Requirements for the containment of COVID-19 disease outbreaks through periodic testing, isolation, and quarantine

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dc.contributor.authorMukhamadiarov, Ruslan I.en
dc.contributor.authorDeng, Shengfengen
dc.contributor.authorSerrao, Shannon R.en
dc.contributor.authorPriyankaen
dc.contributor.authorChilds, Lauren M.en
dc.contributor.authorTäuber, Uwe C.en
dc.date.accessioned2021-12-31T16:25:34Zen
dc.date.available2021-12-31T16:25:34Zen
dc.date.issued2022-01-21en
dc.date.updated2021-12-31T16:25:32Zen
dc.description.abstractWe employ individual-based Monte Carlo computer simulations of a stochastic SEIR model variant on a two-dimensional Newman–Watts small-world network to investigate the control of epidemic outbreaks through periodic testing and isolation of infectious individuals, and subsequent quarantine of their immediate contacts. Using disease parameters informed by the COVID-19 pandemic, we investigate the effects of various crucial mitigation features on the epidemic spreading: fraction of the infectious population that is identifiable through the tests; testing frequency; time delay between testing and isolation of positively tested individuals; and the further time delay until quarantining their contacts as well as the quarantine duration. We thus determine the required ranges for these intervention parameters to yield effective control of the disease through both considerable delaying the epidemic peak and massively reducing the total number of sustained infections.en
dc.description.versionAccepted versionen
dc.format.extentPages 034001-034001en
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1088/1751-8121/ac3fc3en
dc.identifier.eissn1751-8121en
dc.identifier.issn1751-8113en
dc.identifier.issue3en
dc.identifier.orcidChilds, Lauren [0000-0003-3904-3895]en
dc.identifier.orcidTauber, Uwe [0000-0001-7854-2254]en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10919/107302en
dc.identifier.volume55en
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherIOPen
dc.rightsIn Copyrighten
dc.rights.urihttp://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/en
dc.subjectMathematical Physicsen
dc.subject01 Mathematical Sciencesen
dc.subject02 Physical Sciencesen
dc.subjectCOVID-19en
dc.titleRequirements for the containment of COVID-19 disease outbreaks through periodic testing, isolation, and quarantineen
dc.title.serialJournal of Physics A: Mathematical and Theoreticalen
dc.typeArticle - Refereeden
dc.type.dcmitypeTexten
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Techen
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Tech/Scienceen
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Tech/Science/Mathematicsen
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Tech/Science/Physicsen
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Tech/Faculty of Health Sciencesen
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Tech/All T&R Facultyen
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Tech/Science/COS T&R Facultyen

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Destination Area: Global Systems Science (GSS)
Scholarly Works, Center for Soft Matter and Biological Physics
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