Three Empirical Analyses of Voting

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2022-06-17

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Virginia Tech

Abstract

To evaluate voting rules, it would be good to know what universe election outcomes are drawn from. Election theorists have postulated that elections might be drawn from various stochastic preference models, including the IC and IAC conditions, but these models induce empirically contradicted predictions. We use two distinct data sets, FairVote and German Politbarometer survey. Based on the data information, we suggest approaches that differ from those probabilistic models to better approximate the actual data in Chapter 3 and 4. Chapter 5 applies the spatial model for four-candidate in a three-dimensional setting. We also offer a significant gap between the actual and simulated data under the IAC conditions by comparing their statistical characteristics.

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Keywords

Condorcet paradox, Voting paradox, Social choice, Alternative vote, Collective decision making, Instant-Runoff Voting, Election, Agent-based modeling

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