Social distancing and epidemic resurgence in agent-based susceptible-infectious-recovered models

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dc.contributor.authorMukhamadiarov, Ruslan I.en
dc.contributor.authorDeng, Shengfengen
dc.contributor.authorSerrao, Shannon R.en
dc.contributor.authorPriyankaen
dc.contributor.authorNandi, Riyaen
dc.contributor.authorYao, Louie Hongen
dc.contributor.authorTäuber, Uwe C.en
dc.date.accessioned2021-11-01T16:15:19Zen
dc.date.available2021-11-01T16:15:19Zen
dc.date.issued2021-01-08en
dc.date.updated2021-11-01T16:15:16Zen
dc.description.abstractOnce an epidemic outbreak has been effectively contained through non-pharmaceutical interventions, a safe protocol is required for the subsequent release of social distancing restrictions to prevent a disastrous resurgence of the infection. We report individual-based numerical simulations of stochastic susceptible-infectious-recovered model variants on four distinct spatially organized lattice and network architectures wherein contact and mobility constraints are implemented. We robustly find that the intensity and spatial spread of the epidemic recurrence wave can be limited to a manageable extent provided release of these restrictions is delayed sufficiently (for a duration of at least thrice the time until the peak of the unmitigated outbreak) and long-distance connections are maintained on a low level (limited to less than five percent of the overall connectivity).en
dc.description.notes6 figures in main text, 4 more in supplementary materials; to appear in Scientific Reportsen
dc.description.versionAccepted versionen
dc.format.extent8 page(s)en
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifierARTN 130 (Article number)en
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-80162-yen
dc.identifier.eissn2045-2322en
dc.identifier.issn2045-2322en
dc.identifier.issue1en
dc.identifier.orcidTauber, Uwe [0000-0001-7854-2254]en
dc.identifier.other10.1038/s41598-020-80162-y (PII)en
dc.identifier.pmid33420154en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10919/106481en
dc.identifier.volume11en
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherNature Researchen
dc.relation.urihttp://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000634376100030&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=930d57c9ac61a043676db62af60056c1en
dc.relation.urihttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-80162-yen
dc.rightsCreative Commons Attribution 4.0 Internationalen
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/en
dc.subjectphysics.soc-phen
dc.subjectq-bio.PEen
dc.subject.meshHumansen
dc.subject.meshCommunicable Diseasesen
dc.subject.meshCommunicable Disease Controlen
dc.subject.meshEpidemicsen
dc.subject.meshCOVID-19en
dc.subject.meshPhysical Distancingen
dc.titleSocial distancing and epidemic resurgence in agent-based susceptible-infectious-recovered modelsen
dc.title.serialScientific Reportsen
dc.typeArticle - Refereeden
dc.type.dcmitypeTexten
dc.type.otherArticleen
dc.type.otherJournalen
dcterms.dateAccepted2020-12-16en
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Techen
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Tech/Scienceen
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Tech/Science/Physicsen
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Tech/Faculty of Health Sciencesen
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Tech/All T&R Facultyen
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Tech/Science/COS T&R Facultyen

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