A synthetic hydrologic flow model for the upper James River Basin

dc.contributor.authorColston, Newton V.en
dc.contributor.departmentCivil Engineeringen
dc.date.accessioned2015-06-26T20:54:55Zen
dc.date.available2015-06-26T20:54:55Zen
dc.date.issued1966en
dc.description.abstractThe object of this thesis is the synthetic generation of possible future flows in the James River at Buchanan, Virginia, through the utilization of existing records of monthly precipitation and runoff. Twelve separate monthly regression models were chosen on the basis of the degree of correlation as indicated by the correlation coefficient. Random monthly precipitation totals were generated from the twelve separate distributions of historical monthly precipitation totals. The synthetic precipitations were used in the twelve monthly models to generate 5000years of artificial record. The 5000-year synthetic record was divided into fifty separate 100-year records for the purpose of analysis. The dependable flows were found for each of the fifty records for each of eight reservoir sizes. The ninety percent confidence interval and the dependable flow for each of eight reservoir sizes was found. The model had a negative bias of approximately thirteen percent. This bias appeared to be alleviated when the dependable flow was expressed as a percent of the average flow for the period in question. It appears that there is great variability in the estimated value of the dependable flow in the James River.en
dc.description.degreeMaster of Scienceen
dc.format.extent85 leavesen
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10919/53812en
dc.language.isoen_USen
dc.publisherVirginia Polytechnic Instituteen
dc.relation.isformatofOCLC# 20051453en
dc.rightsIn Copyrighten
dc.rights.urihttp://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/en
dc.subject.lccLD5655.V855 1966.C59en
dc.subject.lcshJames River (Va.)en
dc.titleA synthetic hydrologic flow model for the upper James River Basinen
dc.typeThesisen
dc.type.dcmitypeTexten
thesis.degree.disciplineCivil Engineeringen
thesis.degree.grantorVirginia Polytechnic Instituteen
thesis.degree.levelmastersen
thesis.degree.nameMaster of Scienceen

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