WEBVTT

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deep in our department. Uh and she is currently

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the program manager for the A. S. C

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. R. Program the advanced Scientific Computing research program

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in the Department of Energy's Office of Science. Let

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me tell you a little bit about Dr Nowell's career

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because she has had an interesting career. Her dissertation work was

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done here in the digital libraries research lab and her

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work involved the design of one of the first information

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visualization user interfaces for the envision project. This was

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a joint project funded by NSF sponsored by them to

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which was one of the early digital library projects for

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CS literature. Most of you have used the MTL

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and the Tripoli Computer Society deals and this was a

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precursor project. Um This all happened in the mid

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90s and the goal of this project was to explore

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innovative ways of searching and viewing information. So if

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you think about it, that's A little bit more

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than 15 years ago. Think about how we take

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for granted the deals that we use today. Dr

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Noel. Previous to that served as a chief scientist

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in the information analytics group at the Pacific Northwest National

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Lab. Some of us noticed by the acronym P

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. N. N. L. And then she

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moved to be a program director in data data analysis

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visualization in the office of cyber infrastructure at NSS.

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Before she joined them mentioned, she also has had

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experience as a faculty member. Early in her career

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she was a faculty member at Lynchburg College where she

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headed both the theater department and then subsequently was Sheriff

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Computer. So probably unique in our country, Held

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the chairmanship of those two are highly accomplished. The

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mother clearly has interdisciplinary talents and interests and we bought

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our career service in to the scientific community serving in

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various positions in government institutions. We will be presenting

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her as a department with a C. S.

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F. B. T. Distinguished Alumni Award later

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today. I'm very, very proud and happy to

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have you with us. Please help me welcome dr

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back to C. S. F. P.

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T. Thank you so much for the warm welcome

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. Those kind words, those of you in the

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back please let me know if at any point you

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can't hear, give me some kind of signal that

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I need to be louder. One advantage to the

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theatrical background as I can probably adjust and fill the

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ballroom if I need to, but I'm trying not

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to deafen people up front if I don't have to

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when I was here, no one would have ever

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guessed. Certainly not me that I would wind up

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Running programmes in an office of supercomputing or two or

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do many of the things that I have done and

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I want to start with a thank you to the

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faculty members here who taught me so well and prepared

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me to go places that I never expected to go

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and to be doing. The things that I'm doing

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now, that we're not within my wildest dreams.

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When I was a student here at Virginia Tech,

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I'm going to talk a little bit about the Office

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of Science, the Office of Advantage Scientific Computing research

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that we usually call Oscar. I'm going to ground

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some of the discussion about data in a discussion of

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climate change and explain to you why that matters to

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the Office of Science. And I hope on a

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more personal level, why it matters to me and

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should matter to every human being on the planet.

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And then I'll talk a little bit about the research

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that lies ahead and the work that I hope you

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will do with us. I say this and having

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conversed with Barbara about what to present here, I

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no longer do my own research. It's probably a

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decade since I was a hands on researcher in visualization

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and the cognitive issues associated with information visualization and scientific

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visualization. My work these days is not in designing

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interfaces, but in designing and leading large programs of

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research for the country. And now, particularly for

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the Office of Science, the Office of Science is

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not well known to many faculty and graduate students,

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but we are one of the nation's largest funders of

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research in the physical sciences. We operate a number

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of scientific user facilities, 31 to be exact across

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all of the Office of Science and the users of

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those facilities fan not only this country, but other

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continents. We support people in universities and industry in

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wide ranges of research and national labs and using the

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machines. Over 27 0 researchers who have doctorates or

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are graduate students and postdocs have sort of support of

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one kind from the Office of Science. Within the

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Office of Science. The goals my office are to

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support leadership and computational science and super cute computing,

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both through operation of machines and through development of the

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software that runs on those machines. The office operates

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to leadership class supercomputing facilities at Oak Ridge National Lab

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, Argonne National Lab. Those are among the fastest

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machines in the world. And we operate a very

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practical capacity machine at the National Energy Research Supercomputing Center

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Nurse along with Energy Sciences Network S. Net,

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which connects all of those machines to our national labs

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and occasionally in university or two. Along the way

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the computer science program, he is focused on two

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things Right now, we focused inward at providing the

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operating systems, runtime systems and programming environments and tools

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for the supercomputers that we operate. And then we

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focus on the science requirements of the other offices within

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the Office of Science, helping them make use of

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those systems to carry out their computational science and analyze

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the data that comes in increasing volumes from the user

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facilities that they operate. This is within the context

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of an office that has a number of components.

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We have a networking and collaboration program at an applied

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mathematics program, both of which fund lines of research

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that look a lot to me like things I saw

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in the computer science department here that we put them

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in separate programs and that's probably better for their budgets

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. And we have a program called Side Ac that

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Scientific Discovery through advanced computing that operates in partnership with

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the other offices and enables domain scientists to get funding

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from other offices to work with the computer science and

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math folks that we support transitioning software that we develop

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into operational use for science. This is a summary

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of the budget fantasy That we had last summer when

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we had some illusions that our budget would go up

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about$15,000 in the coming year. Instead, we

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are Given a baseline of the 2012 budget which was

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around$440 million dollars from which thank you. Sequestration

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. We are down somewhat and expect to be down

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at least for the coming year. Those who don't

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know they sequestration is a 10 year sentence, Not

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a single one. So we continue to hope that

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flat will not remain the new up someday there will

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be budget increases again. But meanwhile we move on

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. Simulation modeling and simulation are critical to the mission

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of the Office of Science. If you think about

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energy and the things that relate to energy that will

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give you some insight into what we care about and

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why we care about ways of producing energy, things

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like combustion and nuclear power plants. Of necessity because

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of our partnership with the National Nuclear Security Administration.

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We care about maintenance and monitoring of the nation's nuclear

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weapons stockpile, which is managed largely and monitored largely

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through modeling and simulations on supercomputers. Today we care

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about climate change and the environment, not just for

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the personal and obvious social reasons, but because ways

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of producing and consuming our energy resources impact climate change

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tremendously and impact the environment we all live in in

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many other ways. But also because through manipulation of

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environmental environmental resources we may be able to achieve carbon

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sequestration and even mitigate some of the impact of nuclear

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waste. We need um a stream that's X.

