L:90%
, what they talk about is how much less water

908
00:46:51.940 --> 00:46:54.849 A:middle L:90%
you have to withdraw out of the water source to

909
00:46:54.849 --> 00:46:59.280 A:middle L:90%
put on your farm, but they're not paying attention

910
00:46:59.280 --> 00:47:00.909 A:middle L:90%
to the fact that a good amount of that water

911
00:47:01.480 --> 00:47:05.139 A:middle L:90%
, sometimes a substantial portion of that water that you

912
00:47:05.139 --> 00:47:07.340 A:middle L:90%
pulled out of the river and apply it on the

913
00:47:07.340 --> 00:47:09.389 A:middle L:90%
farm actually returned back to the water source. It

914
00:47:09.389 --> 00:47:13.650 A:middle L:90%
seats back into the groundwater or it ran off the

915
00:47:13.650 --> 00:47:15.710 A:middle L:90%
farm fields and got back into the river or back

916
00:47:15.710 --> 00:47:17.469 A:middle L:90%
into the lake. And so they have, they

917
00:47:17.469 --> 00:47:20.869 A:middle L:90%
have inflated the estimates of how much water can be

918
00:47:20.869 --> 00:47:22.550 A:middle L:90%
saved because they're not paying attention to this issue of

919
00:47:22.559 --> 00:47:24.969 A:middle L:90%
return flow, the amount of water that gets back

920
00:47:24.969 --> 00:47:28.860 A:middle L:90%
into the system. So they've been overemphasizing, they've

921
00:47:28.860 --> 00:47:30.599 A:middle L:90%
been overrating how much can be done. So we

922
00:47:30.599 --> 00:47:32.400 A:middle L:90%
were very careful about these things I just wanted to

923
00:47:32.400 --> 00:47:36.570 A:middle L:90%
mention again for those of you that understand this issue

924
00:47:36.570 --> 00:47:38.769 A:middle L:90%
in this problem. So when you just look at

925
00:47:38.769 --> 00:47:43.179 A:middle L:90%
how much water actually gets consumed gets lost and isn't

926
00:47:43.179 --> 00:47:46.130 A:middle L:90%
returned back into the water source By shifting the way

927
00:47:46.130 --> 00:47:47.739 A:middle L:90%
that you apply the water to the farm field.

928
00:47:47.739 --> 00:47:50.360 A:middle L:90%
You can reduce by, as it says here,

929
00:47:50.360 --> 00:47:54.289 A:middle L:90%
34-57%. Things like instead of flooding the farm fields

930
00:47:54.519 --> 00:47:59.150 A:middle L:90%
with water and having all that evaporation directly from the

931
00:47:59.150 --> 00:48:00.480 A:middle L:90%
water surface as well as from the soil, becoming

932
00:48:00.480 --> 00:48:02.679 A:middle L:90%
more careful with the way that you apply the water

933
00:48:02.769 --> 00:48:05.059 A:middle L:90%
. The picture on the bottom right, of course

934
00:48:05.059 --> 00:48:07.119 A:middle L:90%
, being drip irrigation, applying the water right to

935
00:48:07.119 --> 00:48:09.260 A:middle L:90%
the root zone, right to the plant roots in

936
00:48:09.260 --> 00:48:12.960 A:middle L:90%
a very, very careful way and we can reduce

937
00:48:12.960 --> 00:48:16.369 A:middle L:90%
that consumptive use of water quite substantially. The other

938
00:48:16.369 --> 00:48:19.090 A:middle L:90%
area that I think is really interesting, we're gonna

939
00:48:19.090 --> 00:48:21.699 A:middle L:90%
hear a lot of discussion about this in the coming

940
00:48:21.699 --> 00:48:22.960 A:middle L:90%
decades here in the United States and many other parts

941
00:48:22.960 --> 00:48:27.139 A:middle L:90%
of the country is deciding whether or not we're going

942
00:48:27.139 --> 00:48:29.139 A:middle L:90%
to continue to grow the same crops in the same

943
00:48:29.139 --> 00:48:31.789 A:middle L:90%
places and this is going to become a bigger and

944
00:48:31.789 --> 00:48:36.039 A:middle L:90%
bigger issue of course, under climate change, um

945
00:48:36.050 --> 00:48:37.949 A:middle L:90%
one of my colleagues has, has done some modeling

946
00:48:37.949 --> 00:48:40.900 A:middle L:90%
and mapping, looking at what's projected, what's forecast

947
00:48:40.900 --> 00:48:44.760 A:middle L:90%
from the climate change models in the next few decades

948
00:48:44.860 --> 00:48:46.940 A:middle L:90%
and what that's gonna mean for agricultural crop production,

949
00:48:46.940 --> 00:48:49.750 A:middle L:90%
which kind of crops you can grow in different places

950
00:48:49.750 --> 00:48:51.840 A:middle L:90%
in the United States and what you see for many

951
00:48:51.840 --> 00:48:54.280 A:middle L:90%
of the major crops is moving for literally from texas

952
00:48:54.369 --> 00:48:58.500 A:middle L:90%
up into Canada, because we can will no longer

953
00:48:58.500 --> 00:49:00.099 A:middle L:90%
be able to produce those crops that we've been used

954
00:49:00.099 --> 00:49:02.440 A:middle L:90%
to producing. So whether it's being driven by climate

955
00:49:02.440 --> 00:49:07.309 A:middle L:90%
change and changing water availability or just because um we're

956
00:49:07.309 --> 00:49:08.840 A:middle L:90%
trying to save a lot less water or because we're

957
00:49:08.840 --> 00:49:14.590 A:middle L:90%
trying to take advantage of of different crops um may

958
00:49:14.769 --> 00:49:17.130 A:middle L:90%
provide greater economic returns to the farmers. So there

959
00:49:17.130 --> 00:49:21.000 A:middle L:90%
is great potential to rethink what we're going to grow

960
00:49:21.000 --> 00:49:22.079 A:middle L:90%
. Where and again, look at the percentage of

961
00:49:22.079 --> 00:49:23.789 A:middle L:90%
water savings that might be available to us. If

962
00:49:23.789 --> 00:49:27.829 A:middle L:90%
we can do that, I'm gonna finish on one

963
00:49:27.829 --> 00:49:32.639 A:middle L:90%
last topic. And what I mean by this,

964
00:49:32.639 --> 00:49:38.550 A:middle L:90%
by sharing water is the context here, is that

965
00:49:38.559 --> 00:49:42.280 A:middle L:90%
in many of the water scarce regions of the world

966
00:49:43.139 --> 00:49:46.070 A:middle L:90%
, the governments have developed what are called water allocation

967
00:49:46.070 --> 00:49:50.760 A:middle L:90%
systems. What that means is that they keep track

968
00:49:50.760 --> 00:49:53.050 A:middle L:90%
of the inventory by telling each water user how much

969
00:49:53.050 --> 00:49:55.619 A:middle L:90%
water they get to use. And it's a legal

970
00:49:55.619 --> 00:49:59.400 A:middle L:90%
right. It's a legal right or a legal entitlements

971
00:49:59.400 --> 00:50:01.159 A:middle L:90%
. Sometimes they call them permits, but basically they're

972
00:50:01.159 --> 00:50:06.480 A:middle L:90%
controlling water use through a formal water allocation system.

