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A future of surprises

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dc.contributorCarpenter, S.en
dc.contributorGunderson, L.en
dc.contributorPeterson, G.en
dc.contributor.authorJanssen, Marco A.en
dc.contributor.departmentSustainable Agriculture and Natural Resource Management (SANREM) Knowledgebaseen
dc.date.accessioned2016-04-19T18:08:52Zen
dc.date.available2016-04-19T18:08:52Zen
dc.date.issued2002en
dc.descriptionMetadata only recorden
dc.description.abstractThe aim of this chapter is to discuss some recent developments in integrating human perceptions into ecological-economic models and to use these models to explore the possibilities and consequences of changing perspectives on sustainable futures. Should environmental policy be preventative, adaptive, or reactive? This chapter explains that precautionary policies are necessary to limit harmful surprises; adaptive polices are necessary to increase the adaptive capacity of nature and society; but even still, surprises can lead to extreme events not prepared for so reactive polices need to be available. Various types of models should be explored in the coming years to understand the interactions between worldviews, management, and ecosystems. Improved understanding of these relations can improve insights into which types of policies and institutions are resilient in the longer term for both society and ecosystems. This chapter focuses on perceptions of sustainable development by multiple actors in human-ecological systems.en
dc.format.mimetypetext/plainen
dc.identifier513en
dc.identifier.isbn1-55963-857-5en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10919/65570en
dc.language.isoen_USen
dc.publisherWashington, D.C.: Island Pressen
dc.relation.ispartofIn: Gunderson, L.H. and C.S. Holling (eds.). Panarchy: Understanding Transformations in Human and Natural Systems, 241-260en
dc.subjectEcosystem managementen
dc.subjectModelingen
dc.subjectSustainable developmenten
dc.subjectEcologicalen
dc.subjectEconomicsen
dc.subjectModelsen
dc.subjectEnvironmental policyen
dc.subjectHuman perceptionsen
dc.subjectEcosystem Governanceen
dc.titleA future of surprisesen
dc.title.alternativeChapter 9en
dc.typeAbstracten
dc.type.dcmitypeTexten

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