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Escape because it will take three eggs a flops to

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completely model the U. S. Power grid.

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Also one of our major concerns. And it will

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take an extra scale machine to allow us to do

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climate modeling in a scale of roughly 10 m.

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Which is our ambition. When we look at our

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exa scale computing initiative, this is our path to

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the future. This will be a partnership across the

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government and our national labs, the computing industry,

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our labs. Everyone, if we were to build

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an extra scale system from today's components, It would

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consume over 200 MW of power which is completely unacceptable

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in terms of its hazards to the people in the

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building Who had operated. And also because that would

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cost us$200 million dollars a year. Which is

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more than the entire research budget for us. So

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we have an ambitious program of research to produce a

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machine That consumes only 20 MW of power and yet

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runs at Exxon flops And fits within 500 cabinets while

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also being programmable and understandable despite billion way concurrency.

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Most people don't live in a world where they think

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about exa flops a lot. One way to think

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about exit flops is on the order of a million

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flops per person on the planet. Think about how

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well we control the population of the planet and whether

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we really want processors at war with each other on

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a supercomputer or do we need new ways to conceptualize

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management our systems at that scale. But it all

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comes back to energy efficient computing Right now. one

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Petaflop uses three megawatts here,$3 million a year

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for the power. We are sometimes asked why why

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? Instead of building an exa scale machine, don't

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we build 10 machines that are 100 peta flops.

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You don't solve the power problem right. You still

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have a power bill that's larger than our research budget

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. So we know that we have to change the

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way computing has done and that has tremendous implications across

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all of science. This is an old slide that

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was put together by our advisory committee. I want

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to pause on for a minute despite a couple of

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errors in it because it really tells the story and

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presents the challenges of what we're trying to do.

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We want on the order of 1000 fold increase in

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system performance. Well, we had a two pet

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slot machines so they chose 500 to put here.

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But power can increase by only a factor three memory

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band On the nose will increase by only a factor

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of 16 Storage capacity Will increase by only a factor

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of 20 and I. O. Bandwidth By only

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a factor of 100. Within these numbers comes a

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story in which flops are free. We no longer

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have to worry about the computational cost of a floating

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point operation. What we have to worry about and

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what we have to minimize his data movement. Mm

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. P A message passing interface is something that my

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management says we need to put a stake through its

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heart because it's so dependent on moving data around and

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you can't afford to do it. It's difficult enough

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to move data and expensive enough to move data across

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the chip. Moving it across. A supercomputer is

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prohibitively expensive in terms of data getting it off the

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machine is daunting for a variety of reasons. Basically

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if you listen to computational scientist this architecture he is

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hostile to science and it's up to us in the

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computer science research program to develop the software stack that

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will let scientific codes run in this environment. That

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at the hardware level doesn't look very friendly to scientists

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. Besides the challenges of data movement, we're looking

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at a machine with so many parts that hardware failures

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will be almost continuous because of reduced scale and running

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hardware at reduced voltages at threshold voltage levels. We'll

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be looking at soft errors that are not detected in

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hardware so that we have a machine that I'm not

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deterministic anymore. That gives us a host of challenges

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in the program ability and in uncertainty, quantification programming

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the scale of billion way concurrency is mind boggling to

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most people. You think of the challenges of getting

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someone to understand hundredweight concurrency to think about coordinating computation

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at that level and then think about billion Waken currency

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. And you will quickly realize we do not have

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the intellectual constructs to think about codes effectively at that

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. Imagine trying to debug a code on a non

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deterministic machine with that level of concurrency and think about

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the kinds of tools and technologies that we must develop

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so that these machines are easy to use. Yes

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, easy to use. No longer requiring only hero

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programmers. And how do we find that level of

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concurrency within a scientific application? This is a non

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trivial. From the scientist perspective, they have adapted

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to move into new machines thus far by simply scaling

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up the size of the problems that they attempted.

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But because this machine will have a smaller memory footprint

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relative to the size of computation, that's not going

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to be the way that we achieve billion away concurrency

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anymore. And the challenge that we face is that

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scientists much to completely reformulate their approaches to doing their

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physics, their chemistry, their biological modelling, their

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stockpile management. It is a huge challenge that we

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have begun to address. But we are at the

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very beginning of this great adventure. The implications of

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a solution to our exa scale challenges will reach all

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the way to your desktop. Because if we are

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fully successful, you will be looking at desktop systems

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that are at terrorists came And this department will likely

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own at least one penny scale system 10 to 15

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years from now. So you might begin thinking about

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how you would use such a resource. I would

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also suggest to you and I don't think I have

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to go on this rant with this department, but

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I do with some that it is unethical to graduate

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someone with a degree in computer science who doesn't understand

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parallel programming in a world where you can no longer

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purchase a unit processor machine. I'm sad to say

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there are many universities that need that ran and then

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like Mhm. Mhm. At the same time that

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we are addressing the challenges of Exa Scale, we

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are mindful. Exa Scale systems present their own big

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data challenges. When you talk about building way,

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concurrency and the data that results the rest of the

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Office of Science and building their new user facilities,

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alert us to their own challenges with data intensive science

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. And what the popular press has name big data

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. We're looking at genomics data at our joint genomics

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Institute on the scale of 10 petabytes By 2021 and

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hired high energy physics with the large Hadron collider.

