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CMIP3 projected changes in the annual cycle of the South American monsoon

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dc.contributor.authorSeth, Anjien
dc.contributor.authorRojas, M. H.en
dc.contributor.authorRauscher, S. A.en
dc.contributor.departmentSustainable Agriculture and Natural Resource Management (SANREM) Knowledgebaseen
dc.coverage.spatialSouth Americaen
dc.date.accessioned2016-04-19T19:44:57Zen
dc.date.available2016-04-19T19:44:57Zen
dc.date.issued2010en
dc.descriptionMetadata only recorden
dc.description.abstractA warmer world will spur many changes in weather patterns and ecosystems. It is critical to predict these changes in order to mitigate their potential negative impacts. The South American monsoon is vulnerable to these changes and their prediction will assist farmers in this region in adapting. In this study, nine CMIP3 models (CCSM3, PCM, ECHAM5/MPI-OM, HadCM3, GFDL CM2, IPSL CM4, HadGEM1, MIROC3.2, CSIRO Mk3) are used to predict changes in onset, precipitation, and location of heaviest rainfall in the South American Monsoon System (SAMS). Despite the variance in model results, statistically significant changes in continental precipitation were revealed. They include reduced spring precipitation, movement in maximum precipitation, and displacement of the South Atlantic Anticyclone (SAAC). Further analysis is suggested to fully reveal and understand the impact of climate change on the South American Monsoon.en
dc.description.notesLTRA-4 (Practices and Strategies for Vulnerable Agro-Ecosystems)en
dc.format.mimetypetext/plainen
dc.identifier3752en
dc.identifier.citationClimatic Change 98(3-4): 331-357en
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9736-6en
dc.identifier.issn0165-0009en
dc.identifier.issn1573-1480en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10919/68080en
dc.language.isoen_USen
dc.rightsIn Copyrighten
dc.rights.holderCopyright 2009 Springer Science + Business Media B.V.en
dc.rights.urihttp://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/en
dc.subjectEcosystemen
dc.subjectWateren
dc.subjectClimate controlen
dc.subjectSubtropicsen
dc.subjectSouth americaen
dc.subjectClimate changeen
dc.subjectMonsoonen
dc.subjectCmip3en
dc.subjectModel predictionsen
dc.subjectSouth American Monsoonen
dc.subjectSamsen
dc.subjectCCSM3en
dc.subjectPCMen
dc.subjectEcham5/mpi-omen
dc.subjectHadcm3en
dc.subjectGfdl cm2en
dc.subjectIpsl cm4en
dc.subjectHadgem1en
dc.subjectMiroc3.2en
dc.subjectCsiro mk3en
dc.subjectPrecipitationen
dc.subjectEcosystemen
dc.titleCMIP3 projected changes in the annual cycle of the South American monsoonen
dc.typeAbstracten
dc.type.dcmitypeTexten

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