Effect of modelling slum populations on influenza spread in Delhi

dc.contributor.authorChen, Jiangzhuoen
dc.contributor.authorChu, Shuyuen
dc.contributor.authorChungbaek, Youngyunen
dc.contributor.authorKhan, Maleqen
dc.contributor.authorKuhlman, Christopher J.en
dc.contributor.authorMarathe, Achlaen
dc.contributor.authorMortveit, Henningen
dc.contributor.authorVullikanti, Anilen
dc.contributor.authorXie, Dawenen
dc.date.accessioned2017-03-06T00:46:22Zen
dc.date.available2017-03-06T00:46:22Zen
dc.date.issued2016-01-01en
dc.description.abstractObjectives: This research studies the impact of influenza epidemic in the slum and non-slum areas of Delhi, the National Capital Territory of India, by taking proper account of slum demographics and residents’ activities, using a highly resolved social contact network of the 13.8 million residents of Delhi. Methods: An SEIR model is used to simulate the spread of influenza on two different synthetic social contact networks of Delhi, one where slums and non-slums are treated the same in terms of their demographics and daily sets of activities and the other, where slum and non-slum regions have different attributes. Results: Differences between the epidemic outcomes on the two networks are large. Time-to-peak infection is overestimated by several weeks, and the cumulative infection rate and peak infection rate are underestimated by 10–50%, when slum attributes are ignored. Conclusions: Slum populations have a significant effect on influenza transmission in urban areas. Improper specification of slums in large urban regions results in underestimation of infections in the entire population and hence will lead to misguided interventions by policy planners.en
dc.description.versionPublished versionen
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2016-011699en
dc.identifier.issn2044-6055en
dc.identifier.issue9en
dc.identifier.orcidChen, J [0000-0002-2729-3881]en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10919/75251en
dc.identifier.volume6en
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherBMJen
dc.relation.urihttp://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000391302900028&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=930d57c9ac61a043676db62af60056c1en
dc.rightsCreative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 Internationalen
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/en
dc.subjectMedicine, General & Internalen
dc.subjectGeneral & Internal Medicineen
dc.subjectINDIAen
dc.subjectHOSPITALIZATIONSen
dc.subjectINEQUALITIESen
dc.subjectDWELLERSen
dc.subjectNETWORKen
dc.subjectAFRICAen
dc.subjectHEALTHen
dc.subjectEBOLAen
dc.subjectRISKen
dc.titleEffect of modelling slum populations on influenza spread in Delhien
dc.title.serialBMJ Openen
dc.typeArticle - Refereeden
dc.type.dcmitypeTexten
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Techen
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Tech/All T&R Facultyen
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Tech/Faculty of Health Sciencesen
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Tech/University Research Institutesen
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Tech/University Research Institutes/Biocomplexity Instituteen
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Tech/University Research Institutes/Biocomplexity Institute/Researchersen
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Tech/University Research Institutes/Biocomplexity Institute/SelectedFaculty1en

Files

Original bundle
Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
Loading...
Thumbnail Image
Name:
Effect of modelling slum populations on influenza spread in Delhi.pdf
Size:
1.15 MB
Format:
Adobe Portable Document Format
Description:
Published version
License bundle
Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
Name:
VTUL_Distribution_License_2016_05_09.pdf
Size:
18.09 KB
Format:
Adobe Portable Document Format
Description: