Parameter estimation for series observed with round-off error

TR Number
Date
1989
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Publisher
Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University
Abstract

Time series data often is observed with measurement error. One type of measurement error almost always present is rounding error. A procedure is proposed for estimating parameters of a finite moving average time series which is observed only after rounding.

Method of moments estimators are proposed for estimation of parameters of time series observed with general measurement error, including error, εn, which is correlated with the series Xt being measured. This procedure requires knowledge of the autocovariance function (ACF) of εt, and the cross covariances between Xt and εr.

For rounding error, the rounding error series is shown to approach uniform white noise as the rounding interval width, R, approaches zero, and the cross correlations between Xt, and rounding error εt, are shown to approach zero as R -> 0. For both small R and large R, the ACF of εt, and the cross covariances between Xt and εt, are approximated. These values are then used to estimate the parameters of the moving average model for Xt when Xt is observed after rounding.

Description
Keywords
Citation