973
00:50:07.159 --> 00:50:09.840 A:middle L:90%
Now, in the places that are doing that many

974
00:50:09.840 --> 00:50:13.150 A:middle L:90%
of those places, you can also you also have

975
00:50:13.150 --> 00:50:19.070 A:middle L:90%
the opportunity to trade that legal right, either in

976
00:50:19.070 --> 00:50:22.170 A:middle L:90%
part or in whole, why would a farmer want

977
00:50:22.170 --> 00:50:27.329 A:middle L:90%
to do that? Um Some farmers are getting old

978
00:50:27.329 --> 00:50:28.730 A:middle L:90%
and getting and getting out of the business and their

979
00:50:28.730 --> 00:50:30.039 A:middle L:90%
kids don't want to take over the farm, they're

980
00:50:30.039 --> 00:50:31.869 A:middle L:90%
going to go out of production. The water is

981
00:50:31.869 --> 00:50:34.429 A:middle L:90%
worth a great deal. They can sell it to

982
00:50:34.429 --> 00:50:37.869 A:middle L:90%
somebody else who wants to use their water that takes

983
00:50:37.869 --> 00:50:39.500 A:middle L:90%
agricultural farms out of production though. And so that's

984
00:50:39.500 --> 00:50:42.780 A:middle L:90%
not a very desirable thing in the Western us,

985
00:50:42.780 --> 00:50:45.599 A:middle L:90%
we refer to that as buy and dry. Um

986
00:50:45.610 --> 00:50:46.559 A:middle L:90%
, and it's caused some real problems in some agricultural

987
00:50:46.559 --> 00:50:50.000 A:middle L:90%
communities and really unraveled the social fabric and some of

988
00:50:50.000 --> 00:50:52.030 A:middle L:90%
those communities if you do too much of that.

989
00:50:52.039 --> 00:50:53.280 A:middle L:90%
But some farmers are wanting to get out and that's

990
00:50:53.280 --> 00:50:55.570 A:middle L:90%
, that's one of the motivations. The much,

991
00:50:55.570 --> 00:51:00.920 A:middle L:90%
much better scenario or story is you have a farmer

992
00:51:00.920 --> 00:51:05.420 A:middle L:90%
who realizes that he or she can produce the same

993
00:51:05.420 --> 00:51:09.539 A:middle L:90%
crop by using some of these water saving strategies.

994
00:51:09.539 --> 00:51:14.909 A:middle L:90%
Water efficiency strategies use less water than they have historically

995
00:51:14.909 --> 00:51:17.429 A:middle L:90%
used and no longer need the full portion of their

996
00:51:17.429 --> 00:51:21.190 A:middle L:90%
water rights of their entitlements and then they can take

997
00:51:21.190 --> 00:51:22.659 A:middle L:90%
that portion and neither sell it permanently or rent it

998
00:51:22.670 --> 00:51:24.719 A:middle L:90%
, lease it from year to year. And so

999
00:51:24.719 --> 00:51:28.460 A:middle L:90%
we've talked about growing not only growing crops but growing

1000
00:51:28.460 --> 00:51:31.650 A:middle L:90%
water if they deploy this kind of a strategy and

1001
00:51:31.650 --> 00:51:34.480 A:middle L:90%
I think it's going to help it is helping a

1002
00:51:34.480 --> 00:51:37.329 A:middle L:90%
lot of farmers economically, giving them an additional revenue

1003
00:51:37.329 --> 00:51:43.019 A:middle L:90%
stream. And it's become a very powerful catalyst for

1004
00:51:43.019 --> 00:51:45.480 A:middle L:90%
improved water conservation of water use efficiency because if you're

1005
00:51:45.480 --> 00:51:50.500 A:middle L:90%
motivated, if you're incentivized financially by doing this by

1006
00:51:50.500 --> 00:51:52.420 A:middle L:90%
using less water and being rewarded from that, then

1007
00:51:52.429 --> 00:51:55.750 A:middle L:90%
then that's a that's a powerful force. So we're

1008
00:51:55.750 --> 00:51:58.619 A:middle L:90%
seeing more and more of that. Here is just

1009
00:51:58.619 --> 00:52:00.840 A:middle L:90%
one story I'll finish with to illustrate how some of

1010
00:52:00.840 --> 00:52:02.789 A:middle L:90%
this is playing out here in the United States.

1011
00:52:04.750 --> 00:52:07.440 A:middle L:90%
I happen to grow up in SAn Diego. San

1012
00:52:07.440 --> 00:52:08.949 A:middle L:90%
Diego grew, you know, leaps by leaps and

1013
00:52:08.949 --> 00:52:13.199 A:middle L:90%
bounds over the last century, particularly during World war

1014
00:52:13.199 --> 00:52:15.219 A:middle L:90%
two, San Diego became a very important naval base

1015
00:52:15.219 --> 00:52:19.619 A:middle L:90%
. And and tens of thousands hundreds of thousands of

1016
00:52:19.670 --> 00:52:22.059 A:middle L:90%
, of navy personnel came into San Diego and many

1017
00:52:22.059 --> 00:52:23.730 A:middle L:90%
of them ended up staying like my father and my

1018
00:52:23.730 --> 00:52:25.820 A:middle L:90%
parents ended up settling there because of his time in

1019
00:52:25.820 --> 00:52:30.269 A:middle L:90%
the Navy. Um so San Diego has been growing

1020
00:52:30.269 --> 00:52:31.630 A:middle L:90%
and expanding and needing more and more water supply.

1021
00:52:31.710 --> 00:52:36.769 A:middle L:90%
And in the late 1990s, after they've exhausted all

1022
00:52:36.769 --> 00:52:38.159 A:middle L:90%
the local water supply, they started getting dependent on

1023
00:52:38.159 --> 00:52:40.460 A:middle L:90%
these water importation pipelines. They pulled it in from

1024
00:52:40.460 --> 00:52:43.519 A:middle L:90%
the Colorado River and they pulled it in from the

1025
00:52:43.519 --> 00:52:45.679 A:middle L:90%
central, from the state water project, from northern

1026
00:52:45.679 --> 00:52:49.630 A:middle L:90%
California. But beginning in the late 1990s and early

1027
00:52:49.630 --> 00:52:52.820 A:middle L:90%
2000, they shifted strategy. They realized that they

1028
00:52:52.820 --> 00:52:57.559 A:middle L:90%
could work with the farmers in the imperial irrigation district

1029
00:52:58.849 --> 00:53:02.340 A:middle L:90%
who use a great deal of water they use in

1030
00:53:02.340 --> 00:53:08.630 A:middle L:90%
total, that one irrigation district Uses 20 of all

1031
00:53:08.630 --> 00:53:13.739 A:middle L:90%
the water in the Colorado River. And so the

1032
00:53:13.739 --> 00:53:15.889 A:middle L:90%
imperial irrigation district was an obvious partner, or somebody

1033
00:53:15.889 --> 00:53:17.760 A:middle L:90%
that the city thought they should go talk to,

1034
00:53:17.760 --> 00:53:20.409 A:middle L:90%
to see whether not they couldn't work out some sort

1035
00:53:20.409 --> 00:53:22.989 A:middle L:90%
of arrangement. They worked out an arrangement where they

1036
00:53:22.989 --> 00:53:27.059 A:middle L:90%
pay these farmers over$60 million dollars every year out

1037
00:53:27.059 --> 00:53:29.599 A:middle L:90%
in this irrigation district. And in turn, the

1038
00:53:29.599 --> 00:53:32.309 A:middle L:90%
farmers use those funds to change the way that they

1039
00:53:32.309 --> 00:53:36.190 A:middle L:90%
apply water. They change the crops that they're growing

1040
00:53:36.210 --> 00:53:38.130 A:middle L:90%
. Sometimes they might temporarily fallow their crop. They

1041
00:53:38.130 --> 00:53:40.219 A:middle L:90%
may not grow a crop in one year so that

1042
00:53:40.219 --> 00:53:43.079 A:middle L:90%
they can instead take some of these payments from SAN

1043
00:53:43.079 --> 00:53:45.320 A:middle L:90%
Diego. They are lining their ditches and canals,

1044
00:53:45.320 --> 00:53:49.099 A:middle L:90%
or they're putting in a lot of monitoring and instrumentation

1045
00:53:49.250 --> 00:53:51.429 A:middle L:90%
, doing all kinds of things. The important thing

1046
00:53:51.429 --> 00:53:54.440 A:middle L:90%
is the farmers decide what to do. Um the

1047
00:53:54.440 --> 00:53:57.230 A:middle L:90%
city doesn't tell them how to save the water.

