The Chesapeake Bay program modeling system: Overview and recommendations for future development

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dc.contributor.authorHood, Raleigh R.en
dc.contributor.authorShenk, Gary W.en
dc.contributor.authorDixon, Rachel L.en
dc.contributor.authorSmith, Sean M. C.en
dc.contributor.authorBall, William P.en
dc.contributor.authorBash, Jesse O.en
dc.contributor.authorBatiuk, Richen
dc.contributor.authorBoomer, Kathyen
dc.contributor.authorBrady, Damian C.en
dc.contributor.authorCerco, Carlen
dc.contributor.authorClaggett, Peteren
dc.contributor.authorde Mutsert, Kimen
dc.contributor.authorEaston, Zachary M.en
dc.contributor.authorElmore, Andrew J.en
dc.contributor.authorFriedrichs, Marjorie A. M.en
dc.contributor.authorHarris, Lora A.en
dc.contributor.authorIhde, Thomas F.en
dc.contributor.authorLacher, Laraen
dc.contributor.authorLi, Lien
dc.contributor.authorLinker, Lewis C.en
dc.contributor.authorMiller, Andrewen
dc.contributor.authorMoriarty, Juliaen
dc.contributor.authorNoe, Gregory B.en
dc.contributor.authorOnyullo, George E.en
dc.contributor.authorRose, Kennethen
dc.contributor.authorSkalak, Katieen
dc.contributor.authorTian, Richarden
dc.contributor.authorVeith, Tamie L.en
dc.contributor.authorWainger, Lisa A.en
dc.contributor.authorWeller, Donalden
dc.contributor.authorZhang, Yinglong Josephen
dc.date.accessioned2021-11-09T19:35:39Zen
dc.date.available2021-11-09T19:35:39Zen
dc.date.issued2021-09-15en
dc.description.abstractThe Chesapeake Bay is the largest, most productive, and most biologically diverse estuary in the continental United States providing crucial habitat and natural resources for culturally and economically important species. Pressures from human population growth and associated development and agricultural intensification have led to excessive nutrient and sediment inputs entering the Bay, negatively affecting the health of the Bay ecosystem and the economic services it provides. The Chesapeake Bay Program (CBP) is a unique program formally created in 1983 as a multi-stakeholder partnership to guide and foster restoration of the Chesapeake Bay and its watershed. Since its inception, the CBP Partnership has been developing, updating, and applying a complex linked modeling system of watershed, airshed, and estuary models as a planning tool to inform strategic management decisions and Bay restoration efforts. This paper provides a description of the 2017 CBP Modeling System and the higher trophic level models developed by the NOAA Chesapeake Bay Office, along with specific recommendations that emerged from a 2018 workshop designed to inform future model development. Recom-mendations highlight the need for simulation of watershed inputs, conditions, processes, and practices at higher resolution to provide improved information to guide local nutrient and sediment management plans. More explicit and extensive modeling of connectivity between watershed landforms and estuary sub-areas, estuarine hydrodynamics, watershed and estuarine water quality, the estuarine-watershed socioecological system, and living resources will be important to broaden and improve characterization of responses to targeted nutrient and sediment load reductions. Finally, the value and importance of maintaining effective collaborations among jurisdictional managers, scientists, modelers, support staff, and stakeholder communities is emphasized. An open collaborative and transparent process has been a key element of successes to date and is vitally important as the CBP Partnership moves forward with modeling system improvements that help stakeholders evolve new knowledge, improve management strategies, and better communicate outcomes.en
dc.description.adminPublic domain – authored by a U.S. government employeeen
dc.description.notesThe views expressed in this manuscript are those of the authors alone and do not necessarily reflect the views and policies of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. This article has been peer reviewed and approved for publication consistent with USGS Fundamental Science Practices (https://pubs.usgs.gov/circ/1367/).This review paper is based on information that was provided by 70 scientists and managers who participated in a workshop that was convened on January 17-19, 2018 at the National Conservation Training Center in Shepherdstown, West Virginia, USA. This workshop was funded by the Chesapeake Bay Scientific and Technical Advisory Committee (STAC) via the Chesapeake Research Consortium. The lead author would like to thank all of the workshop participants for their contributions to that workshop and this paper. In addition, special thanks go to STAC support personnel (specifically, coauthor Rachel Dixon and staff member Elaine Hinrichs) who handled all of the logistics involved in planning and running the workshop. The development of this paper was supported by NSF grant no. 1556661, NASA grant no. 80NSSC17K0258 49A37A and NOAA grant no. NA15NMF4570252 NCRS-17 to R. Hood. Additional support to coauthors was provided by multiple US Federal and State Agencies, and US Universities (see author affiliations above). This is UMCES contribution no. CN 6018. Any use of trade, firm, or product names is for descriptive purposes only and does not imply endorsement by the U.S. Government.en
dc.description.sponsorshipChesapeake Bay Scientific and Technical Advisory Committee (STAC) via the Chesapeake Research Consortium; NSFNational Science Foundation (NSF) [1556661]; NASANational Aeronautics & Space Administration (NASA) [80NSSC17K0258 49A37A]; NOAANational Oceanic Atmospheric Admin (NOAA) - USA [NA15NMF4570252 NCRS-17]en
dc.description.versionPublished versionen
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2021.109635en
dc.identifier.eissn1872-7026en
dc.identifier.issn0304-3800en
dc.identifier.other109635en
dc.identifier.pmid34675451en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10919/106562en
dc.identifier.volume456en
dc.language.isoenen
dc.rightsPublic Domain (U.S.)en
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/mark/1.0/en
dc.subjectChesapeake bay programen
dc.subjectNOAA Chesapeake Bay officeen
dc.subjectEnvironmental protection agencyen
dc.subjectModelingen
dc.subjectAirshed modelingen
dc.subjectWatershed modelingen
dc.subjectEstuarine modelingen
dc.subjectHydrodynamic modelingen
dc.subjectBiogeochemical Modelingen
dc.subjectLiving Resource Modelingen
dc.subjectChesapeake Assessment Scenario Toolen
dc.subjectTotal Maximum Daily Loaden
dc.subjectChesapeake Bay Agreementen
dc.titleThe Chesapeake Bay program modeling system: Overview and recommendations for future developmenten
dc.title.serialEcological Modellingen
dc.typeArticle - Refereeden
dc.type.dcmitypeTexten

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