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Quantifying climate sensitivity and climate-driven change in North American amphibian communities

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dc.contributor.authorMiller, David A. W.en
dc.contributor.authorGrant, Evan H. Campbellen
dc.contributor.authorMuths, Erinen
dc.contributor.authorAmburgey, Staci M.en
dc.contributor.authorAdams, Michael J.en
dc.contributor.authorJoseph, Maxwell B.en
dc.contributor.authorWaddle, J. Hardinen
dc.contributor.authorJohnson, Pieter T. J.en
dc.contributor.authorRyan, Maureen E.en
dc.contributor.authorSchmidt, Benedikt R.en
dc.contributor.authorCalhoun, Daniel L.en
dc.contributor.authorDavis, Courtney L.en
dc.contributor.authorFisher, Robert N.en
dc.contributor.authorGreen, David M.en
dc.contributor.authorHossack, Blake R.en
dc.contributor.authorRittenhouse, Tracy A. G.en
dc.contributor.authorWalls, Susan C.en
dc.contributor.authorBailey, Larissa L.en
dc.contributor.authorCruickshank, Sam S.en
dc.contributor.authorFellers, Gary M.en
dc.contributor.authorGorman, Thomas A.en
dc.contributor.authorHaas, Carola A.en
dc.contributor.authorHughson, Warden
dc.contributor.authorPilliod, David S.en
dc.contributor.authorPrice, Steven J.en
dc.contributor.authorRay, Andrew M.en
dc.contributor.authorSadinski, Walten
dc.contributor.authorSaenz, Danielen
dc.contributor.authorBarichivich, William J.en
dc.contributor.authorBrand, Adrianneen
dc.contributor.authorBrehme, Cheryl S.en
dc.contributor.authorDagit, Rosien
dc.contributor.authorDelaney, Katy S.en
dc.contributor.authorGlorioso, Brad M.en
dc.contributor.authorKats, Lee B.en
dc.contributor.authorKleeman, Patrick M.en
dc.contributor.authorPearl, Christopher A.en
dc.contributor.authorRochester, Carlton J.en
dc.contributor.authorRiley, Seth P. D.en
dc.contributor.authorRoth, Marken
dc.contributor.authorSigafus, Brent H.en
dc.contributor.departmentFish and Wildlife Conservationen
dc.date.accessioned2019-02-06T18:07:41Zen
dc.date.available2019-02-06T18:07:41Zen
dc.date.issued2018-09-25en
dc.description.abstractChanging climate will impact species' ranges only when environmental variability directly impacts the demography of local populations. However, measurement of demographic responses to climate change has largely been limited to single species and locations. Here we show that amphibian communities are responsive to climatic variability, using >500,000 time-series observations for 81 species across 86 North American study areas. The effect of climate on local colonization and persistence probabilities varies among eco-regions and depends on local climate, species life-histories, and taxonomic classification. We found that local species richness is most sensitive to changes in water availability during breeding and changes in winter conditions. Based on the relationships we measure, recent changes in climate cannot explain why local species richness of North American amphibians has rapidly declined. However, changing climate does explain why some populations are declining faster than others. Our results provide important insights into how amphibians respond to climate and a general framework for measuring climate impacts on species richness.en
dc.description.notesThis work was conducted as part of the Amphibian Decline Working Group supported by the John Wesley Powell Center for Analysis and Synthesis, funded by the US Geological Survey. Funding and logistical support for field data collection came from a range of sources including the U.S. Geological Survey-Amphibian Research and Monitoring Initiative (ARMI), U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, National Park Service, U.S. Forest Service, National Science Foundation (DEB-0841758, DEB-1149308), National Institutes of Health (R01GM109499), National Geographic Society, Morris Animal Foundation, and David and Lucille Packard Foundation. Data are deposited at the U.S. Geological Survey's John Wesley Powell Center for Analysis and Synthesis. This manuscript is contribution 654 of USGS ARMI. Any use of trade, firm, or product names is for descriptive purposes only and does not imply endorsement by the U.S. Government.en
dc.description.sponsorshipJohn Wesley Powell Center for Analysis and Synthesis - US Geological Surveyen
dc.description.sponsorshipU.S. Geological Survey-Amphibian Research and Monitoring Initiative (ARMI)en
dc.description.sponsorshipU.S. Fish and Wildlife Serviceen
dc.description.sponsorshipNational Park Serviceen
dc.description.sponsorshipU.S. Forest Serviceen
dc.description.sponsorshipNational Science Foundation [DEB-0841758, DEB-1149308]en
dc.description.sponsorshipNational Institutes of Health [R01GM109499]en
dc.description.sponsorshipNational Geographic Societyen
dc.description.sponsorshipMorris Animal Foundationen
dc.description.sponsorshipDavid and Lucille Packard Foundationen
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-06157-6en
dc.identifier.issn2041-1723en
dc.identifier.other3926en
dc.identifier.pmid30254220en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10919/87478en
dc.identifier.volume9en
dc.language.isoen_USen
dc.rightsCreative Commons Attribution 4.0 Internationalen
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/en
dc.titleQuantifying climate sensitivity and climate-driven change in North American amphibian communitiesen
dc.title.serialNature Communicationsen
dc.typeArticle - Refereeden
dc.type.dcmitypeTexten

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Destination Area: Global Systems Science (GSS)