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That's just one of the instruments for ACP. They're

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talking about 15 petabytes of data per year but they

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don't just throw the data the way they keep it

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for years and continue to compare and contrast. So

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that number increases. We operate light sources that produce

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300 terabytes of data per day increasing continuously. And

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climate data, which is our largest growing data collection

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at most of our facilities will be in the range

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of multiple exabytes within a decade. As I will

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talk through some climate examples here. I'll do that

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with precaution. I'm not an expert in modeling and

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simulation and I'm not a climate scientist and I didn't

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even stay at a Holiday Inn Express last but I

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know some experts in this area pretty well. Could

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provide me with a lot of interesting material. And

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one of the things I'm going to show you is

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that when we talk about big data and data intensive

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science big is not necessarily the important word. It's

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not just petabytes or exabytes that we have to worry

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. It's data with 10,000 dimensions that we have to

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worry. It's complex systems that interact with one in

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many ways. So this graph is showing you the

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various options for how climate might evolve and what we

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believe natural forces would produce in terms of normal climate

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variability. That's the blue band and then there's what

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we believe would happen under continued forcing because our energy

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production methods and that's the pink on the black is

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the observed reality. There are those who deny that

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climate change is occurring and they deny that human behavior

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is causing energy production methods or causing. But recent

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articles in Science magazine in The New york Times point

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out that the most pessimistic of the climate models are

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the ones that are more accurately forecast recent trends in

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climate around the world. So why does deal we

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care? Let me give you just a few examples

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. We care about energy production. 80 of US

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. refinery capacity is less than 1.5 m above sea

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level, 80%. We have a great many power

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plants along the coast as well as our concerns for

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refinery capacity. So that brings us to a deep

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and abiding interest in sea level rise. We know

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, for example, that just just melting the Greenland

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ice sheet would raise sea levels by about 20 ft

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. The east arctic ice sheet, if melted entirely

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, Could raise sea level by as much as 200

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ft. Is that likely within this century, happily

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. No, there are some studies that say no

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, it's not likely that sea level will rise more

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than 6.5 ft or so in this century. That's

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enough to put the tidal basin in the Washington mall

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underwater. Maybe someone in Washington attention, but we're

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not counting on that. We know that in the

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last interglacial period sea level was 4-6 m above where

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it is now. We may be lucky if that's

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as far as it goes. I'm not going to

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spend a whole lot of time on this, giving

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you lots of pointers into reports because I hope you

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okay. Another reason to care. I have a

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degree from the University of New Orleans. So I

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look at this particular slide pumps out 2400 miles of

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highway Along the Gulf Coast, less than four ft

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above sea level. And we thought Katrina and rita

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did a number on New Orleans. Sea level rise

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made it worse. We're looking not only at sea

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level rise, but other implications of global change,

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changing patterns of precipitation, both in terms of flood

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and drought. More severe hurricanes, possibly more tornadoes

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. We're also looking at implications for the food supply

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, water energy, an impact on human health and

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behavior. by 2100, it is expected that temperatures

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will rise any quarter from 2 to 11.5 degrees Fahrenheit

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on average two 11.5 degrees. And remember my earlier

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comment that the more pessimistic bottles are the ones that

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are tending to be the most now. Yeah,

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very difficult things for us to manage in terms of

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rising temperatures and impact on health. Mhm. This

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would more than double the days over 90° for a

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large part of the United States by the end of

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this century. As shown in Iskra. It also

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has implications for food production as some of our major

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crops like corn and soy will cease to parliament When

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the temperature rises by two or 3°, there goes

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corn and soy at a time when population is increasing

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dramatically And we already expect to need a 50 increase

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in the food supply before the end of the century

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. In terms of availability of water, I think

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most people have seen that texas has been in persistent

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and severe drought for some time. The Mississippi waterway

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was so affected by drought this summer. Transportation on

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it stopped for a period of time because the water

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levels were too low. And yet if you're in

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the Northeast, it is likely to get cooler and

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wetter with implications for flooding. While the Southwest is

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looking at worsening drought and decreasing snowpack in the mountains

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, worsening drought situation for the summer. Meanwhile,

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like the brilliant population that we are, everyone in

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the United States wants to move to California, mhm

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. To the southwest to join the wars for water

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and the rationing and the burns longs and the brownouts

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. Because we're so smart about these things, right

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? Um This is an indication of population movement.

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As you see the rural areas of the country where

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drought will be less likely losing population while the worst

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hit areas in terms of drought and diminishing water supply

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will be gaining population at a tremendous rate and the

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areas most likely to be affected by sea level rise

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, like florida remains a magnet for people who want

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to move there. One of the things that's likely

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to happen with climate change is that we become a

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warmer wetter planet in some places. Dryer by others

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. So you look in this slide at the increase

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in severe weather events and heavy precipitation events and look

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at what happens in the Northeast around new york city

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and boston, Where we have a 67 increase in

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heavy precipitation. What's talked about now is 100 year

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flood is likely to become more 10 years. For

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those are the individualization share my pain at this image

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, which is showing you the dark blue is water

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around the tip of Manhattan and quiet this building chill

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man and the pale blue is flood around the bill

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. This is famous 100 year flood zone for the

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city. If you think about what happened during Hurricane

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Sandy, the flooding of the subway system, the

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flooding in the rural areas around new york city,

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this is what we're and having a tough increasing frequency

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. Consider also that some of those buildings flooded are

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likely to be power facilities. We hope there are

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Nuclear generators Plus five in that context, Current Energy

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Secretary chu observes. We seek solutions. We don't

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see, dare I say this. Just scientific papers

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00:29:42.140 --> 00:29:45.509 A:middle L:90%
. We are looking for people who want to make

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a difference, who want not to admire problems but

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but to make a difference, we need help,

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we need a lot to help us with the modeling

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and simulation to help us understand the implications on health

409
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, communicate with policy makers find solutions to mitigate problems

410
00:30:15.839 --> 00:30:22.900 A:middle L:90%
the climate change bring to society in terms of data

411
00:30:22.900 --> 00:30:26.789 A:middle L:90%
science, this is a list of just you are

412
00:30:26.799 --> 00:30:33.170 A:middle L:90%
the kinds of data that are involved understanding climate science

413
00:30:33.740 --> 00:30:37.400 A:middle L:90%
and understanding its implications for society. We have data

414
00:30:37.400 --> 00:30:44.349 A:middle L:90%
sources like mobile stations collecting observational data, high resolution

415
00:30:44.349 --> 00:30:48.230 A:middle L:90%
weather stations, you've got full blown snow and weather

416
00:30:48.230 --> 00:30:53.319 A:middle L:90%
stations satellite imagery, weather radar, you've got ocean

417
00:30:53.319 --> 00:31:00.089 A:middle L:90%
current observations and air current observations, measurements of gas

418
00:31:00.089 --> 00:31:03.579 A:middle L:90%
in the atmosphere and radiation in the atmosphere. You've

419
00:31:03.589 --> 00:31:07.730 A:middle L:90%
got to deal with cyanosis, snow, hydrology potential

420
00:31:07.740 --> 00:31:11.779 A:middle L:90%
for avalanches. You've got to understand the results from

