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The Dynamics of Democracy, Development and Cultural Values

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dc.contributor.authorSpaiser, Viktoriaen
dc.contributor.authorRanganathan, Shyamen
dc.contributor.authorMann, Richard P.en
dc.contributor.authorSumpter, David J. T.en
dc.contributor.departmentStatisticsen
dc.date.accessioned2018-02-21T21:41:17Zen
dc.date.available2018-02-21T21:41:17Zen
dc.date.issued2014-06-06en
dc.description.abstractOver the past decades many countries have experienced rapid changes in their economies, their democratic institutions and the values of their citizens. Comprehensive data measuring these changes across very different countries has recently become openly available. Between country similarities suggest common underlying dynamics in how countries develop in terms of economy, democracy and cultural values. We apply a novel Bayesian dynamical systems approach to identify the model which best captures the complex, mainly non-linear dynamics that underlie these changes. We show that the level of Human Development Index (HDI) in a country drives first democracy and then higher emancipation of citizens. This change occurs once the countries pass a certain threshold in HDI. The data also suggests that there is a limit to the growth of wealth, set by higher emancipation. Having reached a high level of democracy and emancipation, societies tend towards equilibrium that does not support further economic growth. Our findings give strong empirical evidence against a popular political science theory, known as the Human Development Sequence. Contrary to this theory, we find that implementation of human-rights and democratisation precede increases in emancipative values.en
dc.description.versionPublished versionen
dc.format.extent? - ? (11) page(s)en
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0097856en
dc.identifier.issn1932-6203en
dc.identifier.issue6en
dc.identifier.orcidRanganathan, S [0000-0002-1337-5173]en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10919/82234en
dc.identifier.volume9en
dc.languageEnglishen
dc.publisherPLOSen
dc.relation.urihttp://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000341869000014&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=930d57c9ac61a043676db62af60056c1en
dc.rightsCreative Commons Attribution 4.0 Internationalen
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/en
dc.subjectgrowthen
dc.subjectmodernizationen
dc.subjecteducationen
dc.subjectmodelen
dc.titleThe Dynamics of Democracy, Development and Cultural Valuesen
dc.title.serialPLOS ONEen
dc.typeArticle - Refereeden
dc.type.otherArticleen
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Techen
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Tech/All T&R Facultyen
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Tech/Scienceen
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Tech/Science/COS T&R Facultyen
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Tech/Science/Statisticsen

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