A modest 0.5-m rise in sea level will double the tsunami hazard in Macau

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dc.contributor.authorLi, Linlinen
dc.contributor.authorSwitzer, Adam D.en
dc.contributor.authorWang, Yuen
dc.contributor.authorChan, Chung-Hanen
dc.contributor.authorQiu, Qiangen
dc.contributor.authorWeiss, Roberten
dc.contributor.departmentGeosciencesen
dc.date.accessioned2018-08-16T18:57:54Zen
dc.date.available2018-08-16T18:57:54Zen
dc.date.issued2018-08-15en
dc.description.abstractRising sea levels will have overwhelmingly negative impacts on coastal communities globally. With previous research focused on how sea-level rise (SLR) affects storm-induced flooding, we show that SLR will also increase both the frequency and the intensity of tsunami-induced flooding, another significant coastal hazard associated with sea-level extremes. We developed probabilistic tsunami inundation maps for Macau, a densely populated coastal city located in the South China Sea, under current sea-level, 0.5-m SLR, and 1-m SLR conditions, using an extensive Monte Carlo tsunami inundation simulation. Our results indicate that conservative amounts of SLR of 0.5 m (by 2060) and 1 m (by 2100) would dramatically increase the frequency of tsunami-induced flooding incidences by a factor of 1.2 to 2.4 and 1.5 to 4.7, respectively.en
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aat1180en
dc.identifier.issue8en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10919/84847en
dc.identifier.volume4en
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherAAASen
dc.rightsCreative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 Internationalen
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/en
dc.titleA modest 0.5-m rise in sea level will double the tsunami hazard in Macauen
dc.title.serialScience Advancesen
dc.typeArticle - Refereeden
dc.type.dcmitypeTexten

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Destination Area: Global Systems Science (GSS)