421
00:31:11.779 --> 00:31:17.460 A:middle L:90%
seismic probes. You've also got to understand things like

422
00:31:18.039 --> 00:31:23.400 A:middle L:90%
urban infrastructure and population patterns to really assess what is

423
00:31:23.410 --> 00:31:27.470 A:middle L:90%
happening in an era. At the Supercomputing conference in

424
00:31:27.470 --> 00:31:30.000 A:middle L:90%
New Orleans a few years ago, the focus was

425
00:31:30.000 --> 00:31:33.670 A:middle L:90%
on climate science and climate data. And I remember

426
00:31:33.670 --> 00:31:37.170 A:middle L:90%
one of our leading climate scientists standing in front of

427
00:31:37.170 --> 00:31:41.730 A:middle L:90%
an audience and talking about a great surprise. He

428
00:31:41.730 --> 00:31:45.960 A:middle L:90%
and his colleagues had one night had completed a simulation

429
00:31:45.960 --> 00:31:48.779 A:middle L:90%
and sea level rise and published a paper and the

430
00:31:48.789 --> 00:31:52.460 A:middle L:90%
group of coastal city urban planners came and said,

431
00:31:53.640 --> 00:31:57.369 A:middle L:90%
can we get your sea level rise data for our

432
00:31:57.380 --> 00:32:02.079 A:middle L:90%
region because we want to figure out where we can

433
00:32:02.089 --> 00:32:07.750 A:middle L:90%
put power plants and where we can locate new housing

434
00:32:07.759 --> 00:32:13.849 A:middle L:90%
developments and have people be safe. And the climate

435
00:32:13.849 --> 00:32:19.809 A:middle L:90%
scientists pause and thought about the problems that request presented

436
00:32:19.809 --> 00:32:22.839 A:middle L:90%
to first was the fact that they hadn't kept the

437
00:32:22.849 --> 00:32:28.230 A:middle L:90%
data once they had done their scientists. Then there

438
00:32:28.230 --> 00:32:30.109 A:middle L:90%
was the small matter of the resolution of the models

439
00:32:30.109 --> 00:32:35.509 A:middle L:90%
not being anywhere near precise enough to provide the kind

440
00:32:35.509 --> 00:32:39.200 A:middle L:90%
of guidance that file this one. And there's the

441
00:32:39.210 --> 00:32:45.259 A:middle L:90%
further challenge of something we're looking at very closely as

442
00:32:45.259 --> 00:32:49.700 A:middle L:90%
we look at policy implications and that's that data collected

443
00:32:49.700 --> 00:32:53.710 A:middle L:90%
in oneness are rarely captured with sufficient metadata and other

444
00:32:53.710 --> 00:32:59.250 A:middle L:90%
forms of provenance to be understandable by people in another

445
00:32:59.250 --> 00:33:05.869 A:middle L:90%
district. If you read the America competes reauthorization 2010

446
00:33:05.880 --> 00:33:08.240 A:middle L:90%
will find in it. I believe it's on page

447
00:33:08.240 --> 00:33:14.890 A:middle L:90%
11 in section 13 A mandate to science agencies to

448
00:33:14.890 --> 00:33:20.700 A:middle L:90%
begin discussion of policy around preservation of public access to

449
00:33:20.710 --> 00:33:25.660 A:middle L:90%
data resulting from science that we support. In february

450
00:33:25.660 --> 00:33:29.369 A:middle L:90%
of this year, the Office of Science and Technology

451
00:33:29.380 --> 00:33:32.910 A:middle L:90%
Policy changed that recommendation to a mandate. Not only

452
00:33:32.910 --> 00:33:37.230 A:middle L:90%
that we should discuss policy, but we should have

453
00:33:37.230 --> 00:33:45.309 A:middle L:90%
an implementation plan for it within six months. The

454
00:33:45.319 --> 00:33:54.809 A:middle L:90%
issues there are vast the implications are also fine for

455
00:33:54.809 --> 00:33:59.369 A:middle L:90%
thousands of you interested in data analysis and visualization,

456
00:33:59.380 --> 00:34:04.970 A:middle L:90%
this particular image. Mhm. You chose results from

457
00:34:04.970 --> 00:34:09.960 A:middle L:90%
one multi marble cement ensembles on climate modeling and this

458
00:34:09.960 --> 00:34:16.550 A:middle L:90%
shows clear evidence of global warming, atmospheric warming that

459
00:34:16.559 --> 00:34:23.260 A:middle L:90%
results from human productivity of energy production and consumer energy

460
00:34:24.239 --> 00:34:28.500 A:middle L:90%
. The upper air layers of the atmosphere that would

461
00:34:28.500 --> 00:34:31.260 A:middle L:90%
normally be warmed by the sun are not. So

462
00:34:32.440 --> 00:34:36.389 A:middle L:90%
it's at the lower mid range where you see the

463
00:34:36.389 --> 00:34:42.280 A:middle L:90%
effects of greenhouse gases, see evidence of what some

464
00:34:42.280 --> 00:34:47.710 A:middle L:90%
of us think it's pretty conclusive. Yes. So

465
00:34:47.710 --> 00:34:53.750 A:middle L:90%
the challenge is data driven science requires high throughput very

466
00:34:53.750 --> 00:34:58.849 A:middle L:90%
fast. I o. We've only recently within the

467
00:34:58.849 --> 00:35:02.250 A:middle L:90%
last year learned that are super computers not only have

468
00:35:02.250 --> 00:35:07.550 A:middle L:90%
an output bottleneck as we've known all along, but

469
00:35:07.559 --> 00:35:09.940 A:middle L:90%
for many of our largest codes that use the largest

470
00:35:09.949 --> 00:35:14.670 A:middle L:90%
numbers and I'm meaning billions of cycles on supercomputers,

471
00:35:15.239 --> 00:35:19.099 A:middle L:90%
their input back. If you do graphs and their

472
00:35:19.110 --> 00:35:22.380 A:middle L:90%
input and output, the input bars go off the

473
00:35:22.389 --> 00:35:24.610 A:middle L:90%
graph and the output bars are invisible because they do

474
00:35:24.619 --> 00:35:30.590 A:middle L:90%
relatively small amounts of out in comparison to the amount

