Scholarly Works, Political Science
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Browsing Scholarly Works, Political Science by Content Type "Conference proceeding"
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- Back to Reality: Cross domain deterrence and cyberspaceBrantly, Aaron F. (2018-09-01)This paper examines cross domain deterrence strategies involving cyber incidents. By focusing on efforts to halt Russian and Chinese cyber operations against the United States this paper examines the importance of developing, maintaining and implementing (when necessary) cross domain deterrence strategies. This paper departs from more theoretic debates on the value and potential success, or lack thereof relating to cyber deterrence strategies and focuses on two cases in which cross domain retaliations were utilized to halt adversary behavior. From these two cases this paper posits a preliminary theory of cross domain deterrence applicable to cyber interactions between states and advances the debates in the field by shifting the center of gravity away from within domain responses to other mechanisms to deter adversary behavior.
- Battling the Bear: Ukraine's Approach to National CybersecurityBrantly, Aaron F. (2018-09-29)Ukraine has faced substantial challenges across multiple fronts its successful 2014 Revolution of Dignity. Among the greatest challenges Ukraine has faced is the establishment of a national cybersecurity infrastructure capable of withstanding cyberattacks and information operations against military and civilian infrastructures. Ukraine’s experience is counterintuitive to the constant refrain in cyberspace regarding asymmetric advantage. Ukraine has struggled with the help of European and NATO allies to forge multiple organizational structures capable to facilitating national cyber defense. This work offers detailed analysis on the construction of national cyber capabilities by a medium sized state under duress and coercion from an adversary state by leveraging interviews with and documents from Ukrainian ministers, General Staffs, Security Service personnel, soldiers, journalists, civilians and academics conducted over two years. The result is analysis that informs the underlying notions about small to medium state cyber defenses in relation to well-resourced adversaries.
- Biopolitics: Power, Pandemics and WarBrantly, Aaron F.; Brantly, Nataliya D. (2022-03-24)COVID-19 and the subsequent global response has had a profound impact on the public health, economic health, and political health in nearly every country. The impact of the pandemic has been particularly acute in active warzones where the ability to enforce public health recommendations, to provide for the care of patients, to secure supplies, and transmit information are all undermined. This paper examines the biopolitics of power and pandemics in war. The paper is rooted in three case studies, the Spanish Influenza Outbreak of 1918-1920 and the COVID-19 outbreak and response in Syria, and Eastern Ukraine. The central question posed is how does war influence the biopolitics of public health in active warzones?
- The Cyber Deterrence ProblemBrantly, Aaron F. (Nato Ccd Coe, 2018-05-30)What is the role of deterrence in an age where adept hackers can credibly hold strategic assets at risk? Do conventional frameworks of deterrence maintain their applicability and meaning against state actors in cyberspace? Is it possible demonstrate credibility with either in-domain or cross-domain signaling or is cyberspace fundamentally ill-suited to the application of deterrence frameworks? Building on concepts from both rational deterrence theory and cognitive theories of deterrence this work attempts to leverage relevant examples from both within and beyond cyberspace to examine applicability of deterrence in the digital age and for digital tools in an effort to shift the conversation from Atoms to Bits and Bytes.
- Narrative Battles: The Impact Open-Source Intelligence on the Framing of Russia’s War on UkraineBrantly, Aaron F. (2022-10-13)The War in Ukraine has been ongoing since 2014. Since the outset hostilities have coincided with a new era in decentralized, technologically enabled intelligence known as open-source intelligence (OSINT). OSINT increasingly shapes the domestic and global narratives surrounding the conflict. Winning the narrative war is critical to overall strategic and tactical successes on the battlefield and beyond. The volume and velocity of OSINT generated since the escalation in hostilities initiated by the Russian Federation on February 24th, 2022, is the result of a confluence of factors that creates an information battle that contextualizes and frames the political, military, economic, societal, informational, infrastructural, physical environmental, and temporal aspects of the conflict (PMESSI-PT). Shaping global, and in particular allied, perceptions of all the variables within of the PMESSI-PT model are critical sustaining and building support. This analysis examines how the dramatic increase in OSINT in Ukraine has both facilitated and hindered the Ukraine’s efforts to counter Russian aggression.