Unified Net Willans Line Model for Estimating the Energy Consumption of Battery Electric Vehicles

dc.contributor.authorLi, Candy Yuanen
dc.contributor.committeechairNelson, Douglas J.en
dc.contributor.committeememberLi, Zhengen
dc.contributor.committeememberHuxtable, Scott T.en
dc.contributor.departmentMechanical Engineeringen
dc.date.accessioned2022-09-10T08:00:11Zen
dc.date.available2022-09-10T08:00:11Zen
dc.date.issued2022-09-09en
dc.description.abstractDue to increased urgency regarding environmental concerns within the transportation industry, sustainable solutions for combating climate change are in high demand. One solution is a widespread transition from internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs) to battery electric vehicles (BEVs). To facilitate this transition, reliable energy consumption modeling is desired for providing quick, high-level estimations for a BEV without requiring extensive vehicle and computational resources. Therefore, the goal of this paper is to create a simple, yet reliable vehicle model, that can estimate the energy consumption of most, if not all, electric vehicles on the market by using parameter normalization techniques. These vehicle parameters include the vehicle test weight and performance to obtain a unified net Willans line to describe the input/output power through a linear relationship. A base model and three normalized models are developed by fitting the UDDS and HWFET energy consumption test data published by the EPA for all BEVs in the U.S. market. Out of the models analyzed, the normalization with weight performs best with the lowest RMSE values at 0.384 kW, 0.747 kW, and 0.988 kW for predicting the UDDS, HWY, and US06 data points, respectively, and 0.653 kW for all three data sets combined. Consideration of accessory loads at 0.5 kW improves the model normalized by weight and performance by a reduction of over 20% in RMSE for predictions with all data sets combined. Removing outliers in addition to consideration of accessory loads improves the model normalized by weight and performance by a reduction of over 36% in RMSE for predictions with all data sets combined. Overall, results suggest that a unified net Willans line is largely achievable with accessible energy consumption data on U.S. regulatory cycles.en
dc.description.abstractgeneralDue to increased urgency regarding environmental concerns within the transportation industry, sustainable solutions for combating climate change are in high demand. One solution is a widespread transition from conventional internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs) to battery electric vehicles (BEVs). To facilitate this transition, reliable energy consumption modeling is desired to support quick, high-level analyses for BEVs without requiring expensive resources. Therefore, the goal of this paper is to create a simple vehicle model that can estimate the energy consumption of most, if not all, electric vehicles by scaling the data using vehicle parameters. These parameters include the vehicle test weight and performance to obtain a unified net Willans line model describing the input/output power through a linear relationship. The UDDS (city) and HWFET (highway) energy consumption data points used to develop the model are easily accessible from published EPA data. Out of the models analyzed, the normalization with test weight performs best with the lowest error values at 0.384 kW, 0.747 kW, and 0.988 kW for predicting the UDDS, HWFET, and US06 (aggressive city/highway cycle) data points, respectively, and 0.653 kW for all three data sets combined. Consideration of accessory loads at 0.5 kW improves the model normalized by weight and performance by a reduction of over 20% in error for predictions with all data sets combined. Removing outliers in addition to consideration of accessory loads improves the model normalized by weight and performance by a reduction of over 36% in error for predictions with all data sets combined. Overall, results suggest that a unified net Willans line is largely achievable with accessible energy consumption data on U.S. regulatory cycles.en
dc.description.degreeMaster of Scienceen
dc.format.mediumETDen
dc.identifier.othervt_gsexam:35516en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10919/111784en
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherVirginia Techen
dc.rightsIn Copyrighten
dc.rights.urihttp://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/en
dc.subjectBattery Electric Vehiclesen
dc.subjectEnergy Consumption Modelingen
dc.subjectUnified Modelingen
dc.subjectWillans Lineen
dc.subjectVehicle Modelingen
dc.titleUnified Net Willans Line Model for Estimating the Energy Consumption of Battery Electric Vehiclesen
dc.typeThesisen
thesis.degree.disciplineMechanical Engineeringen
thesis.degree.grantorVirginia Polytechnic Institute and State Universityen
thesis.degree.levelmastersen
thesis.degree.nameMaster of Scienceen

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