475
00:35:30.590 --> 00:35:34.110 A:middle L:90%
of data they input over the rod part of that

476
00:35:34.110 --> 00:35:37.909 A:middle L:90%
I suspect results from our current checkpoint restart model of

477
00:35:37.909 --> 00:35:42.019 A:middle L:90%
saving the machine states period so that when you have

478
00:35:42.019 --> 00:35:45.099 A:middle L:90%
a hard fault input the day again and restart and

479
00:35:45.099 --> 00:35:49.789 A:middle L:90%
I could speculate that system was experiencing a lot of

480
00:35:49.800 --> 00:35:53.070 A:middle L:90%
false during that. But it's also increasingly the case

481
00:35:53.369 --> 00:35:59.269 A:middle L:90%
that models are fed by experimental and observational data as

482
00:35:59.269 --> 00:36:05.239 A:middle L:90%
a starting and that we need to compare and cross

483
00:36:05.239 --> 00:36:08.849 A:middle L:90%
analyzed between simulation data and observation. Experimental data.

484
00:36:09.829 --> 00:36:15.030 A:middle L:90%
Typically our analytic methods require large memory footprint with the

485
00:36:15.030 --> 00:36:21.000 A:middle L:90%
excess feel architecture trying to provide that. So we

486
00:36:21.000 --> 00:36:24.460 A:middle L:90%
know that for a variety of systems, both light

487
00:36:24.460 --> 00:36:30.139 A:middle L:90%
sources climate systems simulations, we need to find better

488
00:36:30.139 --> 00:36:35.340 A:middle L:90%
ways to deal with streaming data. Our current methods

489
00:36:35.340 --> 00:36:38.780 A:middle L:90%
of analysing streaming data are tied up to hypothesis.

490
00:36:39.070 --> 00:36:43.869 A:middle L:90%
They're biased in favor of proving or disproving a particular

491
00:36:43.880 --> 00:36:46.940 A:middle L:90%
hypothesis. But that means that as we throw away

492
00:36:46.949 --> 00:36:50.699 A:middle L:90%
a very, very high percentage of data from the

493
00:36:50.699 --> 00:36:53.820 A:middle L:90%
experiment, we also throw away the opportunity to stuff

494
00:36:53.829 --> 00:36:59.750 A:middle L:90%
to discover the unexpected that is less and less acceptable

495
00:37:00.090 --> 00:37:02.809 A:middle L:90%
as experiments are expensive to run and many of them

496
00:37:02.809 --> 00:37:10.800 A:middle L:90%
will never be run again. Our scientists spend way

497
00:37:10.800 --> 00:37:16.889 A:middle L:90%
too much time studying machine architectures trying to learn enough

498
00:37:16.900 --> 00:37:21.179 A:middle L:90%
computer science to work on large scale machines that are

499
00:37:21.190 --> 00:37:25.440 A:middle L:90%
difficult for senior computer scientists understand and they're pulled away

500
00:37:25.440 --> 00:37:30.599 A:middle L:90%
from their physics chemistry, their combustion science, we

501
00:37:30.599 --> 00:37:32.429 A:middle L:90%
need to change that. We need to change the

502
00:37:32.429 --> 00:37:36.179 A:middle L:90%
amount of time that they have to invest in managing

503
00:37:36.190 --> 00:37:38.550 A:middle L:90%
data. And we need to give them better resources

504
00:37:38.929 --> 00:37:44.449 A:middle L:90%
to understand their data and to extract from that date

505
00:37:45.130 --> 00:37:47.889 A:middle L:90%
. The high consequence science that is important to our

506
00:37:47.889 --> 00:37:52.960 A:middle L:90%
nation's future. We need ways to integrate data,

507
00:37:53.429 --> 00:37:58.639 A:middle L:90%
we need ways to capture providence. Yeah. We

508
00:37:58.639 --> 00:38:00.630 A:middle L:90%
need ways to make data usable. Not only by

509
00:38:00.630 --> 00:38:05.309 A:middle L:90%
those who originally produced it but by others who need

510
00:38:05.309 --> 00:38:09.219 A:middle L:90%
to use that data in combinations not originally conceived to

511
00:38:09.219 --> 00:38:14.119 A:middle L:90%
solve problems, not within the thoughts of the scientists

512
00:38:14.119 --> 00:38:19.579 A:middle L:90%
who created the data. Part of that is capturing

513
00:38:19.590 --> 00:38:23.239 A:middle L:90%
day semantics and developing others were metadata within and across

514
00:38:23.239 --> 00:38:30.210 A:middle L:90%
communities and helping people make sense of that metadata Human

515
00:38:30.219 --> 00:38:35.789 A:middle L:90%
understand as well as a machine understand they need to

516
00:38:35.800 --> 00:38:37.449 A:middle L:90%
be able to understand what's been done to the data

517
00:38:38.119 --> 00:38:40.360 A:middle L:90%
. How has it been selected? How has it

518
00:38:40.369 --> 00:38:46.179 A:middle L:90%
been normalized? How has it been downsized, compressed

519
00:38:46.300 --> 00:38:52.630 A:middle L:90%
reformulate? The transformations are numerous and of those trivial

520
00:38:52.639 --> 00:38:55.489 A:middle L:90%
things from multi scale of physics. Which scale does

521
00:38:55.489 --> 00:38:58.340 A:middle L:90%
it happen? To be honest. We looked at

522
00:38:58.340 --> 00:39:02.570 A:middle L:90%
scales that range from nano scale to planetary scales and

523
00:39:02.570 --> 00:39:08.440 A:middle L:90%
time ranges from nanoseconds. Two centuries. We've been

524
00:39:08.440 --> 00:39:14.449 A:middle L:90%
holding workshops with other offices bes as basic energy sciences

525
00:39:15.019 --> 00:39:16.809 A:middle L:90%
. Right now, the model has been for scientists

526
00:39:16.809 --> 00:39:20.239 A:middle L:90%
to take their data home on a thumb drive.

