Global Health Impacts for Economic Models of Climate Change: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

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dc.contributor.authorCromar, Kevin R.en
dc.contributor.authorAnenberg, Susan C.en
dc.contributor.authorBalmes, John R.en
dc.contributor.authorFawcett, Allen A.en
dc.contributor.authorGhazipura, Maryaen
dc.contributor.authorGohlke, Julia M.en
dc.contributor.authorHashizume, Masahiroen
dc.contributor.authorHoward, Peteren
dc.contributor.authorLavigne, Ericen
dc.contributor.authorLevy, Karenen
dc.contributor.authorMadrigano, Jaimeen
dc.contributor.authorMartinich, Jeremy A.en
dc.contributor.authorMordecai, Erin A.en
dc.contributor.authorRice, Mary B.en
dc.contributor.authorSaha, Shubhayuen
dc.contributor.authorScovronick, Noah C.en
dc.contributor.authorSekercioglu, Fatihen
dc.contributor.authorSvendsen, Erik R.en
dc.contributor.authorZaitchik, Benjamin F.en
dc.contributor.authorEwart, Garyen
dc.date.accessioned2022-11-03T19:32:01Zen
dc.date.available2022-11-03T19:32:01Zen
dc.date.issued2022-07en
dc.description.abstractRationale: Avoiding excess health damages attributable to climate change is a primary motivator for policy interventions to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. However, the health benefits of climate mitigation, as included in the policy assessment process, have been estimated without much input from health experts. Objectives: In accordance with recommendations from the National Academies in a 2017 report on approaches to update the social cost of greenhouse gases (SC-GHG), an expert panel of 26 health researchers and climate economists gathered for a virtual technical workshop in May 2021 to conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis and recommend improvements to the estimation of health impacts in economic-climate models. Methods: Regionally resolved effect estimates of unit increases in temperature on net all-cause mortality risk were generated through random-effects pooling of studies identified through a systematic review. Results: Effect estimates and associated uncertainties varied by global region, but net increases in mortality risk associated with increased average annual temperatures (ranging from 0.1% to 1.1% per 1 degrees C) were estimated for all global regions. Key recommendations for the development and utilization of health damage modules were provided by the expert panel and included the following: not relying on individual methodologies in estimating health damages; incorporating a broader range of cause-specific mortality impacts; improving the climate parameters available in economic models; accounting for socioeconomic trajectories and adaptation factors when estimating health damages; and carefully considering how air pollution impacts should be incorporated in economic-climate models. Conclusions: This work provides an example of how subject-matter experts can work alongside climate economists in making continued improvements to SC-GHG estimates.en
dc.description.notesSupported by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences. The views expressed in this manuscript are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their employers, including the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and Health Canada, and no official endorsement should be inferred.en
dc.description.sponsorshipU.S. Environmental Protection Agency; National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences; Centers for Disease Control and Preventionen
dc.description.versionPublished versionen
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1513/AnnalsATS.202110-1193OCen
dc.identifier.eissn2325-6621en
dc.identifier.issn1546-3222en
dc.identifier.issue7en
dc.identifier.pmid35073249en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10919/112370en
dc.identifier.volume19en
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherAmerican Thoracic Societyen
dc.rightsCreative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internationalen
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/en
dc.subjectclimate changeen
dc.subjecteconomic modelsen
dc.subjectsocial cost of greenhouse gasesen
dc.subjectmortalityen
dc.subjecttemperatureen
dc.titleGlobal Health Impacts for Economic Models of Climate Change: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysisen
dc.title.serialAnnals of the American Thoracic Societyen
dc.typeArticle - Refereeden
dc.type.dcmitypeTexten

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