Climate variability and rural livelihoods: Assessing the impact of seasonal climate forecasts in Lesotho
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Climate variability can severely threaten the economic and environmental sustainability of a rural livelihood. Extreme and unusual weather patterns are likely to increase in the near future. Therefore, the ability to predict weather pattern changes and new trends is a critical tool in adaptation, and ultimately survival, for some stakeholders. The purpose of this study was to determine the real-life impacts, in the form of adaptation strategies, of macro-level predictions on farmers in Lesotho. Research indicated that caution must be taken when issuing forecasts as they can potentially make end-users more vulnerable to climate shocks. Disturbances in climate affect individuals with rural livelihoods in both direct and indirect ways, making additional research on the impacts of seasonal forecasts on the local level a priority.