Transmission of West Nile and five other temperate mosquito-borne viruses peaks at temperatures between 23 degrees C and 26 degrees C
dc.contributor.author | Shocket, Marta S. | en |
dc.contributor.author | Verwillow, Anna B. | en |
dc.contributor.author | Numazu, Mailo G. | en |
dc.contributor.author | Slamani, Hani | en |
dc.contributor.author | Cohen, Jeremy M. | en |
dc.contributor.author | El Moustaid, Fadoua | en |
dc.contributor.author | Rohr, Jason R. | en |
dc.contributor.author | Johnson, Leah R. | en |
dc.contributor.author | Mordecai, Erin A. | en |
dc.contributor.department | Statistics | en |
dc.contributor.department | Biological Sciences | en |
dc.date.accessioned | 2021-02-08T15:46:23Z | en |
dc.date.available | 2021-02-08T15:46:23Z | en |
dc.date.issued | 2020-09-15 | en |
dc.description.abstract | The temperature-dependence of many important mosquito-borne diseases has never been quantified. These relationships are critical for understanding current distributions and predicting future shifts from climate change. We used trait-based models to characterize temperature-dependent transmission of 10 vector-pathogen pairs of mosquitoes (Culex pipiens, Cx. quinquefascsiatus, Cx. tarsalis, and others) and viruses (West Nile, Eastern and Western Equine Encephalitis, St. Louis Encephalitis, Sindbis, and Rift Valley Fever viruses), most with substantial transmission in temperate regions. Transmission is optimized at intermediate temperatures (23-26 degrees C) and often has wider thermal breadths (due to cooler lower thermal limits) compared to pathogens with predominately tropical distributions (in previous studies). The incidence of human West Nile virus cases across US counties responded unimodally to average summer temperature and peaked at 24 degrees C, matching model-predicted optima (24-25 degrees C). Climate warming will likely shift transmission of these diseases, increasing it in cooler locations while decreasing it in warmer locations. | en |
dc.description.notes | National Science Foundation DEB-1518681 Marta Shocket Mailo G Numazu Jeremy M Cohen Leah Johnson Erin A Mordecai; National Science Foundation DMS-1750113 Leah Johnson; National Institutes of Health NIGMS R35 MIRA: 1R35GM133439-01 Erin A Mordecai; The funders had no role in study design, data collection and interpretation, or the decision to submit the work for publication. | en |
dc.description.sponsorship | National Science FoundationNational Science Foundation (NSF) [DEB-1518681, DMS-1750113]; National Institutes of HealthUnited States Department of Health & Human ServicesNational Institutes of Health (NIH) - USA [NIGMS R35 MIRA: 1R35GM133439-01] | en |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | en |
dc.identifier.doi | https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.58511 | en |
dc.identifier.issn | 2050-084X | en |
dc.identifier.other | e58511 | en |
dc.identifier.pmid | 32930091 | en |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10919/102304 | en |
dc.identifier.volume | 9 | en |
dc.language.iso | en | en |
dc.rights | Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International | en |
dc.rights.uri | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ | en |
dc.title | Transmission of West Nile and five other temperate mosquito-borne viruses peaks at temperatures between 23 degrees C and 26 degrees C | en |
dc.title.serial | eLife | en |
dc.type | Article - Refereed | en |
dc.type.dcmitype | Text | en |
dc.type.dcmitype | StillImage | en |
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