1048
00:53:57.230 --> 00:53:59.380 A:middle L:90%
The farmers figure that out. They've raised their hand

1049
00:53:59.380 --> 00:54:00.400 A:middle L:90%
. They volunteer, I want to save some water

1050
00:54:00.469 --> 00:54:02.440 A:middle L:90%
, I want to sell some water to SAn Diego

1051
00:54:02.480 --> 00:54:05.909 A:middle L:90%
. And the result of all of this is that

1052
00:54:05.920 --> 00:54:08.429 A:middle L:90%
that transfer of water now from the Imperial irrigation district

1053
00:54:08.429 --> 00:54:10.349 A:middle L:90%
to the city of San Diego is a third of

1054
00:54:10.349 --> 00:54:15.420 A:middle L:90%
San Diego's water supply and it's increasing. Um so

1055
00:54:15.420 --> 00:54:15.880 A:middle L:90%
this is the kind of story that you're going to

1056
00:54:15.880 --> 00:54:19.500 A:middle L:90%
see playing out in the western United States and a

1057
00:54:19.500 --> 00:54:22.090 A:middle L:90%
lot of the other water scarce areas of the world

1058
00:54:22.099 --> 00:54:24.820 A:middle L:90%
. And it's all based on saving water. It's

1059
00:54:24.820 --> 00:54:28.590 A:middle L:90%
on the potential to save water and the reduction in

1060
00:54:28.590 --> 00:54:30.489 A:middle L:90%
the economic expense of trying to get more water.

1061
00:54:30.500 --> 00:54:34.550 A:middle L:90%
And if we can figure out ways to economically incentivized

1062
00:54:34.559 --> 00:54:37.750 A:middle L:90%
saving water, we could really see a quite a

1063
00:54:37.750 --> 00:54:40.079 A:middle L:90%
quite a rapid change take place. So this is

1064
00:54:40.079 --> 00:54:45.269 A:middle L:90%
the picture of San Diego's water supply I mentioned in

1065
00:54:45.269 --> 00:54:47.550 A:middle L:90%
the early 1990s 96 of the water supply came from

1066
00:54:47.550 --> 00:54:51.059 A:middle L:90%
bringing it in from from hundreds of miles away.

1067
00:54:51.739 --> 00:54:55.469 A:middle L:90%
Um by 2011 they were starting to rebalance um they

1068
00:54:55.469 --> 00:54:59.360 A:middle L:90%
were down to 44. So the pie is growing

1069
00:54:59.369 --> 00:55:01.599 A:middle L:90%
, they're using more water over time, but 44

1070
00:55:01.599 --> 00:55:05.690 A:middle L:90%
coming from water importation, but they're starting to invest

1071
00:55:05.699 --> 00:55:07.360 A:middle L:90%
by that point in water conservation. Specifically, the

1072
00:55:07.360 --> 00:55:12.010 A:middle L:90%
deal with the imperial irrigation district Was already in place

1073
00:55:12.010 --> 00:55:14.449 A:middle L:90%
in the early 2000. So by 2011 over a

1074
00:55:14.449 --> 00:55:16.119 A:middle L:90%
quarter. Now, if you look at both,

1075
00:55:16.119 --> 00:55:20.130 A:middle L:90%
how much is coming out of the Imperial irrigation district

1076
00:55:20.130 --> 00:55:22.460 A:middle L:90%
, which is in the green, combined with what

1077
00:55:22.460 --> 00:55:23.889 A:middle L:90%
they're doing with urban water conservation inside the city,

1078
00:55:23.889 --> 00:55:27.639 A:middle L:90%
which is in the red you're getting to almost half

1079
00:55:27.650 --> 00:55:30.909 A:middle L:90%
of SAn Diego's water supply being based on water conservation

1080
00:55:30.920 --> 00:55:32.659 A:middle L:90%
being driven by water conservation. That's the city of

1081
00:55:32.659 --> 00:55:36.940 A:middle L:90%
the future. That's, that's a sustainable water future

1082
00:55:36.940 --> 00:55:38.980 A:middle L:90%
for a city like SAn Diego. This is my

1083
00:55:38.980 --> 00:55:42.949 A:middle L:90%
last slide. Um, and it's just a wrap

1084
00:55:42.949 --> 00:55:44.590 A:middle L:90%
up of everything that I said, but I always

1085
00:55:44.590 --> 00:55:45.420 A:middle L:90%
like to make sure that some of the really important

1086
00:55:45.420 --> 00:55:47.829 A:middle L:90%
points that I've shared with you come across loud and

1087
00:55:47.829 --> 00:55:51.769 A:middle L:90%
clear. So, um, we have, so

1088
00:55:51.769 --> 00:55:52.849 A:middle L:90%
again, a third of the water sources on the

1089
00:55:52.849 --> 00:55:55.280 A:middle L:90%
planet rivers, lakes and aquifers are being very,

1090
00:55:55.280 --> 00:56:00.469 A:middle L:90%
very heavily utilized to the point of exhaustion, 90

1091
00:56:00.469 --> 00:56:01.940 A:middle L:90%
on average, not in every single water basin,

1092
00:56:01.940 --> 00:56:04.860 A:middle L:90%
but on average, across all of those places,

1093
00:56:04.860 --> 00:56:07.360 A:middle L:90%
90 is going to irrigated farms, about 10 of

1094
00:56:07.360 --> 00:56:09.739 A:middle L:90%
the water going to cities and industry. The result

1095
00:56:09.739 --> 00:56:13.900 A:middle L:90%
being that we've dried up many, many river and

1096
00:56:13.900 --> 00:56:17.670 A:middle L:90%
lake ecosystems and groundwater biographers around the planet where we

1097
00:56:17.670 --> 00:56:21.099 A:middle L:90%
need to go over the next couple of decades is

1098
00:56:21.099 --> 00:56:22.510 A:middle L:90%
very, very clear in my mind. And that

1099
00:56:22.510 --> 00:56:25.130 A:middle L:90%
is, we need to start investing in using a

1100
00:56:25.130 --> 00:56:29.000 A:middle L:90%
lot less water for irrigated agriculture. We need to

1101
00:56:29.000 --> 00:56:31.159 A:middle L:90%
use a lot less because the irrigated agriculture uses so

1102
00:56:31.159 --> 00:56:34.360 A:middle L:90%
much water. The volume that gets freed up from

1103
00:56:34.360 --> 00:56:37.869 A:middle L:90%
any water savings is enormous. You can reduce the

1104
00:56:37.869 --> 00:56:40.860 A:middle L:90%
water being consumed in irrigation agriculture by 10 in supply

1105
00:56:40.869 --> 00:56:43.750 A:middle L:90%
, all of the cities and industries around the world

1106
00:56:44.429 --> 00:56:46.769 A:middle L:90%
With 10 reduction in irrigated agriculture. That's, that's

1107
00:56:46.769 --> 00:56:49.760 A:middle L:90%
a gross average. But it gives you some idea

1108
00:56:49.760 --> 00:56:52.590 A:middle L:90%
of the magnitude that I'm talking about here in cities

1109
00:56:52.590 --> 00:56:53.449 A:middle L:90%
. We need to do our part. Um,

1110
00:56:53.449 --> 00:56:55.650 A:middle L:90%
we need to freeze the amount of water that we're

1111
00:56:55.650 --> 00:57:00.179 A:middle L:90%
using and and start moving toward reducing and hopefully I've

1112
00:57:00.190 --> 00:57:01.050 A:middle L:90%
provided you with some evidence of how that can be

1113
00:57:01.050 --> 00:57:05.519 A:middle L:90%
done, particularly focusing on outdoor landscaping. And then

1114
00:57:05.519 --> 00:57:07.239 A:middle L:90%
lastly, I hope that we can use a lot

1115
00:57:07.239 --> 00:57:10.659 A:middle L:90%
of this water to bring some of those natural ecosystems

1116
00:57:10.670 --> 00:57:15.289 A:middle L:90%
back into a more healthy condition. I had a

