Use of seasonal climate forecasts in rangeland-based livestock operations in West Texas

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dc.contributorDepartment of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administrationen
dc.contributor.authorJochec, Kristi G.en
dc.contributor.authorMjelde, James W.en
dc.contributor.authorLee, Andrew C.en
dc.contributor.authorConner, J. Richarden
dc.contributor.departmentSustainable Agriculture and Natural Resource Management (SANREM) Knowledgebaseen
dc.coverage.spatialWest Texasen
dc.coverage.spatialUnited Statesen
dc.date.accessioned2016-04-19T18:07:23Zen
dc.date.available2016-04-19T18:07:23Zen
dc.date.issued2001en
dc.descriptionMetadata only recorden
dc.description.abstractThis paper discusses the potential value of seasonal climate forecasts for ranchers in West Texas, based on the assessment of a focus group and ecological-economic modeling. The conclusion of the focus group was that the forecasts could potentially increase their ranch productivity by providing information to use in stocking, brush control, and deer herd management decisions. However, because there was also concern that "value-added" forage forecasts could be misused, the authors suggest that the concept of "value-added" should be reassessed by the climate-forecasting community. The authors estimate the value of seasonal forage forecasts in guiding stocking rate choices. The results confirmed their hypothesis that numerous economic factors , including restocking and destocking prices, influence the value of the forecasts. Based on the economic model and the results from the focus group, the authors conclude that multiyear modeling is needed to better assess the potential of climate forecasts.en
dc.format.mimetypetext/plainen
dc.identifier231en
dc.identifier.citationJournal of Applied Meteorology 40(9): 1629-1639en
dc.identifier.issn0894-8763en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10919/65293en
dc.language.isoen_USen
dc.publisherBoston, MA: American Meterological Societyen
dc.rightsIn Copyrighten
dc.rights.holderCopyright 2001 American Meteorological Societyen
dc.rights.urihttp://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/en
dc.subjectForageen
dc.subjectStakeholdersen
dc.subjectCattleen
dc.subjectRanchingen
dc.subjectModelingen
dc.subjectRangelandsen
dc.subjectEconomic modeling and analysisen
dc.subjectLivestock managementen
dc.subjectResource management toolsen
dc.subjectRange managementen
dc.subjectLivestocken
dc.subjectSeasonal climate forecastsen
dc.subjectEcological-economic modelingen
dc.subjectEnsoen
dc.subjectPhytomass growth simulator (phygrow)en
dc.subjectFocus groupsen
dc.subjectStocking rateen
dc.subjectWest texasen
dc.subjectFarm/Enterprise Scaleen
dc.titleUse of seasonal climate forecasts in rangeland-based livestock operations in West Texasen
dc.typeAbstracten
dc.type.dcmitypeTexten

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