527
00:39:21.820 --> 00:39:23.650 A:middle L:90%
Taking home a petabytes of data is somewhat more of

528
00:39:23.650 --> 00:39:27.889 A:middle L:90%
a challenge. Most of us think that trying to

529
00:39:28.610 --> 00:39:32.989 A:middle L:90%
get a bite to a laptop is called. So

530
00:39:32.989 --> 00:39:36.670 A:middle L:90%
we have to help them find new models for doing

531
00:39:36.670 --> 00:39:40.539 A:middle L:90%
science and doing science with collaborations that spend not only

532
00:39:40.539 --> 00:39:46.650 A:middle L:90%
multiple institutions but sometimes multiple nations and multiple. This

533
00:39:51.320 --> 00:39:54.960 A:middle L:90%
research challenges just a few album captured here how we

534
00:39:54.960 --> 00:40:00.449 A:middle L:90%
manage move and analyzed data, how we transform data

535
00:40:00.449 --> 00:40:05.429 A:middle L:90%
into knowledge. Because I would argue that if what

536
00:40:05.440 --> 00:40:08.800 A:middle L:90%
comes off of a supercomputer believed inside you might as

537
00:40:08.800 --> 00:40:12.820 A:middle L:90%
well not have turned the large hot water heater on

538
00:40:14.809 --> 00:40:17.429 A:middle L:90%
. We need ways to define metadata and methods to

539
00:40:17.440 --> 00:40:22.639 A:middle L:90%
generate it automatically and capture it. We need new

540
00:40:22.639 --> 00:40:28.050 A:middle L:90%
scientific work clothes systems sophisticated about the challenges of science

541
00:40:28.610 --> 00:40:31.469 A:middle L:90%
and about the machine architectures they run a we need

542
00:40:31.469 --> 00:40:36.880 A:middle L:90%
to understand the strengths and weaknesses of standards and we

543
00:40:36.880 --> 00:40:40.849 A:middle L:90%
need to understand how to better communicate the scientific findings

544
00:40:40.849 --> 00:40:45.809 A:middle L:90%
, not only to the scientists to the public and

545
00:40:45.809 --> 00:40:51.940 A:middle L:90%
to policymakers and politicians. This okay. Mhm.

546
00:40:52.110 --> 00:40:57.789 A:middle L:90%
We know that because of the changing supercomputer architecture we

547
00:40:57.789 --> 00:41:01.500 A:middle L:90%
have to start from zero and build a whole new

548
00:41:01.510 --> 00:41:07.289 A:middle L:90%
generation. Those on technologies. My office has supported

549
00:41:07.289 --> 00:41:14.210 A:middle L:90%
development visit and power view to most large widely used

550
00:41:14.219 --> 00:41:17.860 A:middle L:90%
scientific visualization and analysis tools and they're not going to

551
00:41:17.869 --> 00:41:23.530 A:middle L:90%
run. And the excess scale environment without major reformulation

552
00:41:24.809 --> 00:41:30.159 A:middle L:90%
. I've listened to ballrooms full of mathematicians, listen

553
00:41:30.159 --> 00:41:32.489 A:middle L:90%
to destructions of this architecture, go away and working

554
00:41:34.210 --> 00:41:38.269 A:middle L:90%
and come back and look at us baffled and angry

555
00:41:38.280 --> 00:41:40.739 A:middle L:90%
and say the solvers are not going to run.

556
00:41:42.110 --> 00:41:50.139 A:middle L:90%
Mr sure no more land. We have a problem

557
00:41:50.809 --> 00:41:54.280 A:middle L:90%
we have to reformulate the solvers. We need new

558
00:41:54.289 --> 00:42:00.019 A:middle L:90%
data structures and traversal out is that minimize data moves

559
00:42:00.300 --> 00:42:04.630 A:middle L:90%
. Resilient in the face of hard and soft,

560
00:42:04.639 --> 00:42:09.369 A:middle L:90%
false. We have a lot of work and I

561
00:42:09.369 --> 00:42:20.809 A:middle L:90%
hope you'll join us. Thank you so much.

562
00:42:25.500 --> 00:42:30.619 A:middle L:90%
Any questions I have just a little sense at the

563
00:42:30.630 --> 00:42:38.710 A:middle L:90%
time there is a problem. Yeah, interesting is

564
00:42:38.719 --> 00:42:43.989 A:middle L:90%
trying to present. I'm thinking about training students to

565
00:42:43.989 --> 00:42:46.219 A:middle L:90%
participate in this. Well if you're here to take

566
00:42:46.219 --> 00:42:53.730 A:middle L:90%
a position the need for new degrees um additional science

567
00:42:54.599 --> 00:43:01.289 A:middle L:90%
darling. Right. one of the things that my

568
00:43:01.289 --> 00:43:08.480 A:middle L:90%
office operators right now, yes. Yeah. Is

569
00:43:08.480 --> 00:43:14.420 A:middle L:90%
a computational science graduate. All right. That support

570
00:43:15.099 --> 00:43:17.150 A:middle L:90%
diverse disciplines. And one of the things that requires

571
00:43:17.460 --> 00:43:22.610 A:middle L:90%
in exchange for years of graduate school support is that

572
00:43:22.610 --> 00:43:25.239 A:middle L:90%
they take forces a variety of courses in computer science

573
00:43:25.250 --> 00:43:29.449 A:middle L:90%
and math. And they also do internships at the

574
00:43:29.449 --> 00:43:36.510 A:middle L:90%
national lab working on real science problems in resource environment

575
00:43:37.500 --> 00:43:42.460 A:middle L:90%
. We're delighted six senator csg fellas go on to

576
00:43:42.469 --> 00:43:50.389 A:middle L:90%
careers lands. What I'm here over from industry is

577
00:43:50.389 --> 00:43:52.460 A:middle L:90%
that we don't turn out nearly enough people to understand

578
00:43:52.460 --> 00:43:57.360 A:middle L:90%
why what we don't turn up. Nearly enough people

579
00:43:57.360 --> 00:44:00.280 A:middle L:90%
to understand parallel program. I sat in a meeting

580
00:44:00.289 --> 00:44:06.869 A:middle L:90%
of the Council on Competitiveness working with the interagency,

581
00:44:06.880 --> 00:44:09.110 A:middle L:90%
working high end computing that on our co chair.