1117
00:57:15.289 --> 00:57:17.579 A:middle L:90%
wonderful two days here at Virginia Tech and I was

1118
00:57:17.579 --> 00:57:21.159 A:middle L:90%
really impressed. You are the best and the brightest

1119
00:57:21.630 --> 00:57:24.150 A:middle L:90%
students, faculty researchers, You've got the talent,

1120
00:57:24.150 --> 00:57:25.809 A:middle L:90%
you've got the intellect, you've got the skills to

1121
00:57:25.809 --> 00:57:28.789 A:middle L:90%
do this. So let's go Hokies and get this

1122
00:57:28.789 --> 00:57:31.159 A:middle L:90%
job done. All right, thank you. And

1123
00:57:31.159 --> 00:57:35.880 A:middle L:90%
so is uh Stephen and Bill said, um,

1124
00:57:35.889 --> 00:57:37.469 A:middle L:90%
we have time for questions. This is always my

1125
00:57:37.469 --> 00:57:40.929 A:middle L:90%
favorite part of doing these things. Um, I'd

1126
00:57:40.929 --> 00:57:44.019 A:middle L:90%
be very gratified to you if you if you come

1127
00:57:44.019 --> 00:57:45.750 A:middle L:90%
up and hit me with whatever you got. Um

1128
00:57:47.030 --> 00:57:50.070 A:middle L:90%
, If your voice doesn't project, we're going to

1129
00:57:50.070 --> 00:57:51.559 A:middle L:90%
ask you to try to come up to one of

1130
00:57:51.559 --> 00:57:52.989 A:middle L:90%
the mix, but those of you think you have

1131
00:57:52.989 --> 00:57:54.650 A:middle L:90%
booming voices, we could give it a try.

1132
00:57:55.130 --> 00:58:05.800 A:middle L:90%
Um So I see your hand back here first stand

1133
00:58:05.800 --> 00:58:22.280 A:middle L:90%
up please, yep. Um So I hit on

1134
00:58:22.280 --> 00:58:25.309 A:middle L:90%
a couple of them and the way that you apply

1135
00:58:25.309 --> 00:58:30.280 A:middle L:90%
the water um they have made big advances in sprinkler

1136
00:58:30.280 --> 00:58:32.079 A:middle L:90%
systems. Um you know they've gone from sprinkler systems

1137
00:58:32.079 --> 00:58:36.610 A:middle L:90%
that used to spray such fine particles of such fine

1138
00:58:36.610 --> 00:58:39.429 A:middle L:90%
particles or droplets I should say of water that they

1139
00:58:39.429 --> 00:58:42.659 A:middle L:90%
lost a lot to evaporation particularly. It was windy

1140
00:58:42.659 --> 00:58:45.280 A:middle L:90%
and hot outside um while they were doing this and

1141
00:58:45.280 --> 00:58:49.219 A:middle L:90%
now they go to low pressure systems that make bigger

1142
00:58:49.219 --> 00:58:51.510 A:middle L:90%
drops and they put those sprinklers much closer to the

1143
00:58:51.510 --> 00:58:57.239 A:middle L:90%
ground. Um Low energy precision application leap systems.

1144
00:58:57.719 --> 00:58:59.650 A:middle L:90%
So the way that you apply the water is an

1145
00:58:59.650 --> 00:59:01.159 A:middle L:90%
important one, but another one that I didn't hit

1146
00:59:01.159 --> 00:59:05.550 A:middle L:90%
on here, And it's a really, really important

1147
00:59:05.550 --> 00:59:09.730 A:middle L:90%
one is the soil health, the soil quality itself

1148
00:59:09.739 --> 00:59:12.619 A:middle L:90%
. So if you've got enough organic matter in the

1149
00:59:12.619 --> 00:59:17.539 A:middle L:90%
soil by mulching by no till agriculture, various methods

1150
00:59:17.920 --> 00:59:22.409 A:middle L:90%
, you can substantially increase the moisture retention capacity of

1151
00:59:22.409 --> 00:59:23.409 A:middle L:90%
the soil. And that means that you're going to

1152
00:59:23.409 --> 00:59:28.190 A:middle L:90%
have to apply less supplemental irrigation water. So I

1153
00:59:28.190 --> 00:59:30.119 A:middle L:90%
think a lot of the soil health movement is starting

1154
00:59:30.119 --> 00:59:31.599 A:middle L:90%
to take place here in the United States. Um

1155
00:59:31.599 --> 00:59:35.130 A:middle L:90%
and in particular in the young farming community, the

1156
00:59:35.130 --> 00:59:36.840 A:middle L:90%
folks that are, you know, the 20somethings and

1157
00:59:36.840 --> 00:59:38.090 A:middle L:90%
30 some things that are going back to the farm

1158
00:59:38.090 --> 00:59:42.019 A:middle L:90%
and the second back to the land movement um which

1159
00:59:42.019 --> 00:59:45.269 A:middle L:90%
is really cool and I love it. Um so

1160
00:59:45.269 --> 00:59:47.059 A:middle L:90%
much attention on the soil, It's all about the

1161
00:59:47.059 --> 00:59:49.670 A:middle L:90%
soil, right? So if you get the soil

1162
00:59:49.670 --> 00:59:51.110 A:middle L:90%
right, you can save an awful lot of water

1163
00:59:51.110 --> 00:59:52.780 A:middle L:90%
and produce much healthier food as well. So those

1164
00:59:52.780 --> 00:59:54.639 A:middle L:90%
are some of the some of the particular ones,

1165
00:59:55.219 --> 00:59:57.840 A:middle L:90%
and I saw a hand up over here, please

1166
01:00:07.110 --> 01:00:09.429 A:middle L:90%
. Okay. The question was about Hampton Roads and

1167
01:00:09.429 --> 01:00:12.150 A:middle L:90%
I don't know this particular project, but it's come

1168
01:00:12.150 --> 01:00:13.949 A:middle L:90%
up in the last couple days, this is the

1169
01:00:13.949 --> 01:00:16.829 A:middle L:90%
second time. So they're trying to reuse, they're

1170
01:00:16.829 --> 01:00:21.969 A:middle L:90%
trying to recycle their water so they're taking um they're

1171
01:00:21.969 --> 01:00:23.260 A:middle L:90%
taking water that's being used within the city of Hampton

1172
01:00:23.260 --> 01:00:28.739 A:middle L:90%
roads presumably and they're treating it, I presume in

1173
01:00:28.739 --> 01:00:31.570 A:middle L:90%
some way. Um But here's where the here's where

1174
01:00:31.570 --> 01:00:35.840 A:middle L:90%
you end up with really the psychological problems, so

1175
01:00:35.849 --> 01:00:38.659 A:middle L:90%
we can treat wastewater to the point where it's absolutely

1176
01:00:38.659 --> 01:00:40.449 A:middle L:90%
safe to drink, you know, after we've run

1177
01:00:40.449 --> 01:00:44.130 A:middle L:90%
it through a treatment process um at least for most

1178
01:00:44.130 --> 01:00:47.619 A:middle L:90%
waste waters. Um But the problem is psychological,

1179
01:00:47.619 --> 01:00:50.639 A:middle L:90%
it's what we call the yuck factor in the water

1180
01:00:50.650 --> 01:00:52.690 A:middle L:90%
community, people can't stand the thought that you're going

1181
01:00:52.690 --> 01:00:54.489 A:middle L:90%
to drink something that's already been through some of these

1182
01:00:54.489 --> 01:00:57.630 A:middle L:90%
toilet. Well it turns out that most of the

1183
01:00:57.630 --> 01:00:59.900 A:middle L:90%
water that we drink has gone through a toilet somewhere

1184
01:00:59.900 --> 01:01:01.269 A:middle L:90%
just maybe it was way upstream, you know,

1185
01:01:01.269 --> 01:01:04.340 A:middle L:90%
and in some other city, you know treated and

1186
01:01:04.340 --> 01:01:05.699 A:middle L:90%
put it back in the river and it comes down

