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Impact of demographic disparities in social distancing and vaccination on influenza epidemics in urban and rural regions of the United States

dc.contributor.authorSingh, Meghendraen
dc.contributor.authorSarkhel, Prasenjiten
dc.contributor.authorKang, Gloria J.en
dc.contributor.authorMarathe, Achlaen
dc.contributor.authorBoyle, Kevin J.en
dc.contributor.authorMurray-Tuite, Pamelaen
dc.contributor.authorAbbas, Kaja M.en
dc.contributor.authorSwarup, Samarthen
dc.contributor.departmentAgricultural and Applied Economicsen
dc.contributor.departmentPopulation Health Sciencesen
dc.contributor.departmentFralin Life Sciences Instituteen
dc.date.accessioned2019-03-11T12:05:13Zen
dc.date.available2019-03-11T12:05:13Zen
dc.date.issued2019-03-04en
dc.date.updated2019-03-10T04:20:34Zen
dc.description.abstractBackground Self-protective behaviors of social distancing and vaccination uptake vary by demographics and affect the transmission dynamics of influenza in the United States. By incorporating the socio-behavioral differences in social distancing and vaccination uptake into mathematical models of influenza transmission dynamics, we can improve our estimates of epidemic outcomes. In this study we analyze the impact of demographic disparities in social distancing and vaccination on influenza epidemics in urban and rural regions of the United States. Methods We conducted a survey of a nationally representative sample of US adults to collect data on their self-protective behaviors, including social distancing and vaccination to protect themselves from influenza infection. We incorporated this data in an agent-based model to simulate the transmission dynamics of influenza in the urban region of Miami Dade county in Florida and the rural region of Montgomery county in Virginia. Results We compare epidemic scenarios wherein the social distancing and vaccination behaviors are uniform versus non-uniform across different demographic subpopulations. We infer that a uniform compliance of social distancing and vaccination uptake among different demographic subpopulations underestimates the severity of the epidemic in comparison to differentiated compliance among different demographic subpopulations. This result holds for both urban and rural regions. Conclusions By taking into account the behavioral differences in social distancing and vaccination uptake among different demographic subpopulations in analysis of influenza epidemics, we provide improved estimates of epidemic outcomes that can assist in improved public health interventions for prevention and control of influenza.en
dc.description.versionPublished versionen
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.citationBMC Infectious Diseases. 2019 Mar 04;19(1):221en
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-019-3703-2en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10919/88405en
dc.language.isoenen
dc.rightsCreative Commons Attribution 4.0 Internationalen
dc.rights.holderThe Author(s)en
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/en
dc.titleImpact of demographic disparities in social distancing and vaccination on influenza epidemics in urban and rural regions of the United Statesen
dc.title.serialBMC Infectious Diseasesen
dc.typeArticle - Refereeden
dc.type.dcmitypeTexten

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