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Scholarly Works, Geography

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https://hdl.handle.net/10919/24330
Research articles, presentations, and other scholarship

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Browsing Scholarly Works, Geography by Subject "0401 Atmospheric Sciences"

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    Historical trends in the trade wind inversion in the tropical North Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean
    Ramseyer, Craig A.; Miller, Paul W. (Wiley, 2021-05-03)
    The trade wind inversion (TWI) serves as an important stabilizing mechanism in the tropical North Atlantic (TNA) region, including the Caribbean basin. Previous studies have diagnosed the TWI using in situ observations and radiosondes, typically over tropical islands. However, studies relying on these point measurements are unable to discern the climatology and evolution of the TWI over the rest of the TNA. This study addresses this gap in the literature through the use of high-resolution ERA5 reanalysis model level data. Due to the advances in the ERA line of reanalysis products, ERA5 now provides vertical level resolution as fine as ~4 mb in the lower troposphere, enabling the identification of shallow inversions, such as the TWI, consistently on a climatological time scale in remote regions of the world. While still coarser than observed soundings, this reanalysis-based approach provides a first attempt in understanding TNA TWI variability and its strength and frequency trends from 1979 to 2019. The TWI climatology constructed here finds consilience with previous modelling and observational studies in terms of the spatial variability of the TWI base and strength across this domain. Stronger and more frequent TWIs are noted across the central TNA across all seasons. Results from a Mann–Kendall analysis reveals increasing trends in TWI frequency and strength that vary spatially across the domain based on season. The most widespread and strongest increasing TWI frequency and strength signal is over the central TNA from December to July. Due to the regionalization of trends noted, potential regional forcing mechanisms responsible for these changes are discussed.
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    A systematic global stocktake of evidence on human adaptation to climate change
    Berrang-Ford, Lea; Siders, A. R.; Lesnikowski, Alexandra; Fischer, Alexandra Paige; Callaghan, Max W.; Haddaway, Neal R.; Mach, Katharine J.; Araos, Malcolm; Shah, Mohammad Aminur Rahman; Wannewitz, Mia; Doshi, Deepal; Leiter, Timo; Matavel, Custodio; Musah-Surugu, Justice Issah; Wong-Parodi, Gabrielle; Antwi-Agyei, Philip; Ajibade, Idowu; Chauhan, Neha; Kakenmaster, William; Grady, Caitlin; Chalastani, Vasiliki I.; Jagannathan, Kripa; Galappaththi, Eranga K.; Sitati, Asha; Scarpa, Giulia; Totin, Edmond; Davis, Katy; Hamilton, Nikita Charles; Kirchhoff, Christine J.; Kumar, Praveen; Pentz, Brian; Simpson, Nicholas P.; Theokritoff, Emily; Deryng, Delphine; Reckien, Diana; Zavaleta-Cortijo, Carol; Ulibarri, Nicola; Segnon, Alcade C.; Khavhagali, Vhalinavho; Shang, Yuanyuan; Zvobgo, Luckson; Zommers, Zinta; Xu, Jiren; Williams, Portia Adade; Canosa, Ivan Villaverde; van Maanen, Nicole; van Bavel, Bianca; van Aalst, Maarten K.; Turek-Hankins, Lynee L.; Trivedi, Hasti; Trisos, Christopher H.; Thomas, Adelle; Thakur, Shinny; Templeman, Sienna; Stringer, Lindsay C.; Sotnik, Garry; Sjostrom, Kathryn Dana; Singh, Chandni; Sina, Mariella Z.; Shukla, Roopam; Sardans, Jordi; Salubi, Eunice A.; Chalkasra, Lolita Shaila Safaee; Ruiz-Diaz, Raquel; Richards, Carys; Pokharel, Pratik; Petzold, Jan; Penuelas, Josep; Avila, Julia Pelaez; Murillo, Julia B. Pazmino; Ouni, Souha; Niemann, Jennifer; Nielsen, Miriam; New, Mark; Schwerdtle, Patricia Nayna; Alverio, Gabriela Nagle; Mullin, Cristina A.; Mullenite, Joshua; Mosurska, Anuszka; Morecroft, Mike D.; Minx, Jan C.; Maskell, Gina; Nunbogu, Abraham Marshall; Magnan, Alexandre K.; Lwasa, Shuaib; Lukas-Sithole, Megan; Lissner, Tabea; Lilford, Oliver; Koller, Steven F.; Jurjonas, Matthew; Joe, Elphin Tom; Huynh, Lam TM M.; Hill, Avery; Hernandez, Rebecca R.; Hegde, Greeshma; Hawxwell, Tom; Harper, Sherilee L.; Harden, Alexandra; Haasnoot, Marjolijn; Gilmore, Elisabeth A.; Gichuki, Leah; Gatt, Alyssa; Garschagen, Matthias; Ford, James D.; Forbes, Andrew; Farrell, Aidan D.; Enquist, Carolyn AF F.; Elliott, Susan; Duncan, Emily; Coughlan de Perez, Erin; Coggins, Shaugn; Chen, Tara; Campbell, Donovan; Browne, Katherine E.; Bowen, Kathryn J.; Biesbroek, Robbert; Bhatt, Indra D.; Kerr, Rachel Bezner; Barr, Stephanie L.; Baker, Emily; Austin, Stephanie E.; Arotoma-Rojas, Ingrid; Anderson, Christa; Ajaz, Warda; Agrawal, Tanvi; Abu, Thelma Zulfawu (Nature Portfolio, 2021-10-28)
    Assessing global progress on human adaptation to climate change is an urgent priority. Although the literature on adaptation to climate change is rapidly expanding, little is known about the actual extent of implementation. We systematically screened >48,000 articles using machine learning methods and a global network of 126 researchers. Our synthesis of the resulting 1,682 articles presents a systematic and comprehensive global stocktake of implemented human adaptation to climate change. Documented adaptations were largely fragmented, local and incremental, with limited evidence of transformational adaptation and negligible evidence of risk reduction outcomes. We identify eight priorities for global adaptation research: assess the effectiveness of adaptation responses, enhance the understanding of limits to adaptation, enable individuals and civil society to adapt, include missing places, scholars and scholarship, understand private sector responses, improve methods for synthesizing different forms of evidence, assess the adaptation at different temperature thresholds, and improve the inclusion of timescale and the dynamics of responses.