A predictive analytics model for differentiating between transient ischemic attacks (TIA) and its mimics

dc.contributor.authorStanciu, Aliaen
dc.contributor.authorBanciu, Mihaien
dc.contributor.authorSadighi, Alirezaen
dc.contributor.authorMarshall, Kyle A.en
dc.contributor.authorHolland, Neil R.en
dc.contributor.authorAbedi, Vidaen
dc.contributor.authorZand, Raminen
dc.date.accessioned2020-06-22T11:51:03Zen
dc.date.available2020-06-22T11:51:03Zen
dc.date.issued2020-06-18en
dc.date.updated2020-06-21T03:41:43Zen
dc.description.abstractBackground Transient ischemic attack (TIA) is a brief episode of neurological dysfunction resulting from cerebral ischemia not associated with permanent cerebral infarction. TIA is associated with high diagnostic errors because of the subjective nature of findings and the lack of clinical and imaging biomarkers. The goal of this study was to design and evaluate a novel multinomial classification model, based on a combination of feature selection mechanisms coupled with logistic regression, to predict the likelihood of TIA, TIA mimics, and minor stroke. Methods We conducted our modeling on consecutive patients who were evaluated in our health system with an initial diagnosis of TIA in a 9-month period. We established the final diagnoses after the clinical evaluation by independent verification from two stroke neurologists. We used Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE) and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) for prediction modeling. Results The RFE-based classifier correctly predicts 78% of the overall observations. In particular, the classifier correctly identifies 68% of the cases labeled as “TIA mimic” and 83% of the “TIA” discharge diagnosis. The LASSO classifier had an overall accuracy of 74%. Both the RFE and LASSO-based classifiers tied or outperformed the ABCD2 score and the Diagnosis of TIA (DOT) score. With respect to predicting TIA, the RFE-based classifier has 61.1% accuracy, the LASSO-based classifier has 79.5% accuracy, whereas the DOT score applied to the dataset yields an accuracy of 63.1%. Conclusion The results of this pilot study indicate that a multinomial classification model, based on a combination of feature selection mechanisms coupled with logistic regression, can be used to effectively differentiate between TIA, TIA mimics, and minor stroke.en
dc.description.versionPublished versionen
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.citationBMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making. 2020 Jun 18;20(1):112en
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1186/s12911-020-01154-6en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10919/99068en
dc.language.isoenen
dc.rightsCreative Commons Attribution 4.0 Internationalen
dc.rights.holderThe Author(s)en
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/en
dc.titleA predictive analytics model for differentiating between transient ischemic attacks (TIA) and its mimicsen
dc.title.serialBMC Medical Informatics and Decision Makingen
dc.typeArticle - Refereeden
dc.type.dcmitypeTexten
dc.type.dcmitypeStillImageen

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