Can you predict the future? A tutorial for the National Ecological Observatory Network Ecological Forecasting Challenge

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dc.contributor.authorOlsson, Freyaen
dc.contributor.authorBoettiger, Carlen
dc.contributor.authorCarey, Cayelan C.en
dc.contributor.authorLofton, Mary E.en
dc.contributor.authorThomas, R. Quinnen
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-27T19:40:12Zen
dc.date.available2025-01-27T19:40:12Zen
dc.date.issued2024-12en
dc.description.abstractThis tutorial introduces participants to key concepts in ecological forecasting and provides hands-on materials for submitting forecasts to the National Ecological Observatory Network (NEON) Forecasting Challenge (hereafter, Challenge), hosted by the Ecological Forecasting Initiative Research Coordination Network. The tutorial has been developed and used with >300 participants and provides the ecological understanding, workflows, and tools to enable ecologists with minimal forecasting experience to participate in the Challenge via a hands-on R-based tutorial. This tutorial introduces participants to a near-term, iterative forecasting workflow that includes obtaining observations from NEON, developing a simple forecasting model, generating a forecast, and submitting the forecast to the Challenge, as well as evaluating forecast performance once new observations become available. The overarching aim of this tutorial is to lower the barrier to ecological forecasting and empower participants to develop their own ecological forecasts.en
dc.description.versionPublished versionen
dc.format.extentPages 259-263en
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.citationOlsson et al. (2024). Can you predict the future? A tutorial for the National Ecological Observatory Network Ecological Forecasting Challenge. Journal of Open Source Education, 7(82), 259. https://doi.org/10.21105/jose.00259.en
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.21105/jose.00259en
dc.identifier.eissn2577-3569en
dc.identifier.issn2577-3569en
dc.identifier.issue82en
dc.identifier.orcidThomas, Robert [0000-0003-1282-7825]en
dc.identifier.orcidOlsson, Freya [0000-0002-0483-4489]en
dc.identifier.orcidCarey, Cayelan [0000-0001-8835-4476]en
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10919/124399en
dc.identifier.volume7en
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherThe Open Journalen
dc.rightsCreative Commons Attribution 4.0 Internationalen
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/en
dc.titleCan you predict the future? A tutorial for the National Ecological Observatory Network Ecological Forecasting Challengeen
dc.title.serialJournal of Open Source Educationen
dc.typeArticle - Refereeden
dc.type.dcmitypeTexten
dc.type.otherArticleen
pubs.organisational-groupVirginia Techen
pubs.organisational-groupVirginia Tech/Scienceen
pubs.organisational-groupVirginia Tech/Science/Biological Sciencesen
pubs.organisational-groupVirginia Tech/All T&R Facultyen
pubs.organisational-groupVirginia Tech/Science/COS T&R Facultyen
pubs.organisational-groupVirginia Tech/Post-docsen

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