1187
01:01:05.699 --> 01:01:07.030 A:middle L:90%
to us and then we drink it well. So

1188
01:01:07.409 --> 01:01:12.030 A:middle L:90%
the idea of injecting it into an aquifer after you've

1189
01:01:12.030 --> 01:01:15.320 A:middle L:90%
treated it is trying to get at that psychological barrier

1190
01:01:15.010 --> 01:01:17.760 A:middle L:90%
. Um It doesn't necessarily do a whole lot more

1191
01:01:17.760 --> 01:01:21.289 A:middle L:90%
in terms of purifying the water, but it does

1192
01:01:21.289 --> 01:01:23.840 A:middle L:90%
do some, it depends upon the aquifer in the

1193
01:01:23.840 --> 01:01:28.650 A:middle L:90%
soil there and all. But but really it's to

1194
01:01:28.650 --> 01:01:30.059 A:middle L:90%
try to get over that psychological barrier, so by

1195
01:01:30.059 --> 01:01:32.739 A:middle L:90%
putting it back in the ground and then pumping it

1196
01:01:32.750 --> 01:01:36.159 A:middle L:90%
, you know, somewhere later or at some distance

1197
01:01:36.159 --> 01:01:38.239 A:middle L:90%
away, people get more comfortable with that. They're

1198
01:01:38.239 --> 01:01:40.920 A:middle L:90%
also using that same psychological strategy by the way for

1199
01:01:40.920 --> 01:01:45.369 A:middle L:90%
reservoirs. So in san Diego they couldn't stand the

1200
01:01:45.369 --> 01:01:49.420 A:middle L:90%
idea of doing direct potable reuse of recycling the water

1201
01:01:49.420 --> 01:01:51.280 A:middle L:90%
and putting it right back in the water distribution system

1202
01:01:51.280 --> 01:01:52.440 A:middle L:90%
. So they put it in the water reservoirs and

1203
01:01:52.440 --> 01:01:55.630 A:middle L:90%
somehow magic happens up the reservoir and everybody gets comfortable

1204
01:01:55.630 --> 01:02:00.960 A:middle L:90%
with it. Um So you know that's what's going

1205
01:02:00.960 --> 01:02:05.650 A:middle L:90%
on but you know um I don't want to Pollyannish

1206
01:02:05.650 --> 01:02:07.070 A:middle L:90%
about this because there are a lot of things in

1207
01:02:07.119 --> 01:02:10.820 A:middle L:90%
that are getting into our water systems that are that

1208
01:02:10.820 --> 01:02:15.929 A:middle L:90%
are wastewater treatment technologies are not dealing with very well

1209
01:02:15.400 --> 01:02:20.889 A:middle L:90%
. There's a lot of nasties in particularly um some

1210
01:02:20.889 --> 01:02:24.989 A:middle L:90%
of the pesticides, you know, various hormones,

1211
01:02:24.989 --> 01:02:28.400 A:middle L:90%
various prescription drugs, things like that. We're not

1212
01:02:28.400 --> 01:02:31.119 A:middle L:90%
getting it all out. So that's not a problem

1213
01:02:32.300 --> 01:02:35.929 A:middle L:90%
exclusive to this idea of reusing water. It's a

1214
01:02:35.940 --> 01:02:39.039 A:middle L:90%
it's a problem for us. And and there's many

1215
01:02:39.039 --> 01:02:40.980 A:middle L:90%
people in this audience, I'm sure that are much

1216
01:02:40.980 --> 01:02:45.610 A:middle L:90%
better versed in that particular problem than I am right

1217
01:02:45.610 --> 01:03:31.500 A:middle L:90%
in the middle here. Yeah, yeah, yeah

1218
01:03:31.510 --> 01:03:34.360 A:middle L:90%
. This question, this discussions come up in a

1219
01:03:34.360 --> 01:03:37.019 A:middle L:90%
couple different places over the last couple days. Um

1220
01:03:37.800 --> 01:03:39.539 A:middle L:90%
we human beings are not genetically wired to be able

1221
01:03:39.539 --> 01:03:44.849 A:middle L:90%
to handle slow moving problems. Uh climate change being

1222
01:03:44.849 --> 01:03:45.610 A:middle L:90%
the best illustration of that. But you know,

1223
01:03:45.610 --> 01:03:49.360 A:middle L:90%
but water and water shortages and the fact that you

1224
01:03:49.360 --> 01:03:52.039 A:middle L:90%
can look at a graph and see that, you

1225
01:03:52.039 --> 01:03:53.139 A:middle L:90%
know, the water availability is about to you know

1226
01:03:53.139 --> 01:03:54.780 A:middle L:90%
, the water uses about the intersect with the water

1227
01:03:54.780 --> 01:04:00.030 A:middle L:90%
availability. Hello Houston, we have a problem but

1228
01:04:00.030 --> 01:04:02.000 A:middle L:90%
we're not good at doing anything even when we have

1229
01:04:02.010 --> 01:04:06.510 A:middle L:90%
evidence in front of us. I do think that

1230
01:04:08.389 --> 01:04:11.559 A:middle L:90%
that we could do a much better job of educating

1231
01:04:11.559 --> 01:04:16.190 A:middle L:90%
and building awareness and building action around doing better planning

1232
01:04:16.199 --> 01:04:21.710 A:middle L:90%
and better water management overall through communications and marketing strategies

1233
01:04:23.090 --> 01:04:25.849 A:middle L:90%
. But one of the real problems is the unwillingness

1234
01:04:25.860 --> 01:04:30.409 A:middle L:90%
of governments and utilities to admit that there's a problem

1235
01:04:30.690 --> 01:04:39.929 A:middle L:90%
. Um for example, in water utilities in cities

1236
01:04:39.940 --> 01:04:43.289 A:middle L:90%
, urban water providers, they don't like to admit

1237
01:04:43.300 --> 01:04:45.369 A:middle L:90%
that people are going to need to cut back on

1238
01:04:45.369 --> 01:04:47.599 A:middle L:90%
water that they need to implement water conservation one because

1239
01:04:48.289 --> 01:04:53.460 A:middle L:90%
their revenue stream is dependent upon selling water to customers

1240
01:04:53.469 --> 01:04:55.570 A:middle L:90%
. So they don't want to deal with the shortages

1241
01:04:55.570 --> 01:04:58.300 A:middle L:90%
in their water and their water related revenues and the

1242
01:04:58.300 --> 01:05:02.369 A:middle L:90%
water sales. There are some infrastructure challenges when you

1243
01:05:02.369 --> 01:05:06.280 A:middle L:90%
start pushing much less water through a pipe that was

1244
01:05:06.280 --> 01:05:10.469 A:middle L:90%
designed to flow full, for instance, of wastewater

1245
01:05:10.480 --> 01:05:13.019 A:middle L:90%
discharge pipe that can cause some real problems and that

1246
01:05:13.019 --> 01:05:15.289 A:middle L:90%
is a real problem. But when I was writing

1247
01:05:15.289 --> 01:05:17.340 A:middle L:90%
the book, I interviewed a number of water utility

1248
01:05:17.340 --> 01:05:19.360 A:middle L:90%
managers and one of the interesting things that some of

1249
01:05:19.360 --> 01:05:23.219 A:middle L:90%
them admitted was we don't want to tell anybody that

1250
01:05:23.219 --> 01:05:26.730 A:middle L:90%
we need to conserve water because then that stigmatizes our

1251
01:05:26.730 --> 01:05:29.809 A:middle L:90%
community as being at risk of running out of water

1252
01:05:30.690 --> 01:05:34.449 A:middle L:90%
. And so if you ask the city water managers

1253
01:05:34.449 --> 01:05:40.969 A:middle L:90%
in phoenix or las Vegas or Denver or whatever,

1254
01:05:40.969 --> 01:05:42.670 A:middle L:90%
they're always gonna tell, you, don't worry,

1255
01:05:42.670 --> 01:05:44.880 A:middle L:90%
we're perfectly safe, we're gonna have plenty of water

