Economic implications of potential ENSO frequency and strength shifts

dc.contributor.authorChen, Chi Chungen
dc.contributor.authorMcCarl, Bruce A.en
dc.contributor.authorAdams, Richard M.en
dc.contributor.departmentSustainable Agriculture and Natural Resource Management (SANREM) Knowledgebaseen
dc.date.accessioned2016-04-19T18:07:12Zen
dc.date.available2016-04-19T18:07:12Zen
dc.date.issued2001en
dc.descriptionMetadata only recorden
dc.description.abstractThis paper evaluates the economic consequences that would occur in the agricultural sector if the strength and frequency of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) event would increase, which some researchers suggest could occur as a result of global climate change. The agricultural sector model applied by the authors predicted that a shift in only the frequency of ENSO events would cause damages to the global agricultural system on a scale of 3 to 4 hundred million dollars (U.S. currency). The damage caused if both strength and frequency and intensity increase could exceed one billion dollars. Although farmers can abate some of the damages through adaptions of crop mixes in anticipation of ENSO events, it is not possible to entirely offset losses.en
dc.format.mimetypetext/plainen
dc.identifier167en
dc.identifier.citationClimatic Change 49: 147-159en
dc.identifier.issn0165-0009en
dc.identifier.issn1573-1480en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10919/65254en
dc.language.isoen_USen
dc.publisherNetherlands: Kluwer Academic Publishersen
dc.rightsIn Copyrighten
dc.rights.holderCopyright 2001 Kulwer Academic Publishersen
dc.rights.urihttp://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/en
dc.subjectWorld marketsen
dc.subjectModelingen
dc.subjectEconomic modeling and analysisen
dc.subjectEconomic impactsen
dc.subjectDisaster preparednessen
dc.subjectAgricultureen
dc.subjectClimate changeen
dc.subjectClimate variabilityen
dc.subjectAgricultural Sector Model (ASM)en
dc.subjectEl niño southern oscillation (enso)en
dc.subjectWeather eventsen
dc.subjectCrop yieldsen
dc.subjectEcosystem Farm/Enterprise Scaleen
dc.titleEconomic implications of potential ENSO frequency and strength shiftsen
dc.typeAbstracten
dc.type.dcmitypeTexten

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