582
00:44:09.590 --> 00:44:13.750 A:middle L:90%
And they were telling us these industry leaders from companies

583
00:44:13.750 --> 00:44:20.420 A:middle L:90%
like GE were telling us that degrees may become irrelevant

584
00:44:20.989 --> 00:44:23.090 A:middle L:90%
if the people involved. Those degrees don't have the

585
00:44:23.099 --> 00:44:28.429 A:middle L:90%
skills that industry needs right now. The biggest barrier

586
00:44:28.440 --> 00:44:31.250 A:middle L:90%
to their use of modeling and simulation is the inability

587
00:44:31.250 --> 00:44:36.510 A:middle L:90%
to hire know how to do parallel programming here.

588
00:44:36.510 --> 00:44:42.699 A:middle L:90%
My land. Mm You we need people do not

589
00:44:42.710 --> 00:44:45.550 A:middle L:90%
have a clinton scale. We need people who have

590
00:44:45.550 --> 00:44:52.219 A:middle L:90%
the interdisciplinary understanding to work with scientists understand the science

591
00:44:52.389 --> 00:44:57.619 A:middle L:90%
and to work within these large scale environments to solve

592
00:44:57.619 --> 00:45:00.550 A:middle L:90%
the important problems whether their problems of climate change or

593
00:45:00.559 --> 00:45:05.099 A:middle L:90%
homeland security. Where data challenges are at least as

594
00:45:05.099 --> 00:45:12.510 A:middle L:90%
a we are starving in the national lab and part

595
00:45:13.190 --> 00:45:15.820 A:middle L:90%
for people with the skills that we need. And

596
00:45:15.820 --> 00:45:19.559 A:middle L:90%
then few people that we have, particularly with data

597
00:45:19.559 --> 00:45:22.309 A:middle L:90%
science skills are being sucked up by industry so fast

598
00:45:22.789 --> 00:45:27.070 A:middle L:90%
that I wonder how we're going to achieve the scientific

599
00:45:27.070 --> 00:45:30.420 A:middle L:90%
solution. But life form will find we depend.

600
00:45:31.190 --> 00:45:58.800 A:middle L:90%
Yes, we need more of this. Mhm.

601
00:45:59.190 --> 00:46:10.940 A:middle L:90%
Yeah. Yeah. Higher the nation. Lot of

602
00:46:10.940 --> 00:46:17.039 A:middle L:90%
your slides mm offering now exactly those slides. Most

603
00:46:17.039 --> 00:46:22.300 A:middle L:90%
of those images come from the global plant. Yeah

604
00:46:22.780 --> 00:46:24.840 A:middle L:90%
. Global change dot gov site. They're not my

605
00:46:24.849 --> 00:46:30.199 A:middle L:90%
creations. I'm an artist from some of those choices

606
00:46:30.880 --> 00:46:35.079 A:middle L:90%
. Lightning wins. As I said, I'm one

607
00:46:35.079 --> 00:46:37.170 A:middle L:90%
of the co chairs of the Interagency Working Group on

608
00:46:37.179 --> 00:46:42.780 A:middle L:90%
high end Computing. That's part of the national coordination

609
00:46:42.780 --> 00:46:46.199 A:middle L:90%
office for networking and Research and Development. We have

610
00:46:46.210 --> 00:46:52.570 A:middle L:90%
regular meetings on multiple topics that bring together laughter,

611
00:46:52.739 --> 00:46:55.789 A:middle L:90%
no different parts of the D. O. D

612
00:46:55.800 --> 00:47:00.110 A:middle L:90%
. S. L. Any agency that is doing

613
00:47:00.119 --> 00:47:02.570 A:middle L:90%
work in a particular area is likely to have a

614
00:47:02.579 --> 00:47:07.090 A:middle L:90%
representative meetings. When you talk about data, quickly

615
00:47:07.090 --> 00:47:13.989 A:middle L:90%
add anyone from veterans affairs to NIH to Homeland Security

616
00:47:14.679 --> 00:47:19.260 A:middle L:90%
. So yes there is a lot inter agency coordination

617
00:47:19.260 --> 00:47:22.989 A:middle L:90%
and discuss. one of the things under discussion in

618
00:47:22.480 --> 00:47:28.219 A:middle L:90%
the hit group right now is developing a new federal

619
00:47:28.219 --> 00:47:31.920 A:middle L:90%
plan for high end computing, Observing to our embarrassment

620
00:47:31.929 --> 00:47:38.010 A:middle L:90%
that the one currently on the website has 2004 and

621
00:47:38.010 --> 00:47:42.590 A:middle L:90%
is aimed at developing scale systems. We got there

622
00:47:45.480 --> 00:47:50.679 A:middle L:90%
other questions. Yes. Mhm. Yeah. Actually

623
00:47:50.690 --> 00:47:53.199 A:middle L:90%
thank you for a great time. Great. So

624
00:47:54.880 --> 00:47:59.480 A:middle L:90%
you see quantum computing helping out with your mission and

625
00:47:59.480 --> 00:48:02.019 A:middle L:90%
your order is your office looking at quantum computing at

626
00:48:02.019 --> 00:48:07.050 A:middle L:90%
all parts of the Office of Science. Look at

627
00:48:07.059 --> 00:48:10.809 A:middle L:90%
quantum computing. For the most part computing research is

628
00:48:10.809 --> 00:48:15.760 A:middle L:90%
done by other agencies. I Arka has an interest

629
00:48:15.760 --> 00:48:16.989 A:middle L:90%
in it and DARPA has an interest in it.

630
00:48:17.570 --> 00:48:21.849 A:middle L:90%
I don't know what the NSL still does, but

631
00:48:21.849 --> 00:48:25.500 A:middle L:90%
again, remember that we come together for discussions regularly

632
00:48:27.670 --> 00:48:31.219 A:middle L:90%
as a mission agency. We don't have the luxury

633
00:48:31.219 --> 00:48:35.400 A:middle L:90%
of doing science for the sake of science or computer

634
00:48:35.400 --> 00:48:37.550 A:middle L:90%
science. For the sake of computer science. We

635
00:48:37.550 --> 00:48:40.360 A:middle L:90%
have to keep our eye on the goal and the

636
00:48:40.369 --> 00:48:45.340 A:middle L:90%
goal for us is supporting the science that's essential to

637
00:48:45.349 --> 00:48:49.650 A:middle L:90%
the nation. With respect to energy. We have

638
00:48:49.650 --> 00:48:53.099 A:middle L:90%
to be able to run the nuclear weapons stockpile simulation

