Prediction Success of Machine Learning Methods for Flash Flood Susceptibility Mapping in the Tafresh Watershed, Iran

dc.contributor.authorJanizadeh, Saeiden
dc.contributor.authorAvand, Mohammadtaghien
dc.contributor.authorJaafari, Abolfazlen
dc.contributor.authorPhong, Tran Vanen
dc.contributor.authorBayat, Mahmouden
dc.contributor.authorAhmadisharaf, Ebrahimen
dc.contributor.authorPrakash, Indraen
dc.contributor.authorPham, Binh Thaien
dc.contributor.authorLee, Saroen
dc.contributor.departmentBiological Systems Engineeringen
dc.date.accessioned2019-10-14T12:17:41Zen
dc.date.available2019-10-14T12:17:41Zen
dc.date.issued2019-09-30en
dc.date.updated2019-10-11T15:52:25Zen
dc.description.abstractFloods are some of the most destructive and catastrophic disasters worldwide. Development of management plans needs a deep understanding of the likelihood and magnitude of future flood events. The purpose of this research was to estimate flash flood susceptibility in the Tafresh watershed, Iran, using five machine learning methods, i.e., alternating decision tree (ADT), functional tree (FT), kernel logistic regression (KLR), multilayer perceptron (MLP), and quadratic discriminant analysis (QDA). A geospatial database including 320 historical flood events was constructed and eight geo-environmental variables—elevation, slope, slope aspect, distance from rivers, average annual rainfall, land use, soil type, and lithology—were used as flood influencing factors. Based on a variety of performance metrics, it is revealed that the ADT method was dominant over the other methods. The FT method was ranked as the second-best method, followed by the KLR, MLP, and QDA. Given a few differences between the goodness-of-fit and prediction success of the methods, we concluded that all these five machine-learning-based models are applicable for flood susceptibility mapping in other areas to protect societies from devastating floods.en
dc.description.versionPublished versionen
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.citationJanizadeh, S.; Avand, M.; Jaafari, A.; Phong, T.V.; Bayat, M.; Ahmadisharaf, E.; Prakash, I.; Pham, B.T.; Lee, S. Prediction Success of Machine Learning Methods for Flash Flood Susceptibility Mapping in the Tafresh Watershed, Iran. Sustainability 2019, 11, 5426.en
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.3390/su11195426en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10919/94562en
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherMDPIen
dc.rightsCreative Commons Attribution 4.0 Internationalen
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/en
dc.subjectalternating decision treeen
dc.subjectdata miningen
dc.subjectspatial modelingen
dc.subjectsusceptibility mappingen
dc.subjectGISen
dc.titlePrediction Success of Machine Learning Methods for Flash Flood Susceptibility Mapping in the Tafresh Watershed, Iranen
dc.title.serialSustainabilityen
dc.typeArticle - Refereeden
dc.type.dcmitypeTexten

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