VTechWorks staff will be away for the winter holidays starting Tuesday, December 24, 2024, through Wednesday, January 1, 2025, and will not be replying to requests during this time. Thank you for your patience, and happy holidays!
 

A Comparative Study of Machine Learning Models for Multivariate NextG Network Traffic Prediction with SLA-based Loss Function

TR Number

Date

2023-10-20

Journal Title

Journal ISSN

Volume Title

Publisher

Virginia Tech

Abstract

As Next Generation (NextG) networks become more complex, the need to develop a robust, reliable network traffic prediction framework for intelligent network management increases. This study compares the performance of machine learning models in network traffic prediction using a custom Service-Level Agreement (SLA) - based loss function to ensure SLA violation constraints while minimizing overprovisioning. The proposed SLA-based parametric custom loss functions are used to maintain the SLA violation rate percentages the network operators require. Our approach is multivariate, spatiotemporal, and SLA-driven, incorporating 20 Radio Access Network (RAN) features, custom peak traffic time features, and custom mobility-based clustering to leverage spatiotemporal relationships. In this study, five machine learning models are considered: one recurrent neural network (LSTM) model, two encoder-decoder architectures (Transformer and Autoformer), and two gradient-boosted tree models (XGBoost and LightGBM). The prediction performance of the models is evaluated based on different metrics such as SLA violation rate constraints, overprovisioning, and the custom SLA-based loss function parameter. According to our evaluations, Transformer models with custom peak time features achieve the minimum overprovisioning volume at 3% SLA violation constraint. Gradient-boosted tree models have lower overprovisioning volumes at higher SLA violation rates.

Description

Keywords

Cellular traffic prediction, 5G and beyond, LSTM, Transformer, Autoformer, XGBoost, LightGBM

Citation

Collections