1256
01:05:45.750 --> 01:05:47.670 A:middle L:90%
. They will all tell you that even if they

1257
01:05:47.670 --> 01:05:50.639 A:middle L:90%
understand that that story say about the Colorado River,

1258
01:05:50.639 --> 01:05:54.829 A:middle L:90%
which is really going to create some really, really

1259
01:05:54.829 --> 01:05:56.400 A:middle L:90%
serious problems for us in the, in the coming

1260
01:05:56.400 --> 01:05:59.760 A:middle L:90%
decades. They just won't admit it publicly. And

1261
01:05:59.760 --> 01:06:01.800 A:middle L:90%
so I don't quite know how you get past that

1262
01:06:01.809 --> 01:06:05.369 A:middle L:90%
about how you really start telling the truth the full

1263
01:06:05.369 --> 01:06:09.400 A:middle L:90%
truth and nothing but the truth about what's really coming

1264
01:06:09.880 --> 01:06:11.980 A:middle L:90%
. Because then I think the marketers and the communication

1265
01:06:11.980 --> 01:06:14.289 A:middle L:90%
experts can figure out how to how to convey that

1266
01:06:15.079 --> 01:06:16.179 A:middle L:90%
somehow. But you have to have them willing to

1267
01:06:16.179 --> 01:06:18.429 A:middle L:90%
say, you know, that's actually is what happened

1268
01:06:18.440 --> 01:06:24.849 A:middle L:90%
, What's happening. This is this is factual over

1269
01:06:24.849 --> 01:06:44.239 A:middle L:90%
here. What? Yeah, um, great question

1270
01:06:44.239 --> 01:06:46.230 A:middle L:90%
. So the question is, okay, so they're

1271
01:06:46.230 --> 01:06:48.579 A:middle L:90%
using less water and irrigated agriculture and that water is

1272
01:06:48.579 --> 01:06:51.079 A:middle L:90%
going to the city, but that doesn't do anything

1273
01:06:51.079 --> 01:06:55.199 A:middle L:90%
for the restoration of the Colorado River, for example

1274
01:06:55.579 --> 01:06:57.010 A:middle L:90%
. None of that water is going back to nature

1275
01:06:57.010 --> 01:06:59.550 A:middle L:90%
and that is true and that's a problem. Um

1276
01:06:59.559 --> 01:07:00.739 A:middle L:90%
or it's a lost opportunity, I should say.

1277
01:07:00.750 --> 01:07:04.210 A:middle L:90%
Um What, what I'd like to see is much

1278
01:07:04.210 --> 01:07:06.500 A:middle L:90%
more of the, that kind of project taking place

1279
01:07:06.500 --> 01:07:10.599 A:middle L:90%
where some portion of it ends up being returned back

1280
01:07:10.599 --> 01:07:12.889 A:middle L:90%
to nature back to the river ecosystem or back to

1281
01:07:12.889 --> 01:07:15.670 A:middle L:90%
the aquifer to recharge the aquifer. Um and just

1282
01:07:15.670 --> 01:07:18.190 A:middle L:90%
making that part of nature tax, if you will

1283
01:07:18.199 --> 01:07:20.190 A:middle L:90%
, some portion of the water needs to be returned

1284
01:07:20.199 --> 01:07:24.440 A:middle L:90%
because we've heavily damaged and degraded, depleted these natural

1285
01:07:24.440 --> 01:07:27.099 A:middle L:90%
ecosystem. So it should be part of the story

1286
01:07:28.079 --> 01:07:30.289 A:middle L:90%
. It should be part of the story. Yes

1287
01:07:30.480 --> 01:07:38.599 A:middle L:90%
. Right. Um You mean the kind of credits

1288
01:07:38.599 --> 01:07:40.989 A:middle L:90%
or water rights are trading that sort of thing that

1289
01:07:40.989 --> 01:07:45.090 A:middle L:90%
I was talking about, So. Okay. So

1290
01:07:45.579 --> 01:07:49.599 A:middle L:90%
um the question was are there any, are there

1291
01:07:49.599 --> 01:07:54.179 A:middle L:90%
any cities or communities on the atlantic seaboard that are

1292
01:07:54.179 --> 01:07:58.969 A:middle L:90%
doing some of these sorts of things? Um There

1293
01:07:58.969 --> 01:08:01.469 A:middle L:90%
are some, there are some examples. I gave

1294
01:08:01.469 --> 01:08:05.159 A:middle L:90%
a talk at north Carolina state last year. So

1295
01:08:05.159 --> 01:08:06.559 A:middle L:90%
I had to do a little bit of research on

1296
01:08:06.559 --> 01:08:10.400 A:middle L:90%
the local situation down in north Carolina. It turns

1297
01:08:10.400 --> 01:08:12.289 A:middle L:90%
out that in the coastal plain, biographers of eastern

1298
01:08:12.289 --> 01:08:15.710 A:middle L:90%
north Carolina, they have had serious groundwater overdraft problems

1299
01:08:15.719 --> 01:08:18.220 A:middle L:90%
and the aquifer levels have been declining pretty pretty precipitously

1300
01:08:18.229 --> 01:08:21.539 A:middle L:90%
. And they have put into place a management plan

1301
01:08:21.539 --> 01:08:25.800 A:middle L:90%
for those coastal plain og refers that sets a limit

1302
01:08:25.810 --> 01:08:29.130 A:middle L:90%
, sets a cap On the total extraction that basically

1303
01:08:29.130 --> 01:08:30.510 A:middle L:90%
freezing, you know, the the extraction of water

1304
01:08:30.510 --> 01:08:33.359 A:middle L:90%
from the groundwater aquifers at the present level. And

1305
01:08:33.359 --> 01:08:36.010 A:middle L:90%
then and then they have a projected reduction in that

1306
01:08:36.020 --> 01:08:39.670 A:middle L:90%
use over the next 10, 20 years, so

1307
01:08:39.670 --> 01:08:44.069 A:middle L:90%
giving everybody time to wean themselves off of the aquifer

1308
01:08:44.079 --> 01:08:46.409 A:middle L:90%
, becoming more conservative or efficient with their water,

1309
01:08:46.409 --> 01:08:51.560 A:middle L:90%
use their building that into the planning and, and

1310
01:08:51.560 --> 01:08:54.569 A:middle L:90%
as part of that as I understand it, there's

1311
01:08:54.569 --> 01:08:58.909 A:middle L:90%
also, um, a specification of how much water

1312
01:08:58.909 --> 01:09:00.220 A:middle L:90%
to the users gets to use. So in essence

1313
01:09:00.220 --> 01:09:03.289 A:middle L:90%
, the shares kind of a system. Um,

1314
01:09:03.770 --> 01:09:05.789 A:middle L:90%
there's talk of this in a lot of different places

1315
01:09:05.789 --> 01:09:09.770 A:middle L:90%
, particularly in the Southeast, down in southwest Georgia

1316
01:09:09.779 --> 01:09:12.579 A:middle L:90%
. You know, we've been having some conversations because

1317
01:09:12.579 --> 01:09:15.189 A:middle L:90%
they have the same problem uh, over pumping of

1318
01:09:15.189 --> 01:09:17.390 A:middle L:90%
the Floridian aquifer, the upper Floridian aquifer that extends

1319
01:09:17.390 --> 01:09:20.189 A:middle L:90%
up into southwest Georgia. So there are a couple

1320
01:09:20.189 --> 01:09:26.340 A:middle L:90%
places, um, many of my colleagues and particularly

1321
01:09:26.340 --> 01:09:30.310 A:middle L:90%
the environmental community, um, the idea of water

1322
01:09:30.310 --> 01:09:34.890 A:middle L:90%
rights is anathema to them because they see that as

1323
01:09:34.890 --> 01:09:40.939 A:middle L:90%
being commodification and privatization of water. And I think

1324
01:09:40.949 --> 01:09:44.590 A:middle L:90%
there, I think they're missing the point. Um

