Global Commercial Aircraft Fuel Burn and Emissions Forecast: 2016 to 2040

This thesis discusses enhancements to the Global Demand Model (GDM). The model addresses the need to predict: a) number of flights Worldwide by Origin-Destination (OD) airport pair, b) the number of seats (surrogate of demand) by OD airport pair, c) the fleet evolution over time, d) fuel consumption by OD pair and aircraft type, and emissions by OD pair and aircraft type. The model has developed an airline fleet assignment module to predict changes to the airline fleet in the future. Specifically, the model has the capability to examine the fuel and emission benefits of next generation N+1 aircraft and advanced NASA's N+2 aircraft are adopted in the future.