A system dynamics model for the development of China's air transportation system

dc.contributor.authorQuan, Chuanwenen
dc.contributor.committeechairTrani, Antonio A.en
dc.contributor.committeememberDrew, Donald R.en
dc.contributor.committeememberSivanandan, R.en
dc.contributor.departmentCivil Engineeringen
dc.date.accessioned2014-03-14T21:46:02Zen
dc.date.adate2008-09-18en
dc.date.available2014-03-14T21:46:02Zen
dc.date.issued1996en
dc.date.rdate2008-09-18en
dc.date.sdate2008-09-18en
dc.description.abstractThe primary purpose of this thesis is to estimate the demands on the Air Transportation System in China and to establish a systematic framework for China's Air Transpo11ation System Development in the future. The Systems Dynamics Methodology is used to analyze and understand the relationships between policy variables dictating the future of China's Air Transportation System and technological and economic variables to reach acceptable levels of service in a fast growing economy. Through alternative policy and sensitivity analysis, planners can gain insight into solving Air Transportation System development problems, understand how to operate the Air Transportation System, and to obtain the most efficient results through systems thinking. This model could be used to communicate relevant information to the decision makers in a readily understandable and useful form and in a timely fashion. Two models are developed in this thesis: 1) A macroscopic China's Socio-economic Development Model (CSEDM) and 2) A microscopic China's Air transportation System Development Model (CATSD1\1). CSED:NI is organized into the following components: Industry, Agriculture, Social, Infrastructure, Population, and Potential Air Demand and Air Subsidy sectors. The potential air demand is only referred to as the function of some socio-economic variables. The relationship between the potential air demand and some socio-economic variables is established by the macroscopic model. The potential air demand and air subsidy are estimated by the CSEDM. The China's Air Transportation System Development Model (CATSDM) comprises of the Airlines, Air Routes and Airports sectors. The potential air demand will be calibrated by the elasticity coefficient of the air fare and the total annual delay. Both models have been developed in STELLA IT, a computer software to develop Systems Dynamics models. The most important outputs of the model are the number of aircraft, airports and airspace routes to maintain pace with China's growing economy. Various policies variables have been examined to estimate their effect in the air transportation demand and airport growth.en
dc.description.degreeMaster of Scienceen
dc.format.extentix, 161 leavesen
dc.format.mediumBTDen
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.otheretd-09182008-063445en
dc.identifier.sourceurlhttp://scholar.lib.vt.edu/theses/available/etd-09182008-063445/en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10919/44822en
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherVirginia Techen
dc.relation.haspartLD5655.V855_1996.Q36.pdfen
dc.relation.isformatofOCLC# 36788913en
dc.rightsIn Copyrighten
dc.rights.urihttp://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/en
dc.subjectsystemsen
dc.subjectdynamicsen
dc.subjectModelingen
dc.subjectairen
dc.subjecttransportationen
dc.subject.lccLD5655.V855 1996.Q36en
dc.titleA system dynamics model for the development of China's air transportation systemen
dc.typeThesisen
dc.type.dcmitypeTexten
thesis.degree.disciplineCivil Engineeringen
thesis.degree.grantorVirginia Polytechnic Institute and State Universityen
thesis.degree.levelmastersen
thesis.degree.nameMaster of Scienceen

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