639
00:48:53.099 --> 00:48:57.960 A:middle L:90%
codes to support the annual certifications to the President and

640
00:48:57.960 --> 00:49:00.090 A:middle L:90%
the Congress. We have to be able to do

641
00:49:00.469 --> 00:49:05.159 A:middle L:90%
the research and combustion that we must support to reach

642
00:49:05.159 --> 00:49:07.579 A:middle L:90%
some of the nation's goals With regard to reducing emissions

643
00:49:08.070 --> 00:49:12.639 A:middle L:90%
. We have to support the climate research and related

644
00:49:12.639 --> 00:49:15.820 A:middle L:90%
modeling and simulation and that means that we are somewhat

645
00:49:15.829 --> 00:49:22.000 A:middle L:90%
conservative in our choices of architectures because we have millions

646
00:49:22.000 --> 00:49:28.010 A:middle L:90%
and millions and millions of lines of science code that

647
00:49:28.010 --> 00:49:31.559 A:middle L:90%
must continue to run and we can't afford to rewrite

648
00:49:31.559 --> 00:49:36.400 A:middle L:90%
it all from scratch for a new architecture. It's

649
00:49:36.400 --> 00:49:39.570 A:middle L:90%
hard enough to think about an exact scale architecture and

650
00:49:39.570 --> 00:49:44.300 A:middle L:90%
how those legacy codes will continue to run those of

651
00:49:44.300 --> 00:49:46.860 A:middle L:90%
you in software engineering. Do the quick math.

652
00:49:47.030 --> 00:49:51.730 A:middle L:90%
What is it still around$100$110 per line of

653
00:49:51.739 --> 00:49:55.829 A:middle L:90%
good quality code at millions and millions and millions of

654
00:49:55.829 --> 00:50:00.179 A:middle L:90%
lines of code. We can't we can't afford to

655
00:50:00.179 --> 00:50:02.099 A:middle L:90%
rewrite it. And in the case of some of

656
00:50:02.099 --> 00:50:07.360 A:middle L:90%
those codes, the scientists who would be needed to

657
00:50:07.369 --> 00:50:13.039 A:middle L:90%
validate the codes are no longer with us. We

658
00:50:13.039 --> 00:50:15.280 A:middle L:90%
don't have a lot of nuclear weapons desires around.

659
00:50:16.659 --> 00:50:21.780 A:middle L:90%
So messing with the codes that they have validated is

660
00:50:21.780 --> 00:50:29.690 A:middle L:90%
not a good career. Other questions. Yes.

661
00:50:34.659 --> 00:50:39.750 A:middle L:90%
So the question is basically Okay. Region solving the

662
00:50:39.760 --> 00:50:45.170 A:middle L:90%
problem. Getting complications but solve the problem. Is

663
00:50:45.170 --> 00:50:50.070 A:middle L:90%
that right? So in terms of solving problems happens

664
00:50:50.659 --> 00:50:55.059 A:middle L:90%
lots of industry. Thanks solutions of islam. Yeah

665
00:50:57.860 --> 00:51:00.030 A:middle L:90%
. You comment on um he has some kind of

666
00:51:00.039 --> 00:51:07.929 A:middle L:90%
values have encouraged candy and in operations that winds and

667
00:51:07.940 --> 00:51:16.030 A:middle L:90%
daniel. Mhm. Certainly. And our excess health

668
00:51:16.030 --> 00:51:22.869 A:middle L:90%
program funds people in industry along with people in academia

669
00:51:22.880 --> 00:51:27.500 A:middle L:90%
and the national labs. I can't think of any

670
00:51:27.500 --> 00:51:30.659 A:middle L:90%
of the programs of research that we operate that are

671
00:51:30.699 --> 00:51:34.969 A:middle L:90%
willing to fund industry partners in collaboration. In fact

672
00:51:34.980 --> 00:51:39.190 A:middle L:90%
, for our latest X stacked solicitation that's focused on

673
00:51:39.760 --> 00:51:46.119 A:middle L:90%
environment and execution models. I believe Intel is one

674
00:51:46.119 --> 00:51:52.289 A:middle L:90%
of the leading organizations. They're not a sub awardee

675
00:51:52.289 --> 00:51:55.559 A:middle L:90%
. They're the primary on that award. Similarly in

676
00:51:55.559 --> 00:52:00.210 A:middle L:90%
some of our visualization codes we have small companies maintain

677
00:52:00.210 --> 00:52:05.219 A:middle L:90%
those codes over and we happily support. We also

678
00:52:05.219 --> 00:52:07.980 A:middle L:90%
are able to fund people in other countries and we

679
00:52:08.150 --> 00:52:12.489 A:middle L:90%
we want to fund the best minds to solve our

680
00:52:12.489 --> 00:52:20.789 A:middle L:90%
important problems wherever those minds are. Oh, let

681
00:52:20.789 --> 00:52:23.309 A:middle L:90%
me remember, toss out another carrot for the faculty

682
00:52:23.309 --> 00:52:27.840 A:middle L:90%
in the room. We don't have two weeks in

683
00:52:27.840 --> 00:52:32.429 A:middle L:90%
the summer restriction of funding for faculty. We will

684
00:52:32.440 --> 00:52:37.989 A:middle L:90%
have the loop on you for the academic year and

685
00:52:37.000 --> 00:52:40.840 A:middle L:90%
we will happily support research As well as 10ure track

686
00:52:43.050 --> 00:52:46.929 A:middle L:90%
and your graduate students. Also, Can I send

687
00:52:46.929 --> 00:52:51.980 A:middle L:90%
you a sovereign song and get you away from NSF

688
00:52:52.750 --> 00:52:59.730 A:middle L:90%
? Mm Shit again. Thank our speaker for coming

689
00:52:59.739 --> 00:53:07.940 A:middle L:90%
today, remind you all that there is a need

690
00:53:07.949 --> 00:53:14.730 A:middle L:90%
to speaker section help for 5 15 and target.

691
00:53:14.829 --> 00:53:16.380 A:middle L:90%
I'm sorry Mcbride, one of six this afternoon.

692
00:53:16.750 --> 00:53:22.269 A:middle L:90%
Graduate students and undergraduates are all invited. Okay.

