Transmission of West Nile and five other temperate mosquito-borne viruses peaks at temperatures between 23 degrees C and 26 degrees C

dc.contributor.authorShocket, Marta S.en
dc.contributor.authorVerwillow, Anna B.en
dc.contributor.authorNumazu, Mailo G.en
dc.contributor.authorSlamani, Hanien
dc.contributor.authorCohen, Jeremy M.en
dc.contributor.authorEl Moustaid, Fadouaen
dc.contributor.authorRohr, Jason R.en
dc.contributor.authorJohnson, Leah R.en
dc.contributor.authorMordecai, Erin A.en
dc.contributor.departmentStatisticsen
dc.contributor.departmentBiological Sciencesen
dc.date.accessioned2021-02-08T15:46:23Zen
dc.date.available2021-02-08T15:46:23Zen
dc.date.issued2020-09-15en
dc.description.abstractThe temperature-dependence of many important mosquito-borne diseases has never been quantified. These relationships are critical for understanding current distributions and predicting future shifts from climate change. We used trait-based models to characterize temperature-dependent transmission of 10 vector-pathogen pairs of mosquitoes (Culex pipiens, Cx. quinquefascsiatus, Cx. tarsalis, and others) and viruses (West Nile, Eastern and Western Equine Encephalitis, St. Louis Encephalitis, Sindbis, and Rift Valley Fever viruses), most with substantial transmission in temperate regions. Transmission is optimized at intermediate temperatures (23-26 degrees C) and often has wider thermal breadths (due to cooler lower thermal limits) compared to pathogens with predominately tropical distributions (in previous studies). The incidence of human West Nile virus cases across US counties responded unimodally to average summer temperature and peaked at 24 degrees C, matching model-predicted optima (24-25 degrees C). Climate warming will likely shift transmission of these diseases, increasing it in cooler locations while decreasing it in warmer locations.en
dc.description.notesNational Science Foundation DEB-1518681 Marta Shocket Mailo G Numazu Jeremy M Cohen Leah Johnson Erin A Mordecai; National Science Foundation DMS-1750113 Leah Johnson; National Institutes of Health NIGMS R35 MIRA: 1R35GM133439-01 Erin A Mordecai; The funders had no role in study design, data collection and interpretation, or the decision to submit the work for publication.en
dc.description.sponsorshipNational Science FoundationNational Science Foundation (NSF) [DEB-1518681, DMS-1750113]; National Institutes of HealthUnited States Department of Health & Human ServicesNational Institutes of Health (NIH) - USA [NIGMS R35 MIRA: 1R35GM133439-01]en
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.58511en
dc.identifier.issn2050-084Xen
dc.identifier.othere58511en
dc.identifier.pmid32930091en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10919/102304en
dc.identifier.volume9en
dc.language.isoenen
dc.rightsCreative Commons Attribution 4.0 Internationalen
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/en
dc.titleTransmission of West Nile and five other temperate mosquito-borne viruses peaks at temperatures between 23 degrees C and 26 degrees Cen
dc.title.serialeLifeen
dc.typeArticle - Refereeden
dc.type.dcmitypeTexten
dc.type.dcmitypeStillImageen

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