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dc.contributor.authorLeekley, Edward H.en_US
dc.date.accessioned2014-03-14T21:13:54Z
dc.date.available2014-03-14T21:13:54Z
dc.date.issued1994-06-05en_US
dc.identifier.otheretd-06062008-165432en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10919/38319
dc.description.abstractPublic policy and program implementation has come to be regarded as a significant problem area in the governance process. Research has provided insights but falls short of totally satisfactory prescriptions for operational success. The literature on policy and program implementation reflects a dichotomy of means between centralized control and delegation of substantial discretionary authority. The resulting theory leaves a gap with practice. Scenario writing is one of the techniques available to practitioners that might be employed to assist in the execution of their responsibilities. Scenarios can be useful tools, but their preparation is costly and time consuming. It was hypothesized that computer modeling techniques and artificial intelligence could be applied to scenario generation to create an effective, practical instrument to permit wider and more effective use of scenarios for planning and management. A computer supported procedure is presented for generating scenarios which describe alternative sequences of future events for a given situation and proposed policy. The generator design reflects a three-way compromise between processing flexibility, data-base structure, and user workload requirements. This prototype generator was subjected to exploratory trials. The lessons learned highlight some potentially valuable program improvements, the importance of focusing the scenario at a level useful to the reader, and the need for a common set of definitions.en_US
dc.format.mediumBTDen_US
dc.publisherVirginia Techen_US
dc.relation.haspartLD5655.V856_1994.L445.pdfen_US
dc.subjectPublic administrationen_US
dc.subject.lccLD5655.V856 1994.L445en_US
dc.titleA scenario generator for public policy and program implementationen_US
dc.typeDissertationen_US
dc.contributor.departmentAccounting and Information Systemsen_US
dc.description.degreePh. D.en_US
thesis.degree.namePh. D.en_US
thesis.degree.leveldoctoralen_US
thesis.degree.grantorVirginia Polytechnic Institute and State Universityen_US
thesis.degree.disciplineAccounting and Information Systemsen_US
dc.identifier.sourceurlhttp://scholar.lib.vt.edu/theses/available/etd-06062008-165432/en_US
dc.date.sdate2008-06-06en_US
dc.date.rdate2008-06-06
dc.date.adate2008-06-06en_US


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