1325
01:09:45.170 --> 01:09:47.260 A:middle L:90%
, in my opinion, I think that if you've

1326
01:09:47.260 --> 01:09:50.550 A:middle L:90%
got, if you're approaching a situation which we are

1327
01:09:50.560 --> 01:09:54.479 A:middle L:90%
in the southeastern US and now across more of the

1328
01:09:54.479 --> 01:09:58.140 A:middle L:90%
atlantic seaboard and even up into the upper midwest,

1329
01:09:58.340 --> 01:10:01.399 A:middle L:90%
this problem is not something uh, that they're never

1330
01:10:01.399 --> 01:10:03.029 A:middle L:90%
going to have to deal with. In fact,

1331
01:10:03.039 --> 01:10:06.449 A:middle L:90%
you know, some places city of Charlottesville, where

1332
01:10:06.449 --> 01:10:10.409 A:middle L:90%
I live Had a really, really serious drought in

1333
01:10:10.409 --> 01:10:12.810 A:middle L:90%
2002, and we had to go into really severe

1334
01:10:12.819 --> 01:10:15.909 A:middle L:90%
mandatory water conservation measures. So it's happening here in

1335
01:10:15.909 --> 01:10:18.449 A:middle L:90%
Virginia and it's happening even farther north into Massachusetts and

1336
01:10:18.739 --> 01:10:21.210 A:middle L:90%
other places. So water scarcity is going to be

1337
01:10:21.210 --> 01:10:24.789 A:middle L:90%
a problem in a lot of places, um,

1338
01:10:24.800 --> 01:10:27.939 A:middle L:90%
with the climate changing and with the growth in population

1339
01:10:27.939 --> 01:10:31.079 A:middle L:90%
and water demands. And I don't know of any

1340
01:10:31.079 --> 01:10:34.439 A:middle L:90%
other way to manage that problem other than to get

1341
01:10:34.439 --> 01:10:38.729 A:middle L:90%
into managing the inventory by the issuance of permits and

1342
01:10:38.729 --> 01:10:41.170 A:middle L:90%
rights and entitlements and that. So, so just

1343
01:10:41.170 --> 01:10:43.760 A:middle L:90%
from a pure simple management standpoint, I think you

1344
01:10:43.760 --> 01:10:45.220 A:middle L:90%
have to do that whether or not you want to

1345
01:10:45.220 --> 01:10:47.600 A:middle L:90%
also enable people to do, you know what I

1346
01:10:47.600 --> 01:10:50.140 A:middle L:90%
suggested with sharing water and trading water and creating a

1347
01:10:50.140 --> 01:10:53.750 A:middle L:90%
water market around water, it starts to put in

1348
01:10:53.750 --> 01:10:55.920 A:middle L:90%
real monetary value on the water. And some people

1349
01:10:55.920 --> 01:10:59.130 A:middle L:90%
, again, they gag on that, they don't

1350
01:10:59.130 --> 01:11:00.779 A:middle L:90%
think that you should be putting a price on water

1351
01:11:01.260 --> 01:11:05.369 A:middle L:90%
. Um You know, I see I see the

1352
01:11:05.369 --> 01:11:08.270 A:middle L:90%
upside, you know, to be honest with you

1353
01:11:08.270 --> 01:11:12.180 A:middle L:90%
, I see that by by placing, by allowing

1354
01:11:12.180 --> 01:11:14.399 A:middle L:90%
water to assume a monetary value, it could be

1355
01:11:14.399 --> 01:11:15.750 A:middle L:90%
a very powerful driver for using water in a lot

1356
01:11:15.750 --> 01:11:18.340 A:middle L:90%
better way. Um and you don't have to do

1357
01:11:18.340 --> 01:11:20.829 A:middle L:90%
that by entitlements and and markets and that sort of

1358
01:11:20.829 --> 01:11:23.649 A:middle L:90%
thing. You can do that by just water pricing

1359
01:11:23.649 --> 01:11:25.859 A:middle L:90%
in general. And so this issue of how much

1360
01:11:25.859 --> 01:11:27.880 A:middle L:90%
you charge for water in cities, you know,

1361
01:11:27.880 --> 01:11:30.260 A:middle L:90%
is is another way to gain some control on that

1362
01:11:30.270 --> 01:11:34.050 A:middle L:90%
. But but again, the ideas and the strategies

1363
01:11:34.050 --> 01:11:35.930 A:middle L:90%
and the concepts are really, really well known.

1364
01:11:35.930 --> 01:11:39.289 A:middle L:90%
I said, you know, some students earlier today

1365
01:11:39.300 --> 01:11:42.399 A:middle L:90%
, we don't need like rocket science breakthroughs. You

1366
01:11:42.399 --> 01:11:43.979 A:middle L:90%
know, most of the stuff that we need to

1367
01:11:43.979 --> 01:11:45.859 A:middle L:90%
know to solve this problem, you know, in

1368
01:11:45.859 --> 01:11:46.970 A:middle L:90%
the world, we already know how to do it

1369
01:11:47.359 --> 01:11:49.399 A:middle L:90%
. But what we do have to figure out and

1370
01:11:49.409 --> 01:11:53.430 A:middle L:90%
and not to dissuade anybody from continuing to work on

1371
01:11:53.430 --> 01:11:57.470 A:middle L:90%
technological advancements and you know, and better energy sources

1372
01:11:57.470 --> 01:11:59.489 A:middle L:90%
so that, you know, things like desalination become

1373
01:11:59.489 --> 01:12:03.159 A:middle L:90%
more cost effective and more reasonable. Um but what

1374
01:12:03.159 --> 01:12:05.619 A:middle L:90%
we really need to focus on her, what are

1375
01:12:05.619 --> 01:12:09.479 A:middle L:90%
the financial incentives to get people to change behaviors?

1376
01:12:09.489 --> 01:12:13.119 A:middle L:90%
Um what are the necessary policy reforms? Uh how

1377
01:12:13.119 --> 01:12:15.569 A:middle L:90%
do you get water managers in the Colorado River basin

1378
01:12:15.579 --> 01:12:16.539 A:middle L:90%
to come out and publicly admit that they have a

1379
01:12:16.539 --> 01:12:20.869 A:middle L:90%
problem? Um Those are those are some of the

1380
01:12:20.880 --> 01:12:24.270 A:middle L:90%
some of the real issues, but in particular the

1381
01:12:24.270 --> 01:12:26.180 A:middle L:90%
economic and financial drivers, I think is something that

1382
01:12:26.180 --> 01:12:29.060 A:middle L:90%
we really need to need to figure out. So

1383
01:12:29.060 --> 01:12:30.250 A:middle L:90%
we know how to do it. We just need

1384
01:12:30.250 --> 01:12:30.670 A:middle L:90%
to figure out how to convince people to do it

1385
01:12:32.050 --> 01:12:42.770 A:middle L:90%
right here in the middle first. Yes. Very

1386
01:12:45.550 --> 01:12:56.789 A:middle L:90%
boy. Uh huh. What, yep. So

1387
01:12:56.789 --> 01:12:59.380 A:middle L:90%
the question was about aquifers is enough attention being paid

1388
01:12:59.380 --> 01:13:00.710 A:middle L:90%
to the health or the the, you know,

1389
01:13:00.710 --> 01:13:03.760 A:middle L:90%
the proper management, the sustainable management of aquifers.

1390
01:13:03.760 --> 01:13:06.529 A:middle L:90%
And the answer is absolutely not. Um They're very

1391
01:13:06.529 --> 01:13:09.300 A:middle L:90%
, very few places in the world, there are

1392
01:13:09.300 --> 01:13:12.159 A:middle L:90%
fewer places in the world that have management plans for

1393
01:13:12.159 --> 01:13:15.170 A:middle L:90%
aquifers than we have management plans for surface water.

