Thermal biology of mosquito-borne disease

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dc.contributor.authorMordecai, Erin A.en
dc.contributor.authorCaldwell, Jamie M.en
dc.contributor.authorGrossman, Marissa K.en
dc.contributor.authorLippi, Catherine A.en
dc.contributor.authorJohnson, Leah R.en
dc.contributor.authorNeira, Marcoen
dc.contributor.authorRohr, Jason R.en
dc.contributor.authorRyan, Sadie J.en
dc.contributor.authorSavage, Vanen
dc.contributor.authorShocket, Marta S.en
dc.contributor.authorSippy, Rachelen
dc.contributor.authorIbarra, Anna M. Stewarten
dc.contributor.authorThomas, Matthew B.en
dc.contributor.authorVillena, Oswaldoen
dc.date.accessioned2021-10-11T12:28:37Zen
dc.date.available2021-10-11T12:28:37Zen
dc.date.issued2019-07-08en
dc.date.updated2021-10-11T12:28:34Zen
dc.description.abstractMosquito-borne diseases cause a major burden of disease worldwide. The vital rates of these ectothermic vectors and parasites respond strongly and nonlinearly to temperature and therefore to climate change. Here, we review how trait-based approaches can synthesise and mechanistically predict the temperature dependence of transmission across vectors, pathogens, and environments. We present 11 pathogens transmitted by 15 different mosquito species – including globally important diseases like malaria, dengue, and Zika – synthesised from previously published studies. Transmission varied strongly and unimodally with temperature, peaking at 23–29ºC and declining to zero below 9–23ºC and above 32–38ºC. Different traits restricted transmission at low versus high temperatures, and temperature effects on transmission varied by both mosquito and parasite species. Temperate pathogens exhibit broader thermal ranges and cooler thermal minima and optima than tropical pathogens. Among tropical pathogens, malaria and Ross River virus had lower thermal optima (25–26ºC) while dengue and Zika viruses had the highest (29ºC) thermal optima. We expect warming to increase transmission below thermal optima but decrease transmission above optima. Key directions for future work include linking mechanistic models to field transmission, combining temperature effects with control measures, incorporating trait variation and temperature variation, and investigating climate adaptation and migration.en
dc.description.versionPublished versionen
dc.format.extentPages 1690-1708en
dc.format.extent19 page(s)en
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1111/ele.13335en
dc.identifier.eissn1461-0248en
dc.identifier.issn1461-023Xen
dc.identifier.issue10en
dc.identifier.orcidJohnson, Leah [0000-0002-9922-579X]en
dc.identifier.pmid31286630en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10919/105221en
dc.identifier.volume22en
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherWileyen
dc.relation.urihttp://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000477442600001&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=930d57c9ac61a043676db62af60056c1en
dc.rightsCreative Commons Attribution 4.0 Internationalen
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/en
dc.subjectLife Sciences & Biomedicineen
dc.subjectEcologyen
dc.subjectEnvironmental Sciences & Ecologyen
dc.subjectArbovirusen
dc.subjectclimate changeen
dc.subjectdengue virusen
dc.subjectmalariaen
dc.subjectmosquitoen
dc.subjectRoss River virusen
dc.subjectTemperatureen
dc.subjectthermal performance curveen
dc.subjectWest Nile virusen
dc.subjectZika virusen
dc.subjectTemperature-Dependenceen
dc.subjectMalaria Transmissionen
dc.subjectPlasmodium-Falciparumen
dc.subjectWarmer Temperaturesen
dc.subjectDengue Epidemicsen
dc.subjectMetabolic Theoryen
dc.subjectHosten
dc.subjectArbovirusen
dc.subject|0501 Ecological Applicationsen
dc.subject0602 Ecologyen
dc.subject0603 Evolutionary Biologyen
dc.subject.meshAnimalsen
dc.subject.meshAedesen
dc.subject.meshPlasmodiumen
dc.subject.meshDengue Virusen
dc.subject.meshRoss River virusen
dc.subject.meshVirus Diseasesen
dc.subject.meshMalariaen
dc.subject.meshTemperatureen
dc.subject.meshClimate Changeen
dc.subject.meshZika Virusen
dc.subject.meshMosquito Vectorsen
dc.titleThermal biology of mosquito-borne diseaseen
dc.title.serialEcology Lettersen
dc.typeArticle - Refereeden
dc.type.dcmitypeTexten
dc.type.otherJournalen
dcterms.dateAccepted2019-06-06en
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Techen
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Tech/Scienceen
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Tech/Science/Statisticsen
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Tech/All T&R Facultyen
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Tech/Science/COS T&R Facultyen

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