dc.contributor.author	Maza Duerto, Octavio	en
dc.contributor.committeechair	Salehi-Isfahani, Djavad	en
dc.contributor.committeemember	Yang, Dennis T.	en
dc.contributor.committeemember	Spanos, Aris	en
dc.contributor.committeemember	McGuirk, Anya M.	en
dc.contributor.committeemember	Murphy, Russell D.	en
dc.contributor.department	Economics	en
dc.date.accessioned	2014-03-14T20:07:14Z	en
dc.date.adate	2003-03-06	en
dc.date.available	2014-03-14T20:07:14Z	en
dc.date.issued	2003-01-31	en
dc.date.rdate	2004-03-06	en
dc.date.sdate	2003-02-08	en
dc.description.abstract	The purpose of this dissertation is to explore the relationship between fertility rates and the economy in Venezuela. In particular, it looks at the extreme fluctuations in oil revenues, Venezuela's main source of income, in the 1970s and their impact on fertility. It uses the 1998 National Survey of Population and Family collected in Venezuela by The Central Office of Statistics and Information to estimate a Poisson model of total fertility by union cohort and to empirically investigate changes in childbearing patterns. The results show that compared to the 1967-1968 union cohort, all subsequent union cohorts decline in total fertility in the first 14 years after entering the first union. This finding raises the possibility that the period fertility rate stall and reversal of the 1970s are not associated with rises in total fertility. Further, the simple two period model of fertility timing developed for this study illustrates how females may change their fertility timing by responding to temporary changes in income, either through changes in wages or changes in the amount of transfers. Also, the duration analysis presents differences in childbearing patterns where the boom cohort seems to be at a higher risk of an additional child for lower parities, but at a lower risk for higher parities when compared to the bust cohort. These differences seem to remain even after controlling for individual characteristics or secular changes between the two cohorts. This study is important, because it highlights how sharp and short changes in economic conditions faced by a Venezuelan household induce a change in the timing of birth, thereby creating unexpected moves in the period fertility rates. Understanding the source of these moves can help to plan for them in the future.	en
dc.description.degree	Ph. D.	en
dc.identifier.other	etd-02082003-180131	en
dc.identifier.sourceurl	http://scholar.lib.vt.edu/theses/available/etd-02082003-180131/	en
dc.identifier.uri	http://hdl.handle.net/10919/26146	en
dc.publisher	Virginia Tech	en
dc.relation.haspart	Vita.pdf	en
dc.relation.haspart	Cover2.pdf	en
dc.relation.haspart	References.pdf	en
dc.relation.haspart	Appendix.pdf	en
dc.relation.haspart	Cover1.pdf	en
dc.relation.haspart	Chapter2.pdf	en
dc.relation.haspart	Chapter3.pdf	en
dc.relation.haspart	Chapter1.pdf	en
dc.rights	In Copyright	en
dc.rights.uri	http://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/	en
dc.subject	Timing	en
dc.subject	Fertility	en
dc.subject	Oil Shock	en
dc.title	Essays on Fertility and the Economy in Venezuela	en
dc.type	Dissertation	en
thesis.degree.discipline	Economics	en
thesis.degree.grantor	Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University	en
thesis.degree.level	doctoral	en
thesis.degree.name	Ph. D.	en

Essays on Fertility and the Economy in Venezuela

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