1394
01:13:15.180 --> 01:13:15.979 A:middle L:90%
Um it's kind of like that unknown, hidden,

1395
01:13:15.979 --> 01:13:19.989 A:middle L:90%
mysterious water and uh we don't know how to manage

1396
01:13:19.989 --> 01:13:27.619 A:middle L:90%
it well. Um presently about 20 of all of

1397
01:13:27.619 --> 01:13:31.479 A:middle L:90%
our food is being grown on unsustainably pumped groundwater aquifers

1398
01:13:32.680 --> 01:13:36.270 A:middle L:90%
and that's worsening pretty fast right now. So the

1399
01:13:36.270 --> 01:13:41.510 A:middle L:90%
thing about aquifers is that they don't recharge as quickly

1400
01:13:41.630 --> 01:13:44.920 A:middle L:90%
as a river does, so you dry up a

1401
01:13:44.920 --> 01:13:45.220 A:middle L:90%
river and at least, you know, you've got

1402
01:13:45.220 --> 01:13:47.460 A:middle L:90%
more rain coming, or more snowmelt coming or whatever

1403
01:13:47.460 --> 01:13:49.300 A:middle L:90%
and you know, it can, it can potentially

1404
01:13:49.300 --> 01:13:53.210 A:middle L:90%
refill and restore the river in the future with groundwater

1405
01:13:53.210 --> 01:13:58.529 A:middle L:90%
aquifers. The recharge rates are so slow um that

1406
01:13:58.539 --> 01:14:00.560 A:middle L:90%
we have to be particularly careful with them. And

1407
01:14:00.569 --> 01:14:02.970 A:middle L:90%
uh but there are some hopeful signs, you may

1408
01:14:02.970 --> 01:14:05.920 A:middle L:90%
have heard out in California. So California had one

1409
01:14:05.920 --> 01:14:09.350 A:middle L:90%
of its very worst droughts and record up until this

1410
01:14:09.350 --> 01:14:11.739 A:middle L:90%
year, and now they don't have more water than

1411
01:14:11.739 --> 01:14:13.670 A:middle L:90%
they know what to do with this year. And

1412
01:14:13.670 --> 01:14:17.829 A:middle L:90%
so everybody's forgotten about water conservation, but um they

1413
01:14:17.829 --> 01:14:20.069 A:middle L:90%
dried up pretty much dried up the state's rivers.

1414
01:14:20.069 --> 01:14:25.159 A:middle L:90%
They've issued five times more water rights in California than

1415
01:14:25.159 --> 01:14:27.960 A:middle L:90%
all the water flowing down the rivers in California.

1416
01:14:28.600 --> 01:14:30.510 A:middle L:90%
So my story about they just keep giving away the

1417
01:14:30.510 --> 01:14:32.149 A:middle L:90%
water rights until, you know, they end up

1418
01:14:32.149 --> 01:14:35.390 A:middle L:90%
with problems. That's the situation in California. And

1419
01:14:35.390 --> 01:14:36.720 A:middle L:90%
so when they ran out of the water in the

1420
01:14:36.720 --> 01:14:40.350 A:middle L:90%
rivers and they started drilling wells and they drilled a

1421
01:14:40.350 --> 01:14:44.100 A:middle L:90%
record number of wells last year um in California because

1422
01:14:44.100 --> 01:14:45.579 A:middle L:90%
there was no more surface water and they depleted the

1423
01:14:45.579 --> 01:14:50.300 A:middle L:90%
groundwater levels at an unprecedented rate 10 times faster than

1424
01:14:50.300 --> 01:14:55.560 A:middle L:90%
they had been doing in previous years. And but

1425
01:14:55.569 --> 01:14:59.539 A:middle L:90%
that precipitated that opened up a legislative opportunities, political

1426
01:14:59.539 --> 01:15:02.949 A:middle L:90%
opportunity that fortunately they seized upon. And they passed

1427
01:15:03.340 --> 01:15:08.510 A:middle L:90%
a landmark bill in California called the sustainable groundwater management

1428
01:15:08.510 --> 01:15:13.090 A:middle L:90%
act or sigma, which essentially calls for sustainable management

1429
01:15:13.090 --> 01:15:15.170 A:middle L:90%
of all the states photographers over the long term.

1430
01:15:15.840 --> 01:15:16.770 A:middle L:90%
So they've got to figure out for each and every

1431
01:15:16.770 --> 01:15:18.989 A:middle L:90%
aquifer and for all the local users depending upon those

1432
01:15:18.989 --> 01:15:21.420 A:middle L:90%
aquifers, how they can stabilize the water levels in

1433
01:15:21.420 --> 01:15:24.710 A:middle L:90%
the groundwater aquifers. So there's some hope there and

1434
01:15:24.710 --> 01:15:27.850 A:middle L:90%
there's some good examples in other places also where they

1435
01:15:27.859 --> 01:15:30.739 A:middle L:90%
have done a good job of management but but we

1436
01:15:30.739 --> 01:15:34.569 A:middle L:90%
got a long, long way to go. I'm

1437
01:15:34.569 --> 01:15:36.859 A:middle L:90%
gonna take one more. Okay, right over here

1438
01:15:36.859 --> 01:15:40.939 A:middle L:90%
and that's the last one, the water. Yeah

1439
01:15:42.140 --> 01:15:49.289 A:middle L:90%
. Say again. How does Mhm. Oh yeah

1440
01:15:49.300 --> 01:15:51.020 A:middle L:90%
. Okay, good. So the question being,

1441
01:15:51.020 --> 01:15:54.699 A:middle L:90%
how does this water that we're saving it back to

1442
01:15:54.699 --> 01:15:58.289 A:middle L:90%
the ecosystems? Well The easiest ways, you just

1443
01:15:58.289 --> 01:16:00.010 A:middle L:90%
don't take it out of the ecosystem in the first

1444
01:16:00.010 --> 01:16:01.579 A:middle L:90%
place. So if you use to use 100 units

1445
01:16:01.579 --> 01:16:04.180 A:middle L:90%
of water and now you're only using 60 units of

1446
01:16:04.180 --> 01:16:09.470 A:middle L:90%
water, that's 40 units of water that stay in

1447
01:16:09.479 --> 01:16:11.949 A:middle L:90%
the water system in the ecosystem and not being used

1448
01:16:13.000 --> 01:16:15.850 A:middle L:90%
. There are some places in the world though where

1449
01:16:15.829 --> 01:16:20.289 A:middle L:90%
um for various reasons you may want to take some

1450
01:16:20.289 --> 01:16:24.779 A:middle L:90%
of the water that was previously used for irrigation and

1451
01:16:24.779 --> 01:16:28.380 A:middle L:90%
move it to a different ecosystems. So in Australia

1452
01:16:28.380 --> 01:16:30.960 A:middle L:90%
, we're doing this where we're buying water rights from

1453
01:16:30.960 --> 01:16:33.670 A:middle L:90%
farmers and then literally taking the water that they're not

1454
01:16:33.670 --> 01:16:38.560 A:middle L:90%
using out of their irrigation canals and piping and pumping

1455
01:16:38.560 --> 01:16:42.640 A:middle L:90%
it to wetland areas that haven't received water for 40

1456
01:16:42.640 --> 01:16:44.970 A:middle L:90%
some years now, Detroit. And those wetlands are

1457
01:16:44.970 --> 01:16:47.300 A:middle L:90%
coming back in a very spectacular way. So you

1458
01:16:47.300 --> 01:16:51.449 A:middle L:90%
don't, but that physical manipulation of the water isn't

1459
01:16:51.449 --> 01:16:54.819 A:middle L:90%
really necessary in most places. You just, it's

1460
01:16:54.819 --> 01:16:56.350 A:middle L:90%
just that you're not taking it out in the first

1461
01:16:56.350 --> 01:17:00.060 A:middle L:90%
place. Makes sense. Okay, that's all of

1462
01:17:00.060 --> 01:17:01.949 A:middle L:90%
our time and thank you so much for the great

1463
01:17:01.949 --> 01:17:11.060 A:middle L:90%
questions your attention today. Mhm. Mhm. Yeah

1464
01:17:11.630 -->  A:middle L:90%
. Yeah.

