How to Count Bugs: A Method to Estimate the Most Probable Absolute Population Density and Its Statistical Bounds from a Single Trap Catch

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dc.contributor.authorOnufrieva, Ksenia S.en
dc.contributor.authorOnufriev, Alexey V.en
dc.date.accessioned2021-10-13T17:48:02Zen
dc.date.available2021-10-13T17:48:02Zen
dc.date.issued2021-10-13en
dc.date.updated2021-10-13T17:48:00Zen
dc.description.abstractKnowledge of insect population density is crucial for establishing management and conservation tactics and evaluating treatment efficacies. Here, we propose a simple and universal method for estimating the most probable absolute population density and its statistical bounds. The method is based on a novel relationship between experimentally measurable characteristics of insect trap systems and the probability to catch an insect located a given distance away from the trap. The generality of the proposed relationship is tested using 10 distinct trapping datasets collected for insects from 5 different orders and using major trapping methods, i.e., chemical-baited traps and light. For all datasets, the relationship faithfully (R = 0.91) describes the experiment. The proposed approach will take insect detection and monitoring to a new, rigorously quantitative level. It will improve conservation and management, while driving future basic and applied research in population and chemical ecology.en
dc.description.notesTo develop the methodology, we used previously published data that are available in the respective publications cited in this paper. The files for conducting the analysis are available at https://doi.org/10.7294/BE34-ZS61 (accessed on 10 October 2021).en
dc.description.versionPublished versionen
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.citationOnufrieva, K.S.; Onufriev, A.V. How to Count Bugs: A Method to Estimate the Most Probable Absolute Population Density and Its Statistical Bounds from a Single Trap Catch. Insects 2021, 12, 932. https://doi.org/10.3390/ insects12100932en
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.3390/insects12100932en
dc.identifier.orcidOnufrieva, Ksenia [0000-0002-8424-850X]en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10919/105288en
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherMDPIen
dc.rightsCreative Commons Attribution 4.0 Internationalen
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/en
dc.subject0608 Zoologyen
dc.subjecttrapsen
dc.subjectabsolute population densityen
dc.subjectpopulation ecologyen
dc.subjectIPMen
dc.subjectconservationen
dc.titleHow to Count Bugs: A Method to Estimate the Most Probable Absolute Population Density and Its Statistical Bounds from a Single Trap Catchen
dc.title.serialInsectsen
dc.typeArticle - Refereeden
dc.type.dcmitypeTexten
dc.type.otherArticleen
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Techen
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Tech/Agriculture & Life Sciencesen
pubs.organisational-group/Virginia Tech/Agriculture & Life Sciences/Entomologyen

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