Using Incumbent Channel Occupancy Prediction to Minimize Secondary License Grant Revocations

Abstract

With commercial deployment of the Citizens Band Radio Service commencing in the last quarter of 2018, efforts are in progress to improve the efficiency of the Spectrum Access System (SAS) functions. An area of concern as identified in recent field trials is the timebound evacuation of unlicensed secondary users from a frequency band by the SAS on the arrival of an incumbent user. In this thesis, we propose a way to optimize the evacuation process by reducing the number of secondary spectrum grant revocations to be performed. The proposed work leverages knowledge of incumbent user spectrum occupancy pattern obtained from historical spectrum usage data. Using an example model trained on 48 hours of an incumbent user transmission information, we demonstrate prediction of future incumbent user spectrum occupancy for the next 15 hours with 94.4% accuracy. The SAS uses this information to set the time validity of the secondary spectrum grants appropriately. In comparison to a case where spectrum grants are issued with no prior knowledge, the number of revocations declines by 87.5% with a 7.6% reduction in channel utilization. Further, the proposed technique provides a way for the SAS to plan ahead and prepare a backup channel to which secondary users can be redirected which can reduce the evacuation time significantly.