Evaluation of Airport Size and Delay Causal Factor Effects on Delay Propagation Dissipation

Simple item page
dc.contributor.authorAtallah, Stephanieen
dc.contributor.authorHotle, Susanen
dc.date.accessioned2024-10-01T12:21:35Zen
dc.date.available2024-10-01T12:21:35Zen
dc.date.issued2021-11-21en
dc.description.abstractThe International Civil Aviation Organization identifies departure and arrival punctuality as on-time key performance indicators. However, these metrics assume a flight’s delay is a result of either the origin or destination airport, providing limited information on where delay should be mitigated in the U.S. National Airspace System (NAS). This study evaluates the relationship between delay propagation magnitude, delay causal factor, airport size, and charged facility (airport or Air Route Traffic Control Center), to examine if certain delays take longer to dissipate. First, using flights from July 2018, results show that most delay propagation chains originate at large-hub airports. However, these delays were the quickest to recover. Second, this study presents a regression model, predicting total propagated delay using fixed effects based on the weather region where the original delay occurred. Each additional flight affected by downstream delay adds 18.7 min on average to total arrival delay in a propagation chain. Additionally, if weather was the original causal factor, total propagated delay increased by 11.6 min compared with non-weather delays. Lastly, this study compares delay propagation in July 2018 and July 2020. Results show uneven impacts of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) across the large-hub airports. Some of the investigated airports did not witness large improvements in average delay per delayed flight, warranting further research in the future. While delay and delay propagation have not been completely eradicated in the NAS during the COVID-19 pandemic, findings suggest that both have significantly declined on average.en
dc.description.versionAccepted versionen
dc.format.extentPages 608-620en
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1177/03611981211055663en
dc.identifier.issue3en
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10919/121231en
dc.identifier.volume2676en
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherSageen
dc.rightsIn Copyrighten
dc.rights.urihttp://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/en
dc.subjectDelay propagationen
dc.subjectCausal factorsen
dc.subjectAirport sizeen
dc.subjectKey Performance Indicatorsen
dc.subjectCOVID-19en
dc.titleEvaluation of Airport Size and Delay Causal Factor Effects on Delay Propagation Dissipationen
dc.title.serialTransportation Research Recorden
dc.typeArticle - Refereeden
dc.type.dcmitypeTexten

Files

Original bundle
Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
Thumbnail Image
Name:
Delay Propagation_Final Manuscript_20210929_SPA - Susan Hotle.pdf
Size:
370.25 KB
Format:
Adobe Portable Document Format
Description:
Accepted version
Download
License bundle
Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
Name:
license.txt
Size:
1.5 KB
Format:
Item-specific license agreed upon to submission
Description:
Download

Collections

Scholarly Works, Civil and Environmental Engineering