Browsing by Author "Parker, Peter A."

Now showing 1 - 3 of 3
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    Accelerated Life Test Modeling Using Median Rank Regression
    Rhodes, Austin James (Virginia Tech, 2016-11-01)
    Accelerated life tests (ALT) are appealing to practitioners seeking to maximize information gleaned from reliability studies, while navigating resource constraints due to time and specimen costs. A popular approach to accelerated life testing is to design test regimes such that experimental specimens are exposed to variable stress levels across time. Such ALT experiments allow the practitioner to observe lifetime behavior across various stress levels and infer product life at use conditions using a greater number of failures than would otherwise be observed with a constant stress experiment. The downside to accelerated life tests, however, particularly for those that utilize non-constant stress levels across time on test, is that the corresponding lifetime models are largely dependent upon assumptions pertaining to variant stress. Although these assumptions drive inference at product use conditions, little to no statistical methods exist for assessing their validity. One popular assumption that is prevalent in both literature and practice is the cumulative exposure model which assumes that, at a given time on test, specimen life is solely driven by the integrated stress history and that current lifetime behavior is path independent of the stress trajectory. This dissertation challenges such black box ALT modeling procedures and focuses on the cumulative exposure model in particular. For a simple strep-stress accelerated life test, using two constant stress levels across time on test, we propose a four-parameter Weibull lifetime model that utilizes a threshold parameter to account for the stress transition. To circumvent regularity conditions imposed by maximum likelihood procedures, we use median rank regression to fit and assess our lifetime model. We improve the model fit using a novel incorporation of desirability functions and ultimately evaluate our proposed methods using an extensive simulation study. Finally, we provide an illustrative example to highlight the implementation of our method, comparing it to a corresponding Bayesian analysis.
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    Response Surface Design and Analysis in the Presence of Restricted Randomization
    Parker, Peter A. (Virginia Tech, 2005-03-29)
    Practical restrictions on randomization are commonplace in industrial experiments due to the presence of hard-to-change or costly-to-change factors. Employing a split-plot design structure minimizes the number of required experimental settings for the hard-to-change factors. In this research, we propose classes of equivalent estimation second-order response surface split-plot designs for which the ordinary least squares estimates of the model are equivalent to the generalized least squares estimates. Designs that possess the equivalence property enjoy the advantages of best linear unbiased estimates and design selection that is robust to model misspecification and independent of the variance components. We present a generalized proof of the equivalence conditions that enables the development of several systematic design construction strategies and provides the ability to verify numerically that a design provides equivalent estimates, resulting in a broad catalog of designs. We explore the construction of balanced and unbalanced split-plot versions of the central composite and Box-Behnken designs. In addition, we illustrate the utility of numerical verification in generating D-optimal and minimal point designs, including split-plot versions of the Notz, Hoke, Box and Draper, and hybrid designs. Finally, we consider the practical implications of analyzing a near-equivalent design when a suitable equivalent design is not available. By simulation, we compare methods of estimation to provide a practitioner with guidance on analysis alternatives when a best linear unbiased estimator is not available. Our goal throughout this research is to develop practical experimentation strategies for restricted randomization that are consistent with the philosophy of traditional response surface methodology.
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    Statistical Methods for Non-Linear Profile Monitoring
    Quevedo Candela, Ana Valeria (Virginia Tech, 2020-01-02)
    We have seen an increased interest and extensive research in the monitoring of a process over time whose characteristics are represented mathematically in functional forms such as profiles. Most of the current techniques require all of the data for each profile to determine the state of the process. Thus, quality engineers from industrial processes such as agricultural, aquacultural, and chemical cannot make process corrections to the current profile that are essential for correcting their processes at an early stage. In addition, the focus of most of the current techniques is on the statistical significance of the parameters or features of the model instead of the practical significance, which often relates to the actual quality characteristic. The goal of this research is to provide alternatives to address these two main concerns. First, we study the use of a Shewhart type control chart to monitor within profiles, where the central line is the predictive mean profile and the control limits are formed based on the prediction band. Second, we study a statistic based on a non-linear mixed model recognizing that the model leads to correlations among the estimated parameters.