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Browsing by Author "McGrath, Christine J."

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    Predictors of mortality within the first year of initiating antiretroviral therapy in urban and rural Kenya: A prospective cohort study
    Silverman, Rachel A.; John-Stewart, Grace C.; Beck, Ingrid A.; Milne, Ross S.; Kiptinness, Catherine; McGrath, Christine J.; Richardson, Barbra A.; Chohan, Bhavna; Sakr, Samah R.; Frenkel, Lisa M.; Chung, Michael H. (PLoS, 2019-10-04)
    Introduction Despite increased treatment availability, HIV-infected individuals continue to start antiretroviral therapy (ART) late in disease progression, increasing early mortality risk. Materials and methods Nested prospective cohort study within a randomized clinical trial of adult patients initiating ART at clinics in urban Nairobi and rural Maseno, Kenya, between 2013-2014. We estimated mortality incidence rates following ART initiation and used Cox proportional hazards regression to identify predictors of mortality within 12 months of ART initiation. Analyses were stratified by clinic site to examine differences in mortality correlates and risk by location. Results Among 811 participants initiated on ART, the mortality incidence rate within a year of initiating ART was 7.44 per 100 person-years (95% CI 5.71, 9.69). Among 207 Maseno and 612 Nairobi participants initiated on ART, the mortality incidence rates (per 100 person-years) were 12.78 (95% CI 8.49, 19.23) and 5.72 (95% CI 4.05, 8.09). Maseno had a 2.20-fold greater risk of mortality than Nairobi (95% CI 1.29, 3.76; P = 0.004). This association remained [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) = 2.09 (95% CI 1.17, 3.74); P = 0.013] when adjusting for age, gender, education, pre-treatment drug resistance (PDR), and CD4 count, but not when adjusting for BMI. In unadjusted analyses, other predictors (P<0.05) of mortality included male gender (HR = 1.74), age (HR = 1.04 for 1-year increase), fewer years of education (HR = 0.92 for 1-year increase), unemployment (HR = 1.89), low body mass index (BMI<18.5 m/kg2; HR = 4.99), CD4 count <100 (HR = 11.67) and 100-199 (HR = 3.40) vs. 200-350 cells/μL, and pre-treatment drug resistance (PDR; HR = 2.49). The increased mortality risk associated with older age, males, and greater education remained when adjusted for location, age, education and PDR, but not when adjusted for BMI and CD4 count. PDR remained associated with increased mortality risk when adjusted for location, age, gender, education, and BMI, but not when adjusted for CD4 count. CD4 and BMI associations with increased mortality risk persisted in multivariable analyses. Despite similar baseline CD4 counts across locations, mortality risk associated with low CD4 count, low BMI, and PDR was greater in Maseno than Nairobi in stratified analyses. Conclusions High short-term post-ART mortality was observed, partially due to low CD4 count and BMI at presentation, especially in the rural setting. Male gender, older age, and markers of lower socioeconomic status were also associated with greater mortality risk. Engaging patients earlier in HIV infection remains critical. PDR may influence short-term mortality and further studies to optimize management will be important in settings with increasing PDR.
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    Prevalence of Pre-antiretroviral-Treatment Drug Resistance by Gender, Age, and Other Factors in HIV-Infected Individuals Initiating Therapy in Kenya, 2013-2014
    Silverman, Rachel A.; Beck, Ingrid A.; Kiptinness, Catherine; Levine, Molly; Milne, Ross S.; McGrath, Christine J.; Bii, Steve; Richardson, Barbra A.; John-Stewart, Grace C.; Chohan, Bhavna; Sakr, Samah R.; Kiarie, James N.; Frenkel, Lisa M.; Chung, Michael H. (Oxford University Press, 2017-12-15)
    Background: Pre-antiretroviral-treatment drug resistance (PDR) is a predictor of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) treatment failure. We determined PDR prevalence and correlates in a Kenyan cohort. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of antiretroviral (ARV) treatment-eligible HIV-infected participants. PDR was defined as ≥2% mutant frequency in a participant's HIV quasispecies at pol codons K103N, Y181C, G190A, M184 V, or K65R by oligonucleotide ligation assay and Illumina sequencing. PDR prevalence was calculated by demographics and codon, stratifying by prior ARV experience. Poisson regression was used to estimate prevalence ratios. Results: PDR prevalences (95% confidence interval [CI]) in 815 ARV-naive adults, 136 ARV-experienced adults, and 36 predominantly ARV-naive children were 9.4% (7.5%-11.7%), 12.5% (7.5%-19.3%), and 2.8% (0.1%-14.5%), respectively. Median mutant frequency within an individual's HIV quasispecies was 67%. PDR prevalence in ARV-naive women 18-24 years old was 21.9% (9.3%-40.0%). Only age in females associated with PDR: A 5-year age decrease was associated with adjusted PDR prevalence ratio 1.20 (95% CI, 1.06-1.36; P = .004). Conclusions: The high PDR prevalence may warrant resistance testing and/or alternative ARVs in high HIV prevalence settings, with attention to young women, likely to have recent infection and higher rates of resistance. Clinical trials registration: NCT01898754.